In 2004, John Kerry appeared to be a clear winner based on the exit polls. But the recorded vote counts deviated sharply from the polls and were too one-sided to attribute to mere chance. The political pundits claimed the polls "behaved badly", calling the three million Bush margin a "mandate". They failed to report the impossible late adjustments made to the National, Florida and Ohio exit polls that were necessary to force them to match the recorded vote.
Spreadsheet-wielding Internet bloggers analyzed the statistical anomalies. Online election forums were aflame with debates about state and national pre-election and exit polls, Bush approval ratings, margins of error, non-response, past vote recall, correlation between vote swing from 2000 and the exit poll shift, the counter-intuitive Bush increase over his 2000 vote share in urban locations ("Urban Legend") and the corresponding share decline in rural areas.
But the "Smoking Gun" was the Final National Exit Poll, which indicated that there were four million more returning Bush 2000 voters than were alive in 2004. This "phantom voter" anomaly has never been discussed by pundits in the media or political scientists in academia even though similar anomalies occurred in 1988, 1992 and 2008. The media pundits still claim that the recorded vote is correct (and the exit polls are wrong) despite millions of uncounted votes in every election.
Proving Election Fraud is a comprehensive resource for analyzing presidential elections from 1968 to 2008, including the 2006 midterms. It is written for readers of virtually all backgrounds. The only requirement is an inquisitive, open mind. The True Vote is estimated using basic statistical modeling that is for some reason avoided in the media and academia. Excel spreadsheet models used in the book are available for downloading from the Internet.
| Introduction | 1 |
| 1 From Hanging Chads to Phantom Voters | 5 |
| 2 Media Lockdown | 20 |
| 3 The Simple Math | 29 |
| 4 Forbidden Data | 40 |
| 5 The Election Forecasting Game | 63 |
| 6 Election Model: A Trip to Monte Carlo | 71 |
| 7 Exit Polls: Forced to Match | 78 |
| 8 Calculating the True Vote | 97 |
| 9 1968-1996: Age of Innocence | 101 |
| 10 2000: Shock to the System | 114 |
| 11 2004: Silent Scream of the Numbers | 117 |
| 12 Ohio: Endgame | 150 |
| 13 Florida: Phantoms in Cyberspace | 157 |
| 14 New York: Urban Legend | 164 |
| 15 Oregon: Mail-in for Democracy | 169 |
| 16 2006 Midterms: Quantifying the Risk | 174 |
| 17 2008 Primaries: Operation Chaos | 184 |
| 18 2008: Landslide Denied | 191 |
| 19 A Conversation about the 2008 Election | 208 |
| 20 Myths and Anomalies | 212 |
| 21 Vote Swing vs. Exit Poll Red-shift | 221 |
| 22 False Recall | 226 |
| 23 A Simple Proof | 236 |
| Appendix | |
| A Online Debates | 245 |
| 1 USCV and the Implausibility of rBr | 248 |
| 2 A View of the Exit Poll Debate | 291 |
| 3 Hobson's Choice | 308 |
| 4 The Clincher | 332 |
| 5 The Game | 385 |
| 6 2006 Election Fraud Probability Analysis | 387 |
| 7 Generic Polls for Forecasting the Midterms | 392 |
| B Election Fraud Analytics | 395 |
| C Response to the TruthIsAll FAQ | 411 |
| D Election Models | 429 |
| E An Open Source PC/Internet Voting System | 438 |
| F References | 440 |
| Acknowledgements | 451 |
Anonymous
Posted April 15, 2010
I thorougly enjoyed the book. The wealth of statistical evidence proves beyond a reasonable doubt that fraud caused the wrong man to be elected in 4 of the last 11 elections. The book is chock full of analysis in the form of tables and graphs based on Excel-based based on pre-election and post-election True Vote models. I have read several other popular books on election fraud but this one is unique in its depth and breadth. Highly recommended for those who want to know the truth about our electoral system.
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Posted October 9, 2010
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Overview
In 2004, John Kerry appeared to be a clear winner based on the exit polls. But the recorded vote counts deviated sharply from the polls and were too one-sided to attribute to mere chance. The political pundits claimed the polls "behaved badly", calling the three million Bush margin a "mandate". They failed to report the impossible late adjustments made to the National, Florida and Ohio exit polls that were necessary to force them to match the ...