Reasoning about Uncertainty

Paperback (Print)
Used and New from Other Sellers
Used and New from Other Sellers
from $32.01
Usually ships in 1-2 business days
(Save 28%)
Other sellers (Paperback)
  • All (9) from $32.01   
  • New (6) from $39.23   
  • Used (3) from $32.01   

Overview

Uncertainty is a fundamental and unavoidable feature of daily life; in order to deal with uncertaintly intelligently, we need to be able to represent it and reason about it. In this book, Joseph Halpern examines formal ways of representing uncertainty and considers various logics for reasoning about it. While the ideas presented are formalized in terms of definitions and theorems, the emphasis is on the philosophy of representing and reasoning about uncertainty; the material is accessible and relevant to researchers and students in many fields, including computer science, artificial intelligence, economics (particularly game theory), mathematics, philosophy, and statistics.Halpern begins by surveying possible formal systems for representing uncertainty,including probability measures, possibility measures, and plausibility measures. He considers the updating of beliefs based on changing information and the relation to Bayes' theorem; this leads to a discussion of qualitative, quantitative, and plausibilistic Bayesian networks. He considers not only the uncertainty of a single agent but also uncertainty in a multi-agent framework. Halpern then considers the formal logical systems for reasoning about uncertainty. He discusses knowledge and belief; default reasoning and the semantics of default; reasoning about counterfactuals, and combining probability and counterfactuals; belief revision; first-order modal logic; and statistics and beliefs. He includes a series of exercises at the end of each chapter.

Read More Show Less

What People Are Saying

From the Publisher
"For more than a decade, the study of uncertain reasoning has been graced by the breadth, openness, and agility of Joe Halpern's intellect. More than any of his colleagues, Joe has sought to reconcile and unify the diverse insights and methods for reasoning about knowledge and uncertainty that have been developed and championed in various academic fields. This cheerful,measured, and comprehensive book will bring Joe's tone, as well as his individual contributions, to the forefront of the field. I cannot imagine a better starting place for a student of the subject."—Glenn Shafer, Department of Accounting and Information Systems, Rutgers University School of Business

"Reiter's new book, Knowledge in Action, offers the first systematic account of the logical approach to cognitive robotics, a field that he and his colleagues have developed over the past decade. The unique feature of this approach rests in its capacity to admit specifications in the form of meaningful knowledge fragments, to piece those fragments together by logical and probabilistic inferences, and to use those inferences to guide both manipulative and perceptual actions by programmable agents. A must for anyone concerned with the foundations of commonsense knowledge or the design of autonomous dynamical systems."—Judea Pearl, Computer Science Department,University of California, Los Angeles

" Reasoning about Uncertainty is a very valuable synthesis of the mathematics of uncertainty as it has developed in a number of related fields—probability,statistics, computer science, game theory, artificial intelligence, and philosophy. Researchers in all of these fields will find this a very useful book—both for its elegant treatment of technical results and for its illuminating conceptual discussions." Adam Brandenburger, J.P. VallesProfessor of Business Economics and Strategy, Stern School of Business, New YorkUniversity

"Reasoning About Uncertainty pursues its own unified theoretical perspective in a remarkably systematic way; yet it is also a remarkably rich and complete textbook. It will be a rewarding book to work through for students and researchers alike." Wolfgang Spohn, University ofKonstanz

"*Reasoning About Uncertainty* pursues its own unified theoretical perspective in a remarkably systematic way; yet it is also a remarkably rich and complete textbook. It will be a rewarding book to work through for students and researchers alike."—Wolfgang Spohn, University ofKonstanz

"*Reasoning about Uncertainty* is a very valuable synthesis of the mathematics of uncertainty as it has developed in a number of related fields — probability, statistics, computer science, game theory, artificial intelligence, and philosophy. Researchers in all of these fields will find this a very useful book — both for its elegant treatment of technical results and for its illuminating conceptual discussions."—Adam Brandenburger, J.P. Valles Professor of BusinessEconomics and Strategy, Stern School of Business, New York University

Read More Show Less

Product Details

  • ISBN-13: 9780262582599
  • Publisher: MIT Press
  • Publication date: 9/1/2005
  • Edition description: New Edition
  • Pages: 497
  • Product dimensions: 8.00 (w) x 9.00 (h) x 1.00 (d)

Meet the Author

Joseph Y. Halpern is Professor of Computer Science at Cornell University.

Read More Show Less

Table of Contents

Preface
1 Introduction and Overview 1
2 Representing Uncertainty 11
3 Updating Beliefs 69
4 Independence and Bayesian Networks 121
5 Expectation 149
6 Multi-Agent Systems 189
7 Logics for Reasoning about Uncertainty 239
8 Beliefs, Defaults, and Counterfactuals 287
9 Belief Revision 331
10 First-Order Modal Logic 365
11 From Statistics to Beliefs 395
12 Final Words 431
References 435
Glossary of Symbols 459
Index 463
Read More Show Less

Customer Reviews

Be the first to write a review
( 0 )
Rating Distribution

5 Star

(0)

4 Star

(0)

3 Star

(0)

2 Star

(0)

1 Star

(0)

Your Rating:

Your Name: Create a Pen Name or

Barnes & Noble.com Review Rules

Our reader reviews allow you to share your comments on titles you liked, or didn't, with others. By submitting an online review, you are representing to Barnes & Noble.com that all information contained in your review is original and accurate in all respects, and that the submission of such content by you and the posting of such content by Barnes & Noble.com does not and will not violate the rights of any third party. Please follow the rules below to help ensure that your review can be posted.

Reviews by Our Customers Under the Age of 13

We highly value and respect everyone's opinion concerning the titles we offer. However, we cannot allow persons under the age of 13 to have accounts at BN.com or to post customer reviews. Please see our Terms of Use for more details.

What to exclude from your review:

Please do not write about reviews, commentary, or information posted on the product page. If you see any errors in the information on the product page, please send us an email.

Reviews should not contain any of the following:

  • - HTML tags, profanity, obscenities, vulgarities, or comments that defame anyone
  • - Time-sensitive information such as tour dates, signings, lectures, etc.
  • - Single-word reviews. Other people will read your review to discover why you liked or didn't like the title. Be descriptive.
  • - Comments focusing on the author or that may ruin the ending for others
  • - Phone numbers, addresses, URLs
  • - Pricing and availability information or alternative ordering information
  • - Advertisements or commercial solicitation

Reminder:

  • - By submitting a review, you grant to Barnes & Noble.com and its sublicensees the royalty-free, perpetual, irrevocable right and license to use the review in accordance with the Barnes & Noble.com Terms of Use.
  • - Barnes & Noble.com reserves the right not to post any review -- particularly those that do not follow the terms and conditions of these Rules. Barnes & Noble.com also reserves the right to remove any review at any time without notice.
  • - See Terms of Use for other conditions and disclaimers.
Search for Products You'd Like to Recommend

Recommend other products that relate to your review. Just search for them below and share!

Create a Pen Name

Your Pen Name is your unique identity on BN.com. It will appear on the reviews you write and other website activities. Your Pen Name cannot be edited, changed or deleted once submitted.

 
Your Pen Name can be any combination of alphanumeric characters (plus - and _), and must be at least two characters long.

Continue Anonymously

    If you find inappropriate content, please report it to Barnes & Noble
    Why is this product inappropriate?
    Comments (optional)