Strategic Denial And Deception

Strategic Denial And Deception

by Roy Godson
     
 

Does foreign denial and deception threaten the interests of contemporary democracies? Strategic denial and deception (D&D) has emerged as a little understood challenge to security in general, and the intelligence community in particular. To gain advantages, adversaries seek to deny critical information about their own activities and capabilities, and to decieve

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Overview

Does foreign denial and deception threaten the interests of contemporary democracies? Strategic denial and deception (D&D) has emerged as a little understood challenge to security in general, and the intelligence community in particular. To gain advantages, adversaries seek to deny critical information about their own activities and capabilities, and to decieve foreign governments. In recent years, Iraq, India, Somalia, Colombian criminal groups, and terrorists, for example, have all used D&D successfully against the United States. Denial and deception is a low cost, potentially high impact to level political, military, and economic playing fields, particularly against strong opponents.

Concerns about the threat of denial and deception have waxed and waned since the end of World War II. Sometimes it shaped assessments about the former Soviet Union, for example. At other times, such as the end of the Cold War, such threats appear to fade into insignificance. This volume considers whether globalization, proliferating communication technologies, and the dissemination of vast amounts of information make effective foreign denial and deception more or less likely. Contributors also examine whether more information and data sources make policymakers better informed or simply create confusion.

Drawing on lessons learned from historical experiences, the authors propose ways to minimize future challenges. Chapters include "Elements of Strategic Denial and Deception," by Abram Shulsky; "Conditions Making for Success and Failure of D&D," by Barton Whaley; "Conditions Making for Success and Failure of D&D," by M.R.D. Foot; "Conditions Making for Success and Failure of D&D," by J. Bowyer Bell; "Arms Control," by Lynn M. Hansen; and "Prescription: Detecting Deception-Practice, Practitioners, and Theory," by Barton Whaley and Jeffrey Busby.

While there are previous books about celebrated D&D cases, from Troy to Pearl Harbor and D-Day, no work attempts to assess how these instruments of denial and deception can be used in the early twenty-first century. This book will be of interest to students, security planners, and general readers interested in political science, security, and foreign and military policy.

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Product Details

ISBN-13:
9780765808981
Publisher:
Transaction Publishers
Publication date:
06/15/2002
Edition description:
New Edition
Pages:
264
Product dimensions:
5.90(w) x 9.00(h) x 0.70(d)

Table of Contents

1Strategic Denial and Deception1
2Elements of Strategic Denial and Deception15
Commentary33
Commentary36
3Conditions Making for Success and Failure of Denial and Deception: Authoritarian and Transition Regimes41
4Conditions Making for Success and Failure of Denial and Deception: Democratic Regimes95
Commentary115
Commentary122
5Conditions Making for Success and Failure of Denial and Deception: Nonstate and Illicit Actors129
Commentary163
6Arms Control: Focus on Denial and Deception167
7Detecting Deception: Practice, Practitioners, and Theory181
8The Denial and Deception Challenge to Intelligence223
9The Impact on Foreign Denial and Deception of Increased Availability of Public Information about U.S. Intelligence229
About the Contributors241
Index245

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