Strategic Denial And Deception

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Overview

Does foreign denial and deception threaten the interests of contemporary democracies? Strategic denial and deception (D&D) has emerged as a little understood challenge to security in general, and the intelligence community in particular. To gain advantages, adversaries seek to deny critical information about their own activities and capabilities, and to decieve foreign governments. In recent years, Iraq, India, Somalia, Colombian criminal groups, and terrorists, for example, have all used D&D successfully against the United States. Denial and deception is a low cost, potentially high impact to level political, military, and economic playing fields, particularly against strong opponents.

Concerns about the threat of denial and deception have waxed and waned since the end of World War II. Sometimes it shaped assessments about the former Soviet Union, for example. At other times, such as the end of the Cold War, such threats appear to fade into insignificance. This volume considers whether globalization, proliferating communication technologies, and the dissemination of vast amounts of information make effective foreign denial and deception more or less likely. Contributors also examine whether more information and data sources make policymakers better informed or simply create confusion.

Drawing on lessons learned from historical experiences, the authors propose ways to minimize future challenges. Chapters include "Elements of Strategic Denial and Deception," by Abram Shulsky; "Conditions Making for Success and Failure of D&D," by Barton Whaley; "Conditions Making for Success and Failure of D&D," by M.R.D. Foot; "Conditions Making for Success and Failure of D&D," by J. Bowyer Bell; "Arms Control," by Lynn M. Hansen; and "Prescription: Detecting Deception-Practice, Practitioners, and Theory," by Barton Whaley and Jeffrey Busby.

While there are previous books about celebrated D&D cases, from Troy to Pearl Harbor and D-Day, no work attempts to assess how these instruments of denial and deception can be used in the early twenty-first century. This book will be of interest to students, security planners, and general readers interested in political science, security, and foreign and military policy.

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Editorial Reviews

From the Publisher

“[T]his is a worthwhile and intriguing volume. Godson and Wirtz have put together an interesting array of contributors--from academics to practitioners--who offer a penetrating look at the historic and contemporary features of strategic denial and deception… Recommended for undergraduate through research and faculty collections.”

—C. Potholm II, Choice

Booknews
Contributors from a number of fields generally clustered around military and crime concerns ponder the possibility that foreign governments or other bodies might try to further their own interests<-->at the expense of US interests<-->by saying things that were not true. Annotation c. Book News, Inc., Portland, OR (booknews.com)
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Product Details

  • ISBN-13: 9780765808981
  • Publisher: Transaction Publishers
  • Publication date: 6/15/2002
  • Edition description: New Edition
  • Pages: 264
  • Product dimensions: 5.90 (w) x 9.00 (h) x 0.70 (d)

Meet the Author

Roy Godson is professor of government at Georgetown University and president of the National Strategy Information Center in Washington, DC. His most recent books include Strategic Denial and Deception (Transaction, 2002).

James J. Wirtz is chairman and associate professor, Department of National Security Affairs, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, California. He is the co-editor of Strategy in the Contemporary World.

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Table of Contents

1 Strategic Denial and Deception 1
2 Elements of Strategic Denial and Deception 15
Commentary 33
Commentary 36
3 Conditions Making for Success and Failure of Denial and Deception: Authoritarian and Transition Regimes 41
4 Conditions Making for Success and Failure of Denial and Deception: Democratic Regimes 95
Commentary 115
Commentary 122
5 Conditions Making for Success and Failure of Denial and Deception: Nonstate and Illicit Actors 129
Commentary 163
6 Arms Control: Focus on Denial and Deception 167
7 Detecting Deception: Practice, Practitioners, and Theory 181
8 The Denial and Deception Challenge to Intelligence 223
9 The Impact on Foreign Denial and Deception of Increased Availability of Public Information about U.S. Intelligence 229
About the Contributors 241
Index 245
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