South Asia's Integration into the World Economy

Overview

This study provides perhaps the first attempt to take a comprehensive look at what the process of integrating South Asia into the world economy has already accomplished, at the potentialities for further integration (on a regional as well as a global basis), and at the implications for the region of the Uruguay Round, especially its provisions on clothing and textiles. The study also considers the implications of capital mobility, as the region is plugged into the world capital market, and as it opens its doors ...
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Overview

This study provides perhaps the first attempt to take a comprehensive look at what the process of integrating South Asia into the world economy has already accomplished, at the potentialities for further integration (on a regional as well as a global basis), and at the implications for the region of the Uruguay Round, especially its provisions on clothing and textiles. The study also considers the implications of capital mobility, as the region is plugged into the world capital market, and as it opens its doors to foreign direct investment. The report ' s message is essentially positive. Exports have responded to the new opportunities. But the study also makes it clear that South Asia still has a long way to go. It still has the highest tariffs in the world; more quantitative restrictions than most other regions; it is still less open than other regions; its international trade is minuscule; and its inflow of direct investment is still modest compared to other regions. The study concludes with optimism: few regions have as much to gain from the worldwide trend toward increased integration as South Asia, and the prospects for the region fulfilling this potential seem favorable.
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Product Details

Table of Contents

Foreword
Summary 1
Ch. 1 Economic Integration 4
I South Asia's Economic Performance in International Perspective 5
II South Asia and the Global Economy 6
III Economic Structure and Integration 11
IV Export Performance 15
Ch. 2 Financial Integration 19
I Financial Integration: Measures, Benefits and Risks 20
II Trends in South Asia's Financial Integration 22
III Toward Sustained Flows and Enhanced Productivity 30
Ch. 3 Regional Integration 32
I IntraRegional Trade in South Asia 32
II Simulation of the Benefits from Preferential Liberalization 36
Ch. 4 The International Economic Environment 38
I Global Environment 38
II Outlook for South Asia 40
III Current Account Vulnerabilities 41
Ch. 5 Prospects for South Asian Exports Emphasizing Textiles and Clothing 44
I Multi-Fibre Arrangement: Benefits From Abolition 45
II Simulations of Export Growth and Changes in Export Structure 47
III Welfare Gains from MFA Abolition 50
IV Productivity Improvements in the Apparel Sector 53
V Impact of Trade Liberalization 55
Conclusions 57
Bibliography 59
Annex I.I Trade indicators 65
Annex I.II Adjusting the trade to GDP ratios 75
Annex II.I Private capital flows 80
Annex II.II Evolution of investment and regulatory regimes in South Asia 92
Annex II.III Foreign direct investments in South Asian countries 94
Annex III Intraregional trade 99
Annex IV.I The importance of textile and clothing exports to South Asian countries 104
Annex IV.II The baseline simulations: assumptions and methodology 113
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