Russia and Postmodern Deterrence: Military Power and Its Challenges for Security

Overview


Russia is a post-communist country struggling to adapt to the modern world economically and politically. In the twenty-first century, Russia faces postmodern social, cultural, and political problems with its old policy of deterrence. For Russia’s political leaders and military planners, three scenarios define their postmodern setting: 1) the world’s leading military and economic powers, with the exception of China, are market-based economies and political democracies; 2) the revolution in military affairs, based...
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Overview


Russia is a post-communist country struggling to adapt to the modern world economically and politically. In the twenty-first century, Russia faces postmodern social, cultural, and political problems with its old policy of deterrence. For Russia’s political leaders and military planners, three scenarios define their postmodern setting: 1) the world’s leading military and economic powers, with the exception of China, are market-based economies and political democracies; 2) the revolution in military affairs, based on advances in information, electronics, and communications, is driving both civil and military technology innovation; and 3) the Cold War’s fundamental war-fighting premises, such as deterrence based on nuclear weapons and on conventional armed forces organized and trained for massive wars of attrition, have changed radically.

These points’ implications for future Russian strategy are profound, Stephen J. Cimbala and Peter Rainow argue. Russia faces an increased presence of its former adversary, the United States, in adjacent territories; an increasingly assertive NATO, which includes many of Moscow’s former allies; and continued fighting in Chechnya. Ominously, China aspires to overtake Russia as the world’s second-ranked military power and establish its hegemony over the Pacific basin. In short, Russia confronts a radically new political and military world order that demands adapting to postmodern thinking about deterrence and defense. The danger is that Russia, realizing that it lags behind in leveraging modern technology for military purposes and that it must scrap its dependence on conscription, now relies on nuclear weapons as its first line of deterrence against either nuclear or conventional attack.

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Editorial Reviews

Lawrence Korb

“A must read for policymakers and scholars concerned with relations between the United States and Russia.”—Lawrence Korb, senior fellow with the Center for American Progress and senior adviser with the Center for Defense Information
Colin S. Gray

Russia and Postmodern Deterrence is an outstanding analysis of Russia’s contemporary security dilemmas. It is culturally empathetic, historically well founded, and technically sophisticated. This book is a superb guide to Russia's strategic context today and tomorrow.”—Colin S. Gray, author of Another Bloody Century: Future Warfare
Choice

"A worthy addition to the scholarship related to Russia's military challenges. Recommended."—Choice
From the Publisher
". . . .a worthy addition to the scholarship related to Russia's military challenges. Recommended."

“A must read for policymakers and scholars concerned with relations between the United States and Russia.”

Russia and Postmodern Deterrence is an outstanding analysis of Russia’s contemporary security dilemmas. It is culturally empathetic, historically well founded, and technically sophisticated. This book is a superb guide to Russia's strategic context today and tomorrow.”

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Product Details

Meet the Author

Stephen J. Cimbala is Distinguished Professor of Political Science at Penn State Brandywine and the author of Russia and Postmodern Deterrence: Military Power and Its Challenges for Security (with Peter Rainow, Potomac Books, Inc., 2007). He has served as a consultant to various U.S. government agencies and defense contractors and has been cited in many U.S. and foreign media sources. He lives in Media, Pennsylvania.

Peter Jacob Rainow is a defense consultant and author or co-author of five books on security issues. In 1991-1992, he participated in the Consensus Project on the future of U.S.-Russian relations at the John M. Olin Institute of Strategic Studies, Harvard University. He was a visiting scholar at Stanford University in 1996-1997. Rainow lives in Foster City, California.

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Table of Contents

Inside Russia and Postmodern Deterrence

Chapter 1: The Ghost of Barbarossa: Avoiding Surprise Attack

Chapter 2: Russia and Military Transformation: Perspectives from the First Nuclear Age

Chapter 3: Russian Nuclear Command and Control and Stable Deterrence

Chapter 4: Missile Defenses and U.S.– Russian Relations

Chapter 5: Russia and Nuclear Proliferation: Fateful Choices and Rational Decision

Chapter 6: Russia's War in Chechnya, 1994–1996: Laboratory and Lessons

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