Table of Contents
Contents
Part One
Chapter One: U.S. Grand Strategies: Implications for the United States and the World, Zalmay Khalizad
New International Structure Alternative Grand Strategies
Conclusion
References
Part Two
Chapter Two: Western Europe, Ronald D. Asmus
Europe's New Strategic Landscape
The New Political Landscape: Germany, France, and the United Kingdom
The EU's Uncertain Future
Quo Vadis the Atlantic Alliance?
Conclusion
References
Chapter Three: Russia, Fritz Ermarth
Introduction and Background
Time Dimensions
Confusion
Politics
The Economy
Crime
The Russian Military
Security Issues
Some Forecasts and Implications
Bibliography
Chapter Four: The Balkans, F. Stephen Larrabee
Dayton and Beyond
Bulgaria, Romania, and Albania
Greece: The Winds of Change
Turkey: A New Regional Power?
The Russian Factor
The Western Role
References
Chapter Five: East Central Europe, F. Stephen Larrabee
The Postcommunist Resurgence
Economic Reform and Political Consolidation: A Balance Sheet
Military Reform and Defense Policy
Regional Cooperation
The Russian Factor
Ukraine: The Critical Swing Factor
Ties to the European Union
NATO Enlargement
Prospects for the Future
Bibliography
Chapter Six: Japan, Norm Levin
Introduction and Background
Living with the Past
Living Without the Soviets
Debating Defense After the Cold War
Conclusion
References
Chapter Seven: Korea, Abram N. Shulsky
Understanding the Current Situation on the Korean Peninsula
Long-TermDevelopments and Possibilities
Reference
Chapter Eight: China, Michael D. Swaine
Introduction and Background
Changes in China's Strategic Environment
Chinese Security Policy
Naval and Air Acquisitions
Implications for the United States
References
Chapter Nine: Middle East,Graham Fuller
Introduction and Background
The Peace Process
Egypt: The Continuing Struggle Against
Fundamentalism
Deterioration of Algerian Stability
Iraq: Saddam's Decline and the Kurdish Dilemma
KuwaitThe Continuing Threat from Iraq
Civil War and Instability in Yemen
Sudan: Fundamentalism in Power
The Persian Gulf: Iranian Threats?
Conclusion
Chapter Ten: Caucasus and Central Asia, Paul Henze
Introduction and BackgroundThe Caucasus
Introduction and BackgroundCentral Asia
The Burden of History
The Significance of Russia
International Response to Independence
U.S. Interests in the Caucasus and Central Asia
Current Realities and Policy ChallengesCentral Asia
Deterioration in the Caucasus
The Future of American Policy Toward the Caucasus and Central Asia
Future Military Requirements
Extreme but Unlikely Contingencies
References
Chapter Eleven: LATIN AMERICA, Kevin M. O'Connell
Potential Hotspots
Drug Interdiction
Conclusion
Chapter Twelve: South Asia, Ashley J. Tellis
The Grand Strategies of the South Asian States During
the Cold War
Reorienting Grand Strategy After the Cold War
Looking to the Future: Implications for U.S. Air Power
References
Chapter Thirteen: Africa, Margaret C. Harrell
Introduction and Background
Snapshots of Africa
U.S. Interests in Africa
Potential Types of U.S. Operations in Africa
Conclusions
References