Rational Expectations and Inflation

Rational Expectations and Inflation

by Thomas J. Sargent
     
 

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This collection of essays uses the lens of rational expectations theory to examine how governments anticipate and plan for inflation, and provides insight into the pioneering research for which Thomas Sargent was awarded the 2011 Nobel Prize in economics. Rational expectations theory is based on the simple premise that people will use all the information available

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Overview

This collection of essays uses the lens of rational expectations theory to examine how governments anticipate and plan for inflation, and provides insight into the pioneering research for which Thomas Sargent was awarded the 2011 Nobel Prize in economics. Rational expectations theory is based on the simple premise that people will use all the information available to them in making economic decisions, yet applying the theory to macroeconomics and econometrics is technically demanding. Here, Sargent engages with practical problems in economics in a less formal, noneconometric way, demonstrating how rational expectations can satisfactorily interpret a range of historical and contemporary events. He focuses on periods of actual or threatened depreciation in the value of a nation's currency. Drawing on historical attempts to counter inflation, from the French Revolution and the aftermath of World War I to the economic policies of Margaret Thatcher and Ronald Reagan, Sargent finds that there is no purely monetary cure for inflation; rather, monetary and fiscal policies must be coordinated.

This fully expanded edition of Rational Expectations and Inflation includes Sargent's 2011 Nobel lecture, "United States Then, Europe Now." It also features new articles on the macroeconomics of the French Revolution and government budget deficits.

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Editorial Reviews

From the Publisher
Thomas J. Sargent, Winner of the 2011 Nobel Prize in Economics

"In Rational Expectations and Inflation, Sargent provides a consistent way to think about the relationship between a government and its central bank. . . . [I]t is the best exposition of what monetary policy is all about, at this mostly nontechnical level, of which I know. . . . Rational Expectations and Inflation on the whole remains fresh, stimulating and informative."—Edward J. Green, The Region

"Sargent's interpretation of the hyperinflations is not new. What is new and important is his explicit use of the terminology and constructs of the theory of rational expectations. That terminology and those constructs clearly offer an illuminating way to analyze these complex events. . . . Whether you agree or disagree with Sargent's interpretation of specific historical episodes, you will get a better understanding of both the theory of rational expectations and the interrelations of monetary and fiscal policy from this imaginative, analytically subtle, and lucidly written book."—Milton Friedman, Journal of Political Economy

Journal of Political Economy - Milton Friedman
Sargent's interpretation of the hyperinflations is not new. What is new and important is his explicit use of the terminology and constructs of the theory of rational expectations. That terminology and those constructs clearly offer an illuminating way to analyze these complex events. . . . Whether you agree or disagree with Sargent's interpretation of specific historical episodes, you will get a better understanding of both the theory of rational expectations and the interrelations of monetary and fiscal policy from this imaginative, analytically subtle, and lucidly written book.
The Region - Edward J. Green
In Rational Expectations and Inflation, Sargent provides a consistent way to think about the relationship between a government and its central bank. . . . [I]t is the best exposition of what monetary policy is all about, at this mostly nontechnical level, of which I know. . . . Rational Expectations and Inflation on the whole remains fresh, stimulating and informative.

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Product Details

ISBN-13:
9781400847648
Publisher:
Princeton University Press
Publication date:
05/05/2013
Sold by:
Barnes & Noble
Format:
NOOK Book
Pages:
392
File size:
7 MB

Meet the Author

Thomas J. Sargent is professor of economics at New York University. His books include Robustness and The Big Problem of Small Change (both Princeton). He was awarded the 2011 Nobel Prize in economics.

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