Social Choice and the Mathematics of Manipulation

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Overview

Honesty in voting is not always the best policy. This is a book for mathematicians, political scientists, economists and philosophers who want to understand how it is impossible to devise a reasonable voting system in which voters can never gain by submitting a disingenuous ballot. The book requires no prerequisites except a willingness to follow rigorous mathematical arguments.
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Editorial Reviews

From the Publisher
"...until recently there has been a problem facing mathematicians who are interested in learning about [the mathematics of elections]...I am pleased to say that this is no longer the case, as Alan D. Taylor's recently released Social Choice and the Mathematics of Manipulation fits this bill perfectly."
MAA Reviews, Darren Glass

"[T]his book is a little gem. It will be especially prized by those who need to understand voting systems and how they can be manipulated by individual voters."
Mathematics Today

"Taylor's book gives an excellent overview of many results stemming from Gibbard's and Satterthwaite's original analysis...The general organization of the book is excellent. This is truly a wonderful book and it can be recommended to mathematicians looking for applications in the social sciences" - Marice Salles

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Product Details

  • ISBN-13: 9780521810524
  • Publisher: Cambridge University Press
  • Publication date: 5/31/2005
  • Series: Outlooks Series
  • Pages: 190
  • Sales rank: 1,211,354
  • Product dimensions: 5.98 (w) x 8.98 (h) x 0.51 (d)

Read an Excerpt


Cambridge University Press
0521810523 - Social Choice and the Mathematics of Manipulation - by Alan D. Taylor
Excerpt



PART ONE





1

An Introduction to Social Choice Theory


1.1 Some Intuitions, Terminology, and an Example

In a capitalist democracy there are, according to Nobel Laureate Kenneth J. Arrow (Arrow, 1950), "essentially two ways by which social choices can be made: voting, typically used to make 'political' decisions, and the market mechanism, typically used to make 'economic' decisions." Our concern here is exclusively with the former.

Thus, for us, democratic theory is, in the words of Peter C. Fishburn (Fishburn, 1973, p. 3), "based on the premise that the resolution of a matter of social policy, group choice, or collective action should be based on the preferences of the individuals in the society, group, or collective." And social choice theory is, as William H. Riker put it (Riker, 1986, p. xi), "the description and analysis of the way that the preferences of individual members of a group are amalgamated into a decision of the group as a whole." Arrow, by the way, is an economist, Fishburn a mathematician, and Riker a political scientist.

Let's start with a very simple example. Suppose we have an academic department with ten faculty members, one of whom is serving as chair. They are in the process of filling a position in the department and have interviewed five finalists for the job. Needless to say, the different department members disagree on the ranking of the five, and what is needed is some procedure for passing from the preferences of the individuals in the department to the "preferences," if you will, of the group.

First, let's ask what the ballots could look like. If we were to opt for simplicity, a ballot would have just a single name on it, representing (we presume, perhaps naïvely) the candidate who is that department member's top choice. Or, we could allow a ballot to contain several names, intuitively representing either a group that this department member feels is tied for the top, or those candidates that the department member finds acceptable ("approves of " in the parlance of the voting system called approval voting, which we discuss later).

But none of these ballot types is very expressive, and, in voting situations such as we are describing, one tends to use ballots that allow each department member to rank-order the candidates from best to worst, in his or her opinion, perhaps allowing ties (representing indifference) in the individual ballots and perhaps not.1 Intuitively, this description of a ballot is fine, but some of what we do in this book requires a bit more precision. So let us momentarily set this example to one side and introduce some notation and terminology.

We make use of the universal quantifier "∀" meaning "for all" and the existential quantifier "∃" meaning "there exists." We do not, however, display or abbreviate the phrase "such that," although it is almost always required in reading an expression such as
Display matter not available in HTML version

We also use the standard abbreviation "iff " for "if and only if."

Set-theoretically, |A| denotes the number of elements in the finite set A, and ⃞(A) is collection of all subsets of A. If n is a positive integer, then [A]n = {X ∈ ⃞(A): |A| = n}. Any subset R of A × A is a binary relation on A, and in this case we write "aRb" or we say "aRb holds" to indicate that (a, b) ∈ R, and we write "⃞(aRb)" or say "aRb fails" to indicate that (a, b) ∉ R. Finally, if R is a binary relation on A and v ⊆ A, then the restriction of R to v, denoted R|v, is the binary relation on v given by R|v = R ∩ (v × v).

The binary relations we are most concerned with satisfy one or more of the following properties.

Definition 1.1.1. A binary relation R on a set A is:

reflexive if x ∈ A, xRx
irreflexive if x ∈ A, ⃞(xRx)
symmetric if x, y ∈ A, if xRy, then yRx
asymmetric if x, y ∈ A, if xRy, then ⃞(yRx)
antisymmetric if x, y ∈ A, if xRy and yRx, then x = y
transitive if x, y, z ∈ A, if xRy and yRz, then xRz
complete if x, y ∈ A, either xRy or yRx

Definition 1.1.2. A binary relation R on a set A is a weak ordering (of A) if it is transitive and complete and a linear ordering (of A) if it is also antisymmetric.

If R is a weak ordering of A, then the completeness of R implies (letting x = y) that R is also reflexive. Intuitively, a weak ordering corresponds to a list with ties, with xRy being thought of as asserting that x is at least as good as y. A linear ordering corresponds to a list without ties, with xRy now being thought of as asserting that either x = y or x is strictly better than y.

Associated to each weak ordering R of A, there are two so-called derived relations P and I.

Definition 1.1.3. If R is a weak ordering of A, then the derived relations of strict preference P and indifference I are arrived at by asserting that xPy iff ⃞(yRx) and xIy iff xRy and yRx.

If R is a linear ordering of A, then the derived relation I is just equality, and the derived relation P is referred to as a strict linear ordering of A. Exercise 1 asks for verification that if R is a weak ordering, then the derived relation P of strict preference is transitive and asymmetric (and thus irreflexive), while the derived relation I of indifference is reflexive, symmetric, and transitive. Thus, I is an equivalence relation, and P is a strict linear ordering of the I-equivalence classes.

The following definition uses the concepts of weak and linear orderings to formalize some election-theoretic terminology.

Definition 1.1.4. If A is a finite non-empty set (which we think of as the set of alternatives from which the voters are choosing), then an A-ballot is a weak ordering of A. If, additionally, n is a positive integer (where we think of N = {1, . . . , n} as being the set of voters), then an (A, n)-profile is an n-tuple of A-ballots. Similarly, a linear A-ballot is a linear ordering of A, and a linear (A, n)-profile is an n-tuple of linear A-ballots.

When the set A of alternatives and the integer n are clear from the context, we will use "ballot" in place of "A-ballot" and "profile" in place of "(A, n)-profile." Similarly, we will often use a phrase like "If P is a profile" as an abbreviation for the phrase "If P is an (A, n)-profile for some set A and some positive integer n." This latter remark is illustrated in the next paragraph.

If P is a profile, then Ri denotes its ith component (that is, the ballot of the ith voter), with Pi and Ii denoting the corresponding derived relations of strict preference and indifference for the ith voter. When we have several profiles under consideration at the same time, we use names such as P, P′, and P′ ′, with the understanding that their components and the derived relations also carry the prime, double prime, etc.

If P = <R1, . . . , Rn> is an (A, n)-profile and X ⊆ A, then the restriction of P to X, denoted P|X, is the profile <R1|X, . . . , Rn|X>. If i ∈ N, then P|N - {i} is the profile <R1, . . . , Ri-1, Ri+1, . . . , Rn>. This dual use of the vertical bar should cause no confusion.

The following definition collects some additional ballot-theoretic notation we will need.

Definition 1.1.5. Suppose P is a linear (A, n)-profile, X is a set of alternatives (that is, X ⊆ A), and i is a voter (that is, i ∈ N). Then:

topi (P) = x iff y ∈ A xRiy
maxi (X, P) = x iff x ∈ X and ∀y ∈ X xRiy
mini (X, P) = x iff x ∈ X and ∀y ∈ X yRix

Thus, maxi(X, P) is the element of X that voter i has most highly ranked on his or her ballot in P, and mini(X, P) is the one ranked lowest. Topi(P) is the alternative that voter i has at the top of his or her ballot in P. Hence, topi(P) = maxi(A, P) and maxi(X, P) = topi(P|X).

Once we have decided what the ballots will look like, it might well seem natural to ask what we do with these ballots to find a winner. That, however, is somewhat getting ahead of ourselves. What we really need to decide first is what kind of outcome our balloting should yield.

For example, should the outcome in the departmental hiring example that we considered earlier be a single winner with the understanding that the chair will call that candidate with the offer, and if he or she refuses, then the chair will reconvene the department and start the balloting process all over again? Or do we allow ties in the outcome of the balloting, with the understanding, perhaps, that either the chair or the dean will be allowed to break the tie?

From the chair's point of view, perhaps the most desirable outcome is neither of these, but instead a list without ties - a linear ordering - that gives the department's "overall ranking" (an intuitive phrase, at best) of the candidates. The chair can then begin at the top, and make the calls one by one until the position is accepted. Similarly, if the outcome is a list with ties - a weak ordering - then we could once again agree to give either the chair or the dean tie-breaking power.

But suppose we are in a situation wherein we proceed to individually rank-order all the candidates, and then, while the chair is handling the accompanying administrative tasks involving the dean and the college affirmative action officer, several candidates notify the department that they have accepted other offers and no longer wish to be considered. To handle such contingencies, we might want the outcome of the election to be a "choice function" that selects one or more "winners" from each non-empty subset of candidates.

This last possibility is an interesting one, and later in this chapter we say something about the historical perspective from the field of economics that apparently played a role in the prominence of so-called choice functions in the formalism. But for now, we conclude the present section with precise definitions of the different kinds of "social choice procedures" alluded to earlier.2

Definition 1.1.6. Suppose that A is a non-empty set, n is a positive integer, and V is a function whose domain is the collection of all (A, n)-profiles.3 Then V is:

(1) a resolute voting rule for (A, n) if, for every (A, n)-profile P, the election outcome V(P) is a single element of A,
(2) a voting rule for (A, n) if, for every (A, n)-profile P, the election outcome V(P) is a non-empty4 subset of A,
(3) a social choice function for (A, n) if, for every (A, n)-profile P, the election outcome V(P) is a "choice function" C that picks out a non-empty subset C(v) of v for each non-empty subset v of A,
(4) a resolute social choice function for (A, n) if, for every (A, n)-profile P, the election outcome V(P) is a choice function C that picks out a single element C(v) from v for each non-empty subset v of A,
(5) a social welfare function for (A, n) if, for every (A, n)-profile P, the election outcome V(P) is a weak ordering of A, and
(6) a resolute social welfare function for (A, n) if, for every (A, n)-profile P, the election outcome V(P) is a linear ordering of A.

The set v of alternatives occurring in (3) and (4) is called an agenda.5 In general, V is called an aggregation procedure if it is any one of (1)-(6). As before, we suppress the reference to the pair (A, n) whenever possible.

In point of fact, our primary concern is with the first three aggregation procedures given in Definition 1.1.6:

(1) resolute voting rules (Chapter 3 and 7)
(2) (non-resolute) voting rules (Chapters 4 and 8)
(3) social choice functions (Chapters 5 and 8).

With each kind of aggregation procedure, there are two contexts in which we work: the one in which only linear ballots are considered and the other in which we allow ties in the ballots.

But before we press on with any additional notation and terminology, let us pause to give a quick historical overview of the field of social choice theory. This will, at the same time, provide an informal introduction to a number of aggregation procedures, most of which are rigorously defined in Section 1.4.

1.2 A Little History

Jean Charles Chevalier de Borda (1733-99) was, according to Duncan Black (1958, p. 156), "the first thinker to develop a mathematical theory of elections." In Borda's 1781 paper (apparently the only one of his that we now possess) he introduced the aggregation procedure that is known today as the Borda count. It selects a winner (or winners) from among k alternatives by assigning each alternative k-1 points for each ballot on which it appears first, k-2 points for each ballot on which it occurs second, and so on. The points are then summed, with the winner (or winners) being the alternative with the most points. If ties in the ballots are allowed, the procedure can be suitably modified. These so-called Borda scores can also be used to produce a list, perhaps with ties, as the outcome of an election. Interestingly, recent historical work by McLean and Urken (1993) and Pukelsheim (unpublished) reveals that Borda's system had been explicitly described in 1433 by Nicholas of Cusa (1401-64), a Renaissance scholar interested in the question of how German kings should be elected.

In that same 1781 paper, Borda pointed out a very nice equivalent version of the Borda count, not often referred to today, that goes as follows: Each alternative is pitted one-on-one against each of the other alternatives, based on the ballots cast. Having done this, one doesn't just look for the alternative that defeats the most other alternatives - this would be quite a different social choice procedure, one known today as Copeland's function and introduced in an unpublished 1951 note by A. H. Copeland (Fishburn, 1973, p. 170). Instead, one looks for the alternative with the greatest total score from these one-on-one contests. For example, if one of four alternatives defeats two others by scores of 4-3 and 5-2, but loses to the third by a score of 6-1, then that alternative's total score is 4 + 5 + 1 = 10.

In fact, this latter characterization of the Borda count gives rise to an easy way to hand-calculate Borda scores given a sequence of ballots: Given an alternative a, one simply counts the total number of occurrences of other alternatives below a, proceeding ballot-by-ballot (Taylor, 1995). It is easy to see that this is the same as Borda's equivalent, the difference being that what we are suggesting here is a ballot-by-ballot enumeration instead of an alternative-by-alternative enumeration.

But Borda was not alone in his election-theoretic ponderings, as a systematic theory of elections was, as Black (1958, p. 156) again informs us, "part of the general uprush of thought in France in the second half of the eighteenth century." For example, Borda's "method of marks" arose again in 1795 in the writings of Pierre-Simon, Marquis de Laplace (1749-1827), who derived the method via some probabilistic considerations.

However, no one's contributions at that time were more important than the observations of Marie Jean Antoine Nicolas Caritat, Marquis de Condorcet (1743-94). In a 1785 publication (Condorcet, 1785) he explicitly discussed what we now call the "Condorcet voting paradox" wherein we find that if a group of voters is broken into three equal-size groups with preferences for three alternatives as shown below, then a majority prefers a to b, a majority prefers b to c, but (somewhat paradoxically) a majority also prefers c to a.

Group #1 Group #2 Group #3
a b c
b c a
c a b
The Condorcet Voting Paradox

For a given sequence of ballots, a candidate that would defeat each of the other candidates in a one-on-one contest - based on the ballots - is called a Condorcet winner for that election. For example, if we regard the U.S. presidential race of 2000 in the state of Florida as one with four candidates (Bush, Gore, Nader, and Buchanan), then it is almost certainly true that Gore was the Condorcet winner. Of course, Bush won using what is known as plurality voting, wherein one simply looks for the alternative with the most first-place votes.

The name "Condorcet's method" is often applied to the voting procedure in which the Condorcet winner, if there is one, is the unique winner of the election and there is no winner otherwise. Like Borda, Condorcet was anticipated by several centuries. Indeed, very recent research by Pukelsheim et al. (unpublished) shows that Condorcet's method can be traced back at least to Ramon Llull (1232-1316), a Catalan philosopher and missionary who was involved in devising election schemes for selecting the abbess of a convent. (See Pukelsheim's amusing "Spotlight" on page 418 of COMAP, 2003.)

Condorcet knew of Borda's work and Condorcet pointed out in his writings that Borda's method of marks, like plurality voting, can result in a Condorcet winner not being elected. Nevertheless, even Condorcet would probably have been surprised that this "defect" would one day determine a presidential election, as it did in the United States in the year 2000.

The nineteenth century saw a few small election-theoretic results from people like Issac Todhunter (1820-84), M. W. Crofton (1826-1915), E. J. Nanson (1850-1936), and Francis Galton (1822-1911). But it was the Reverend Charles Lutwidge Dodgson (1832-98) - better known by the pseudonym Lewis Carroll - who made the most significant contributions at the time, beginning with his rediscovery in 1874 of the Condorcet voting paradox. Dodgson was the Mathematical Lecturer at Christ Church, and he even published a monograph entitled Elementary Treatise on Determinants between the appearance of Alice's Adventures in Wonderland (1865) and Through the Looking Glass, and What Alice Found There (1872). The mathematical biographer E. T. Bell spoke of Dodgson as having in him "the stuff of a great mathematical logician" (Black, 1958, p. 195), and Duncan Black characterized Dodgson's understanding of the theory of elections and committees as "second only to that of Condorcet" (Black, 1958, p. 212).



© Cambridge University Press
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Table of Contents

1. Introduction; 2. The Gibbard–Satterthwaite theorem; 3. Additional results for single-valued elections; 4. The Duggan–Schwartz theorem; 5. Additional results for multi-valued elections; 6. Ballots that rank sets; 7. Elections with outcomes that are lotteries; 8. Elections with variable agendas; References; Index.
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