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In the estimating, planning and management of any project, large or small, an understanding of the impact of risk is critical. This book explains how the growing number of people choosing to or forced to organise their work as projects can make realistic assessments of the uncertainty affecting costs, timescale and revenue, before commitments are made. A clear analysis of the role of uncertainty is combined in this concise and practical handbook with simple, cost-effective techniques for measuring and modelling the overall risk to a project's budget and schedule. There is advice and help here for the whole project team, including project managers; bid managers; project sales professionals; planners; estimators; managers running a project-based business; and consultants and auditors advising a projects business. Drawn from the author's extensive experience on projects ranging in scale from a few man-months to hundreds of man-years, the book will beelevant to anyone involved in a project-based business. Examples are presented as simple models, built in spreadsheets using the @Risk software package. No more than basic knowledge of Lotus 1-2-3 or Excel will be required by the reader.
This practical handbook presents simple techniques for the analysis and management of risk and uncertainty. Covering everything from modelling and simulation to revenue risk assessment, this book will be appropriate for information technology professionals as well as for anyone involved in a project-based business.
Project Risk Assessment.
Modelling and Simulation.
Business Forecast Risk.
Alternative Techniques and Tools.