Probability and Conditionals: Belief Revision and Rational Decision

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Overview

This is a collection of essays on the relation between probabilities, especially conditional probabilities, and conditionals. It provides negative results that sharply limit the ways conditionals can be related to conditional probabilities. There are also positive ideas and results that may open up areas of research. The collection is intended to honor Ernest W. Adams, whose seminal work is largely responsible for creating this area of inquiry. In addition to describing, evaluating, and applying Adams's work, these contributions extend his ideas in directions he may or may not have anticipated, but that he certainly inspired. This volume should be of interest to a wide range of philosophers of science, as well as to computer scientists and linguists.
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Editorial Reviews

From the Publisher
"...it became clear how many points of contact there are between the work in this area in AI and computer science and the work in philosophy. This volume, with its discussions of probability, conditionals, counterfactuals, belief revision, and default reasoning - all issues of concern in both communities - helps bring out the connections clearly." The Philosophical Review

"...nicely edited by Ellery Eells and Brian Skyrms." Roy Gardner, Philosophy of Science

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Product Details

Table of Contents


List of contributors     vii
Introduction     1
Some questions about Adams' conditionals   Patrick Suppes     5
Adams conditionals   Brian Skyrms     13
Letter to Brian Skyrms   Robert Stalnaker     27
Conditionals as random variables   Robert Stalnaker   Richard Jeffrey     31
From Adams' conditionals to default expressions, causal conditionals, and counterfactuals   Judea Pearl     47
The hypothesis of the conditional construal of conditional probability   Alan Hajek   Ned Hall     75
Triviality on the cheap?   Alan Hajek     113
Back in the CCCP   Ned Hall     141
The Howson-Urbach proofs of Bayesian principles   Charles S. Chihara     161
Learning the impossible   Vann McGee     179
A brief survey of Adams' contributions to philosophy   Patrick Suppes     201
Publications   Ernest W. Adams     205
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