BN.com Gift Guide

Risk Analysis: A Quantitative Guide / Edition 2

Hardcover (Print)
Used and New from Other Sellers
Used and New from Other Sellers
from $14.99
Usually ships in 1-2 business days
(Save 92%)
Other sellers (Hardcover)
  • All (12) from $14.99   
  • New (6) from $75.88   
  • Used (6) from $14.99   

Overview

Risk Analysis: A Quantitative Guide is a comprehensive guide for the risk analyst and decision maker. Based on the author's extensive experience in solving real-world risk problems, this book is an invaluable aid to the risk analysis practitioner. By providing the building blocks of risk-based thinking the author guides the reader through the steps necessary to produce a realistic risk analysis and offers general and specific techniques to cope with most common and challenging risk modelling problems. A wide range of solved examples is used to illustrate these techniques and how they can be put together to make the best possible risk-based decisions.

The third edition of this highly regarded text has been thoroughly updated and expanded considerably with five new chapters for the risk manager, including how to plan and assess the quality of a risk analysis, as well as new chapters for the risk analysis modeller on summation of random variables, causality, optimization, insurance and finance modelling, forecasting, model validation and common errors, capital investment and microbial risk assessment. This new edition provides a greater focus on business and includes applications in a wide range of different settings.

About the Author:
David Vose is senior partner of Vose Consulting, a risk analysis consulting, software and training firm with offices in the US, Europe and Russia

Read More Show Less

Product Details

  • ISBN-13: 9780471997658
  • Publisher: Wiley, John & Sons, Incorporated
  • Publication date: 1/28/1978
  • Edition description: REV
  • Edition number: 2
  • Pages: 430
  • Product dimensions: 7.72 (w) x 9.92 (h) x 1.13 (d)

Meet the Author

David Vose is senior partner of Vose Consulting, a risk analysis consulting, software and training firm with offices in the US, Europe and Russia. He has worked in risk analysis since 1988 in an extensive range of industry and government problems from insurance, banking, corporate finance, food safety, nuclear power, and epidemiology to oil and gas, construction, utilities, and general commerce. he has co-authored and edited several international guidelines on risk. A charismatic speaker, David gives frequent public and in-house risk analysis seminars. David has served as expert witness in a variety of high profile court cases. A keen squash player, he lives with Veerle and their two children in Ghent, Belgium and dreams of one day owning an old Bentley when there's room in the garage..

Read More Show Less

Table of Contents

Pt. 1 Introduction 1

1 Why do a risk analysis? 3

2 Planning a risk analysis 21

3 The quality of a risk analysis 29

4 Choice of model structure 37

5 Understanding and using the results of a risk analysis 67

Pt. 2 Introduction 109

6 Probability mathematics and simulation 115

7 Building and running a model 145

8 Some basic random processes 167

9 Data and statistics 207

10 Fitting distributions to data 263

11 Sums of random variables 301

12 Forecasting with uncertainty 321

13 Modelling correlation and dependencies 353

14 Eliciting from expert opinion 393

15 Testing and modelling causal relationships 423

16 Optimisation in risk analysis 435

17 Checking and validating a model 451

18 Discounted cashflow modelling 461

19 Project risk analysis 473

20 Insurance and finance risk analysis modelling 493

21 Microbial food safety risk assessment 517

I Guide for lecturers 467

II About ModelRisk 569

III A compendium of distributions 585

IV Further reading 715

V Vose consulting 721

References 725

Index 729

Read More Show Less

Customer Reviews

Be the first to write a review
( 0 )
Rating Distribution

5 Star

(0)

4 Star

(0)

3 Star

(0)

2 Star

(0)

1 Star

(0)

Your Rating:

Your Name: Create a Pen Name or

Barnes & Noble.com Review Rules

Our reader reviews allow you to share your comments on titles you liked, or didn't, with others. By submitting an online review, you are representing to Barnes & Noble.com that all information contained in your review is original and accurate in all respects, and that the submission of such content by you and the posting of such content by Barnes & Noble.com does not and will not violate the rights of any third party. Please follow the rules below to help ensure that your review can be posted.

Reviews by Our Customers Under the Age of 13

We highly value and respect everyone's opinion concerning the titles we offer. However, we cannot allow persons under the age of 13 to have accounts at BN.com or to post customer reviews. Please see our Terms of Use for more details.

What to exclude from your review:

Please do not write about reviews, commentary, or information posted on the product page. If you see any errors in the information on the product page, please send us an email.

Reviews should not contain any of the following:

  • - HTML tags, profanity, obscenities, vulgarities, or comments that defame anyone
  • - Time-sensitive information such as tour dates, signings, lectures, etc.
  • - Single-word reviews. Other people will read your review to discover why you liked or didn't like the title. Be descriptive.
  • - Comments focusing on the author or that may ruin the ending for others
  • - Phone numbers, addresses, URLs
  • - Pricing and availability information or alternative ordering information
  • - Advertisements or commercial solicitation

Reminder:

  • - By submitting a review, you grant to Barnes & Noble.com and its sublicensees the royalty-free, perpetual, irrevocable right and license to use the review in accordance with the Barnes & Noble.com Terms of Use.
  • - Barnes & Noble.com reserves the right not to post any review -- particularly those that do not follow the terms and conditions of these Rules. Barnes & Noble.com also reserves the right to remove any review at any time without notice.
  • - See Terms of Use for other conditions and disclaimers.
Search for Products You'd Like to Recommend

Recommend other products that relate to your review. Just search for them below and share!

Create a Pen Name

Your Pen Name is your unique identity on BN.com. It will appear on the reviews you write and other website activities. Your Pen Name cannot be edited, changed or deleted once submitted.

 
Your Pen Name can be any combination of alphanumeric characters (plus - and _), and must be at least two characters long.

Continue Anonymously

    If you find inappropriate content, please report it to Barnes & Noble
    Why is this product inappropriate?
    Comments (optional)