Pivotal Deterrence: Third-Party Statecraft and the Pursuit of Peace

Pivotal Deterrence: Third-Party Statecraft and the Pursuit of Peace

by Timothy W. Crawford
     
 

ISBN-10: 0801440971

ISBN-13: 9780801440977

Pub. Date: 10/15/2003

Publisher: Cornell University Press

As the preponderant world power, the United States is a potential arbiter of war and peace between such feuding rivals as India and Pakistan, Turkey and Greece, China and Taiwan. How can it deter them from going to war and impel them to accept compromise without firmly choosing sides? This age-old strategic dilemma, which Timothy W. Crawford calls "pivotal deterrence,…  See more details below

Overview

As the preponderant world power, the United States is a potential arbiter of war and peace between such feuding rivals as India and Pakistan, Turkey and Greece, China and Taiwan. How can it deter them from going to war and impel them to accept compromise without firmly choosing sides? This age-old strategic dilemma, which Timothy W. Crawford calls "pivotal deterrence," has become a central challenge of international security in today's unipolar world.Crawford explains the political dynamics of pivotal deterrence and the conditions under which it is likely to succeed, while examining some of its most impressive feats and failures. German Chancellor Otto von Bismarck's agile approach to the 1870s Eastern Crisis, which prevented war between Russia and Austria-Hungary, is contrasted with Britain's ambiguous and ill-fated maneuvers to deter Germany and France in July 1914. Shifting to the 1960s Cold War, Crawford explores the successes and setbacks in U.S. efforts to prevent NATO allies Greece and Turkey from fighting over Cyprus and to defuse the Kashmir conflict between India and Pakistan. Capping the analysis is a rich look at similar U.S. efforts in the 1990s in South Asia, the Aegean, the Balkans, and East Asia. Crawford concludes with an assessment of the prospects for American pivotal deterrence in the years ahead and its implications for international relations theory.

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Product Details

ISBN-13:
9780801440977
Publisher:
Cornell University Press
Publication date:
10/15/2003
Series:
Cornell Studies in Security Affairs Series
Edition description:
New Edition
Pages:
288
Product dimensions:
6.13(w) x 9.25(h) x (d)

Table of Contents

Acknowledgments
Introduction1
1The Problem and Theory of Pivotal Deterrence5
2Power, Interests, and Alignment Options: Framing the Inquiry25
3Pivotal Deterrence in the Eastern Crisis, 1875-78: Why Bismarck Had It Easy46
4Pivotal Deterrence and the Chain Gang: Sir Edward Grey's Ambiguous Policy and the July Crisis, 191475
5Hurting the One Who Loves You Most: The United States and the Cyprus Crises, 1963-67100
6Playing the Pivot in a Crowded Market: The United States and the Kashmir Conflict, 1962-65135
7U.S. Pivotal Deterrence in the Unipolar Era, 1990-2002169
Conclusion: The Prospects for Pivotal Deterrence in U.S. Foreign Policy202
List of Abbreviations219
Notes221
Index269

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