Russia 2010: And What It Means for the World

Overview

2010: Russia disintegrates as its frontier regions rebel or drift into the orbit of neighboring countries. 2010: Russia is invigorated by an economic chudo — "miracle" — that turns it into a thriving exemplar of the free market. 2010: Russia becomes a grim military dictatorship, bent on expansion.

This brilliant and visionary book, which is based on a confidential report by the international consulting firm CERA, offers several persuasively detailed scenarios of Russia's future....

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Overview

2010: Russia disintegrates as its frontier regions rebel or drift into the orbit of neighboring countries. 2010: Russia is invigorated by an economic chudo — "miracle" — that turns it into a thriving exemplar of the free market. 2010: Russia becomes a grim military dictatorship, bent on expansion.

This brilliant and visionary book, which is based on a confidential report by the international consulting firm CERA, offers several persuasively detailed scenarios of Russia's future. Using the management technique of "scenario planning" and drawing on an extensive knowledge of Russia's political and economic history, Daniel Yergin and Thane Gustafson have produced a study that is already shaping the investment strategies of major corporations and that will become an essential text in the policy debates about the next century. Russia 2010 captures in a timely way the changes shaking Russia and the former Soviet Union after Communism. The result is one of those rare books that not only predict the future but have the power to change it.

An agenda-setting book on the future of Russia and its relationship with the West, by the author of The Prize and one of America's top experts on Russia. Three "histories of the future" for Russia over the next 20 years and the consequences for the US and other countries.

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Editorial Reviews

From the Publisher
"Important... an intelligent and essential guide .... Whatever the West does should be done on the basis of clear-eyed knowledge of what Russia really is like. Reading this book would be a good place to start." — Chicago Tribune

"Original .... A text which will be of enormous help for all who wish to think open-mindedly about Russia's inscrutable future."

Publishers Weekly - Publisher's Weekly
In a bold report, Pulitzer Prize-winning historian Yergin ( The Prize ) and Gustafson, a Georgetown University professor of government, outline several potential scenarios for the future of Russia. The most optimistic one, `` Chudo '' (Russian for miracle ), predicts an economic renaissance based on vastly improved efficiency, capital investment to rebuid the social and physical infrastructure and production of new types of goods. More pessimistic scenarios range from a ``Red-Brown'' coalition of communists and fascists, to a noncommunist but conservative technocracy, to the dissolution of Russia itself as the Russian Far East and Siberia are drawn into the orbits of China and Japan. The authors believe that regardless of which scenario occurs, some form of capitalism will evolve by the year 2010. (Nov.)
Library Journal
Though perhaps best known for The Prize LJ 2/15/91, Yergin also has a distinguished record in participating in studies of the future, dating from his co-editorship of Energy Future: Report of the Energy Project at the Harvard Business School Ballantine, 1979. Here, the emphasis is on ``scenario planning,'' with the authors exploring the implications for the West of intriguing if quite different forecasts of Russia's future. Contemporary, crisp, and very provocative, the book is especially good in the concluding sections, exploring Russia's return to great power status; however, the authors' analysis is solid throughout. Highly recommended for academic libraries; also appropriate for general audiences. Previewed in Prepub Alert, LJ 5/15/93.-- Joseph R. Rudolph Jr., Towson State Univ.
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Product Details

  • ISBN-13: 9780679759225
  • Publisher: Knopf Doubleday Publishing Group
  • Publication date: 2/28/1995
  • Edition description: Revised Edition
  • Edition number: 1
  • Pages: 352
  • Sales rank: 731,921
  • Product dimensions: 5.31 (w) x 8.13 (h) x 0.81 (d)

Meet the Author

Daniel Yergin
Daniel Yergin

Daniel Yergin, chairman of Cambridge Energy Research Associates and the Global Energy Expert for the CNBC business news network, is a highly respected authority on energy, international politics, and economics. Dr. Yergin received the Pulitzer Prize for the number one bestseller The Prize: The Epic Quest for Oil, Money & Power, which was also made into an eight-hour PBS/BBC series seen by 20 million people in the United States. The book has been translated into 12 languages. It also received the Eccles Prize for best book on an economic subject for a general audience.
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Table of Contents

Preface by Joseph Stanislaw
The World Behind the Mirror

Part One
The New Russian Revolution

Part Two
The Battle for Power
The Big Engine that Couldn't
The Implosion of Empire
Players and Prime Movers
That the Guard Not Tire
The Rough Road to the Market

Part Three
Muddling Down
Two-Headed Eagle
The Time of Troubles: Chaos and Reaction
The Long Good-bye
The Russian Bear

Part Four
Capitalism Russian-Style: 2010 and Beyond
Chudo at Work—The New Russian Entrepreneurs: “Evident but Unbelievable”
Surprises

Part Five
The Return of a Great Power with Angela Stent
Who Pays for the Plowshares? Foreign Investors and the New Capitalists
Russia and the West

Appendix: Newly Independent States of the Former Soviet Union

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