Red Flag over Hong Kong

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On 1 July 1997 the red flag with five yellow stars of the People's Republic of China will be hoisted over Government House in Hong Kong, replacing the Union Jack and symbolizing the culmination of a profound political transition. The United Kingdom, which has governed the colony since 1841, will have transferred sovereignty and administrative responsibility over Hong Kong to mainland China's Communist party. Hong Kong is in for a rocky road in the years ahead. Future treatment of Hong Kong will be caught up in ...
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1996-07 Hardcover New in Like New jacket First printing. Beautiful brand new unread hardcover book in bright, new dustjacket. No markings or wear of any kind. Mendopower ... Employment Services carefully packs each book in high-quality bubble lined, envelopes. We appreciate your business and welcome any questionsMendoPower Employment Services will immediately and carefully pack this book in high-quality bubble lined, envelopes. Then we send you a confirmation e-mail. We appreciate your business and welcome any questions. Read more Show Less

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Overview

On 1 July 1997 the red flag with five yellow stars of the People's Republic of China will be hoisted over Government House in Hong Kong, replacing the Union Jack and symbolizing the culmination of a profound political transition. The United Kingdom, which has governed the colony since 1841, will have transferred sovereignty and administrative responsibility over Hong Kong to mainland China's Communist party. Hong Kong is in for a rocky road in the years ahead. Future treatment of Hong Kong will be caught up in the political competition for control of China. Victims of that competition will include the free press, academic freedom, open and fair elections, and some portion of market freedom. Hong Kong will not be as tightly controlled as the rest of China, but neither will it be the free and vivacious place it has been for the past half century. The political and economic landscape will be filled with uncertainty, cronyism, lost freedoms, and more corruption than has been known in the recent past. It is a bleak picture indeed. Such is the dire prophecy of Bruce Bueno de Mesquita, David Newman, and Alvin Rabushka, whose Red Flag over Hong Kong casts a cold eye on the future prospects of "the world's best example of the free-market economy, working as textbooks say it should." Applying to that unknown future a dynamic model of decision making that rests on the collection of data from a wide range of expert observers, the authors boldly seek to quantify human behavior and so derive a precise and reliable early forecast of Hong Kong's destiny at the hands of its communist masters.
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Editorial Reviews

Library Journal
This book explicitly addresses the middle class of Hong Kong, the international business community, and overseas Chinese. It predicts a bleak economic and political future for Hong Kong after it is ceded by the United Kingdom to China in 1997. Implicitly, the authors (two from the Hoover Institution and one from Lingman College in Hong Kong) appeal to the American public. They encourage outside pressure on some issues to check the Chinese government's desire to dissolve press freedom, the rule of law, and other fundamental human rights. The authors base their predictions on an expected utility model described in the appendix. The quantitative methodology is an outgrowth of international relations theory that began in the early 1960s. Also included in the appendix is the joint declaration of the United Kingdom and China on the future of Hong Kong. The book places in perspective what it calls the "tea leaf" predictions often provided to the American public. Highly recommended for academic and larger public libraries.Peggy Spitzer Christoff, Oak Park, Ill.
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Product Details

Table of Contents

Preface
1 To Go or Stay? 3
2 An Overview of Hong Kong 17
3 The Sweet and Sour of China 35
4 Words Have Meaning - or Do They? 49
5 China after Deng 69
6 The Future of Hong Kong 101
7 Fortune Cookies 121
App. A. Joint Declaration of the Government of the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland and the Government of the People's Republic of China on the Question of Hong Kong 143
App. B. The Forecasting Model and Its Track Record 165
Index 191
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