Physical Approach to Short-Term Wind Power Prediction / Edition 1

Physical Approach to Short-Term Wind Power Prediction / Edition 1

by Matthias Lange, Ulrich Focken
     
 

The effective integration of wind energy into the overall electricity supply is a technical and economical challenge because the availability of wind power is determined by fluctuating meteorological conditions. This book offers an approach to the ultimate goal of the short-term prediction of the power output of winds farms. Starting from basic aspects of

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Overview

The effective integration of wind energy into the overall electricity supply is a technical and economical challenge because the availability of wind power is determined by fluctuating meteorological conditions. This book offers an approach to the ultimate goal of the short-term prediction of the power output of winds farms. Starting from basic aspects of atmospheric fluid dynamics, the authors discuss the structure of winds fields, the available forecast systems and the handling of the intrinsic, weather-dependent uncertainties in the regional prediction of the power generated by wind turbines. This book addresses scientists and engineers working in wind energy related R and D and industry, as well as graduate students and nonspecialists researchers in the fields of atmospheric physics and meteorology.

Product Details

ISBN-13:
9783540256625
Publisher:
Springer Berlin Heidelberg
Publication date:
12/15/2005
Edition description:
2006
Pages:
208
Product dimensions:
0.56(w) x 6.14(h) x 9.21(d)

Table of Contents

1Introduction1
2Overview of wind power prediction systems7
3Foundations of physical prediction models23
4Physical wind power prediction systems39
5Data55
6Assessment of the prediction accuracy61
7Correction of wind profiles due to thermal stratification91
8Assessment of wind speed dependent prediction error115
9Relating the forecast error to meteorological situations135
10Smoothing effects of regional power prediction169
11Outlook179
ADefinition of statistical quantities183
BStatistical testing187

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