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This set contains: 9780470040010 Probabilities: The Little Numbers That Rule Our Lives by Peter Olofsson and 9780470184011 Probably Not: Future Prediction Using Probability and Statistical Inference by Lawrence N. Dworsky
1. Computing Probabilities: Right Ways and Wrong Ways.
The Probabilist's Toys and Language.
The Probabilist's Rule Book.
Independence, Airplanes, and Russian Peasants.
Conditional Probability, Swedish TV, and British Courts.
Total Probability, Used Cars, and Tennis Matches.
Co~nbinatorics, Pastrami, and Poetry.
The von Trapps and the Binomial Distribution.
2. Surprising Probabilities: When Intuition Struggles.
Boys, Girls, Aces, and Colored Cards.
Goats and Gloats.
Strategies, Shopping, and Spaghetti Westerns.
The British Snob and I.
3. Tiny Probabilities: Why Are They So Hard to Escape?
Saddam and I.
Taking Tiny Risks.
A Million-to-One Shot, Doc, Million to One!
Monsieur Poisson and the Mysterious Number 37.
Clumps in Space.
4. Backward Probabilities: The Reverend Bayes to Our Rescue.
Driving Miss Daisy.
Bayes, Balls, and Boys (and Girls).
Bayes and My Green Card.
Objection Your Honor.
5. Beyond Probabilities: What to Expect.
Good Things Come to Those Who Wait.
Expect the Unexpected.
Size Matters (and Length, and Age).
6. Inevitable Probabilities: Two Fascinating Mathematical Results.
Alea Iacta Est, Over and Over.
Even-Steven? The LawMisunderstood.
Coin Tosses and Freeway Congestion.
Let's Get Serious.
Bells and Bread.
How a Toronto Quincunx Changed My Life.
7. Gambling Probabilities: Why Donald Trump Is Richer than You.
Roulette: A Classy Way to Waste Your Money.
Craps: Not so Dicey After All.
Blackjack: Money for Mnemonics.
Math for Losers.
Win Money and Lose Friends.
8. Guessing Probabilities: Enter the Statisticians.
Lies, Damned Lies, and Beautiful Lies?
4 out of 10 Like the President 19 Times out of 20.
Polls Gone Wild.
The Lawsuit and the Lurker.
Football Players and Geyser Eruptions.
Snooping in the Abbot's Garden.
9. Faking Probabilities: Computer Simulation.
Mahogany Dice and Modular Arithmetic.
Random and Not-So-Random Digits.
Number One Is Number One.
Is Random Really Random?