Stocks for the Long Run: The Definitive Guide to Financial Market Returns & Long-Term Investment Strategy / Edition 4

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For more than a decade, Stocks for the Long Run has been the authoritative guide to understanding market forces and building a successful portfolio. In this new fourth edition, Jeremy Siegel updates his argument for long-term stock market investment with: comparisons of ETFs, mutual funds, and index options and futures; evidence that the rapid growth of emerging markets will not only continue but may accelerate; insight into the benefits of fundamental indexation over market value indexation; an updated look at the surprising validity of Calendar Effects; and fresh analysis of the best-performing stocks since the formulation of the S&P 500 Index.

Praise for previous editions of STOCKS FOR THE LONG RUN

"One of the ten best investment books of all time."
--The Washington Post

“A simply great book.”

“One of the top ten business books of the year.”

“Should command a central place on the desk of any 'amateur' investor or beginning professional.”

“Siegel's case for stocks is unbridled and compelling.”
--USA Today

“A clearly written, neatly organized, highly persuasive exposition that lifts the veil of mystery from investing.”
--John C. Bogle, Founder and former Chairman, The Vanguard Group

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Product Details

  • ISBN-13: 9780071494700
  • Publisher: McGraw-Hill Professional Publishing
  • Publication date: 11/27/2007
  • Edition description: REV
  • Edition number: 4
  • Pages: 436
  • Product dimensions: 7.70 (w) x 9.50 (h) x 1.40 (d)

Meet the Author

Jeremy J. Siegel is the Russell E. Palmer Professor of Finance at The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania, the academic director of the Securities Industry Institute, and a senior investment strategy advisor to WisdomTree Investments, which creates and markets exchange-traded funds.

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Customer Reviews

Average Rating 3.5
( 8 )
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Sort by: Showing all of 13 Customer Reviews
  • Posted August 1, 2009

    Hasn't the credit crisis shown that the Emporer Siegel has no clothes?

    Not to mention the survivor bias of Siegel's dataset, but how can any asset class - stock, commodities, you name it - provide a return on invested capital higher (in the long run) than the long-run growth rate of global GDP? It's mathematically impossible b/c the stock market would consume global GDP. I think this suggests that the long run equity premium is lower than what people have historically assumed - and with that the long-run return of equities as an asset class. Siegel writes a short page or two on the "equity premium puzzle" but mis-understands it. Siegel rode to fame on the same leveraged economy that others have (Greenspan, etc.). He should revisit his work. I recently bought this with the hope of achieving insight, but found none.

    1 out of 2 people found this review helpful.

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  • Posted February 18, 2009

    Excellent Survey of the Stock Market

    This is Jeremy Siegel's seminal work covering much of the theory behind what drives stock prices. No matter what level of knowledge you might have of the market, whether as a novice investor or as an experienced pro, there's something new you can learn from Stocks for the Long Run.<BR/><BR/>Siegel combines theory with history and summarizes the results from some very interesting research in Stocks for the Long Run. Each edition of the book brings new data and new analysis to the surface. A very good example of the latter is the fourth edition's introduction of what Siegel calls the "Noisy Market Hypothesis," which previously had only been introduced in an article Siegel contributed to the Wall Street Journal in July 2006. <BR/><BR/>Meanwhile, Stocks for the Long Run is an essential resource for any investor since it not only provides historic data to use for reference, it also answers questions that might motivate investment decisions, such as "Does the Dogs of the Dow strategy really work?" or "Is there something to the January Effect?" <BR/><BR/>But none of those things is what the main thrust of the book is about. Siegel's basic premise argues that stocks, held for very long periods of time, deliver superior returns compared to other types of investments. Siegel clearly has the weight of history to back his arguments, and as long as the future continues to resemble the past and people tomorrow continue to act like people a hundred years ago, thirty years ago, ten years ago or yesterday, the outperformance of stocks over other types of investments over long periods of time is likely to continue. <BR/><BR/>If you're an investor, or are studying to go into the financial industry, or are a long-time financial and investing professional, a copy of Jeremy Siegel's Stocks for the Long Run belongs on your bookshelf. Highly recommended.<BR/><BR/>-- Ironman at Political Calculations

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  • Posted January 9, 2009

    more from this reviewer

    I Also Recommend:

    Just because it has worked, doesn't mean it always will

    Holding stocks for the long run is a totally sound idea -- as long as you get in at the right time! Buying stocks after the 1929 Wall Street Crash, holding them and reinvesting the dividends, would have been a great idea. Buying stocks immediately prior to the crash, and holding them all the way down, would not have been so smart. More recently: buying stocks in mid 2007, and particularly financial stocks that had apparently good fundamentals, and holding them through the massive decilnes would also not have been too smart. To be fair, this book does allude to the importance of timing in its talk of Raskob in Chapter 1 -- but then more-or-less dismisses it.<BR/><BR/>I'm interested in the value investing vs. market timing trade-off, and so I explored it myself using real data in "Stock Fundamentals On Trial: Do Dividend Yield, P/E and PEG Really Work?". I took a much shorter (recent) timeline than Siegel, so a direct comparison is not valid. But I justify this because most investors, despite their best intentions, will not hold stocks that fall in price unless the fall is very temporary. So they're market timers after all: it's just that they time their exits (badly) and don't time their entries at all.<BR/><BR/>I agree with Siegel's charts that show how well stocks have performed over the decades. In fact, I included a chart (figure 38) in "Financial Trading Patterns" showing how a buy-and-hold approach would have beaten market timing over a 23-year span to October 2007. But my point is this:<BR/><BR/>If I had the data, I could perhaps draw a chart showing the continual rise of horse-and-cart production over hundereds of years. But it all came to a swift end when Henry Ford appeared on the scene. Holding Stocks for the Lun Run can work, and it has worked. But we can't guarantee that it always will; and it will take you a long time to find out either way. Or, you'll give up (when you have to) at exactly the wrong time.

    0 out of 1 people found this review helpful.

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  • Anonymous

    Posted September 21, 2002

    Safer investing

    Gaining a perspective of the long term is essential for today's stock investors. Too many got caught up in the day trading frenzy of recent years. Siegel's book teaches us the patience of longer term investing and how that method can be used to reduce risk. Risk reduction is an essential ingredient for today's successful investor. In conjunction with this book, I recommend another that demonstrates a different way to minimize market risk: THE SHORT BOOK ON OPTIONS demystifies options and shows the reader how to use them to add safety and profitability to your portfolio. Using Siegel's method of stock investment, coupled with using options makes for a safer method of investing. It works for me and I'm confident it will work for you.

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