Perspectives on Uncertainty and Risk: The PRIMA Approach to Decision Support / Edition 1

Perspectives on Uncertainty and Risk: The PRIMA Approach to Decision Support / Edition 1

by Marjolein Van Asselt
     
 

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ISBN-10: 9048155975

ISBN-13: 9789048155972

Pub. Date: 12/01/2010

Publisher: Springer Netherlands

This volume is intended to stimulate a change in the practice of decision support, advocating an interdisciplinary approach centred on both social and natural sciences, both theory and practice.
It addresses the issue of analysis and management of uncertainty and risk in decision support corresponding to the aims of Integrated Assessment. A pluralistic method

Overview

This volume is intended to stimulate a change in the practice of decision support, advocating an interdisciplinary approach centred on both social and natural sciences, both theory and practice.
It addresses the issue of analysis and management of uncertainty and risk in decision support corresponding to the aims of Integrated Assessment. A pluralistic method is necessary to account for legitimate plural interpretations of uncertainty and multiple risk perceptions. A wide range of methods and tools is presented to contribute to adequate and effective pluralistic uncertainty management and risk analysis in decision support endeavours. Special attention is given to the development of one such approach, the Pluralistic fRamework for Integrated uncertainty Management and risk Analysis (PRIMA), of which the practical value is explored in the context of the Environmental Outlooks produced by the Dutch Institute for Public Health and Environment (RIVM).
Audience: This book will be of interest to researchers and practitioners whose work involves decision support, uncertainty management, risk analysis, environmental planning, and Integrated Assessment.

Product Details

ISBN-13:
9789048155972
Publisher:
Springer Netherlands
Publication date:
12/01/2010
Edition description:
Softcover reprint of hardcover 1st ed. 2000
Pages:
436
Product dimensions:
6.10(w) x 9.25(h) x 0.04(d)

Table of Contents

Acknowledgements. 1. Introduction and research methodology. 2. Integrated Assessment. 3A. Uncertainty. 3B. Risk. 4. Uncertainty and risk in perspective. 5. Pluralistic fRamework for Integrated uncertainty Management and risk Analysis (PRIMA). 6. Exploring the need for PRIMA: a case-study approach. 7. Searching for uncertainty in RIVM's Environmental Outlooks. 8. Exploring PRIMA's first steps in practice the case of the 5th Environmental Outlook. 9. Perspectives on uncertainty and risk: conclusion and discussion. Appendix 1: Letter to the Trouw editor. Appendix 2: Track record of DeKwaadsteniet affair. Appendix 3: Argumentation analysis schemes.

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