Probability and the Art of Judgment

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Overview

Spanning a period of 35 years, this collection of essays includes some of the classic works of one of the most distinguished and influential philosophers working in the field of decision theory and the theory of knowledge.
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Editorial Reviews

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"Probability and the Art of Judgment is a valuable addition to the literature of decision theory for its broad presentation of Jeffrey's thought and for the stimulation and challenge it provides. Graduate students and researchers who study preference, subjective probability, or decision theory from either a descriptive or normative orientation can find it a rich source of ideas." Journal of Mathematical Psychology
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Product Details

Table of Contents

Preface
1 Introduction: Radical probabilism 1991 1
2 Valuation and acceptance of scientific hypotheses 1956 14
3 Probable knowledge 1968 30
4 Probability and the art of judgment 1985 44
5 Bayesianism with a human face 1983 77
6 Alias Smith and Jones: The testimony of the senses 1987 108
7 Conditioning, kinematics, and exchangeability 1988 117
8 Preference among preferences 1974 154
9 On interpersonal utility theory 1971 170
10 Remarks on interpersonal utility theory 1974 182
11 Mises redux 1977 192
12 Statistical explanation vs. statistical inference 1969 203
13 New foundations for Bayesian decision theory 1965 213
14 Frameworks for preference 1974 226
15 Axiomatizing the logic of decision 1978 232
16 A note on the kinematics of preference 1977 238
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