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Technical Analysis: The Complete Resource for Financial Market Technicians, Second Edition / Edition 2

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Overview

Praise for the First Edition

“I’ve been reading technical analysis works for forty years. This is the first book on the subject worthy of being called both comprehensive and disciplined. It will be a great asset to both practitioners and serious students alike.”

-- Phil Roth, CMT, Chief Technical Market Analyst, Miller Tabak + Co.

“The authors deftly straddle the divide between the artistic and the rigorous aspects of technical analysis. The publication of this text is an important financial-market event and the authors are to be congratulated.”

-- John Bollinger, CFa, CMT, President, Bollinger Capital Management

“The authors have done a superb job of making the subject so understandable, setting goals for each chapter, and seeing they are met, with a concise summary at each chapter’s end. After four decades of practicing the subject, I am proud to place my colleagues’ book in a prominent spot in my technical analysis library.”

-- A lan R. Shaw, CMT, former Managing Director, Smith Barney, second President of Market Technicians Association

“As both a technical analysis teacher and practitioner, I have long looked for a book that covers the subject from a practitioner’s perspective and at the same time meets a student’s need to learn a complete body of knowledge. Kirkpatrick’s and Dahlquist’s book is the first I have seen that hits the mark on both fronts.”

-- Bruce M. Kamich, CMT, Adjunct Professor of Finance, Baruch College, and former President, Market Technicians Association

“This book is an excellent contribution to technical analysis literature. The authors are careful not to overstate the powers of technical analysis, and they include an appendix on statistical procedures and end-of-chapter review questions to empower the new technical analysis student. As either a stand-alone text or as a companion to other technical analysis books, this book should appear on every technician’s bookshelf.”

-- Hank Pruden, Professor of Business and Executive Director, Institute for Technical Market Analysis, Ageno School of Business, and Golden Gate University

Technical Analysis is the primary book on the subject suitable for full-length courses taken to achieve the Chartered Market Technician (CMT) designation and series 86 exam exemption.

Already the field’s most comprehensive and reliable guidebook, Technical Analysis, Second Edition, has been fully updated to reflect the latest advances. Selected by the Market Technicians Association as the principal textbook for its prestigious Chartered Market Technician (CMT) program, this book systematically and objectively introduces the entire discipline.

Using hundreds of updated illustrations, the authors show how to analyze both markets and individual issues and present complete investment systems and portfolio plans. Readers learn how to use tested sentiment, momentum indicators, seasonal effects, flow of funds, and many other key techniques. Drawing on current research, the authors reveal which chart patterns and indicators remain the most reliable, demonstrate how to test systems, and show how to use technical analysis to mitigate risk.

This edition covers recent advances in pattern recognition, market analysis, systems management, and other areas. It introduces new confidence tests; innovations in exit stops, portfolio selection, and testing; and the implications of behavioral bias for technical analysis. The authors also reassess classic methods such as intermarket relationships and measurements of market strength, identifying pitfalls that have emerged in recent years.

  • A coherent, updated treatment of the entire field
    Current principles, tools, techniques, and applications for both practitioners and students
  • Does technical analysis really work?
    The history of technical analysis and the latest assessments of its value
  • Identify specific investment opportunities and emerging trends
    Uncover promising securities, markets, shifts, and breakouts--and test your insights
  • Take advantage of the latest techniques and research
    Apply recent innovations, as well as new insights into classic methods
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Product Details

  • ISBN-13: 9780137059447
  • Publisher: FT Press
  • Publication date: 11/29/2010
  • Edition number: 2
  • Pages: 671
  • Sales rank: 229,246
  • Product dimensions: 7.20 (w) x 9.30 (h) x 1.50 (d)

Meet the Author

Charles D. Kirkpatrick II, CMT, is

  • President, Kirkpatrick & Company, Inc., Kittery, Maine--a private firm specializing in technical research; editor and publisher of the Market Strategist newsletter.
  • Adjunct Professor of Finance, Brandeis University International School of Business, Waltham, Massachusetts.
  • Director and Vice President, Market Technicians Association Educational Foundation, Cambridge, Massachusetts--a charitable foundation dedicated to encouraging and providing educational courses in technical analysis at the college and university level.
  • Past editor, Journal of Technical Analysis, New York, New York--the official journal of technical analysis research.
  • Past director, Market Technicians Association, New York, New York--an association of professional technical analysts.

In his life in the stock and options markets, Mr. Kirkpatrick has been a hedge fund manager, investment advisor, advisor to floor and desk traders and portfolio managers, institutional stock broker, options trader, desk and large-block trader, lecturer and speaker on aspects of technical analysis to professional and academic groups, expert legal witness on the stock market, owner of several small businesses, owner of an institutional brokerage firm, and part owner of a CBOE options trading firm. His research has been published in Barron’s and elsewhere. In 1993 and 2001, he won the Charles H. Dow Award for excellence in technical research, and in 2009, he won the MTA award for his contributions to technical analysis. Educated at Phillips Exeter Academy, Harvard College (A.B.) and the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania (M.B.A.), he was also a decorated combat officer with the 1st Cavalry Division in Vietnam. He currently resides in Maine with his wife, Ellie, and their various domestic animals.

Julie R. Dahlquist, Ph.D., received her B.B.A. in economics from University of Louisiana at Monroe, her M.A. in Theology from St. Mary’s University, and her Ph.D. in economics from Texas A&M University. Currently, she is a senior lecturer, Department of Finance, at the University of Texas at San Antonio College of Business. Dr. Dahlquist is a frequent presenter at national and international conferences. She is the coauthor (with Richard Bauer) of Technical Market Indicators: Analysis and Performance (John Wiley & Sons). Her research has appeared in Financial Analysts Journal, Journal of Technical Analysis, Managerial Finance, Applied Economics, Working Money, Financial Practices and Education, Active Trader, and in the Journal of Financial Education. She serves on the Board of the Market Technicians Association Educational Foundation, on the editorial board of the Southwestern Business Administration Journal, and as a reviewer for a number of journals, including the Journal of Technical Analysis. She resides in San Antonio with her husband, Richard Bauer, and their two children, Katherine and Sepp.

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Table of Contents

Part I Introduction 1

1 Introduction to Technical Analysis 3

2 The Basic Principle of Technical Analysis--The Trend 9

3 History of Technical Analysis 23

4 The Technical Analysis Controversy 33

Part II Markets and Market Indicators 55

5 An Overview of Markets 57

6 Dow Theory 75

7 Sentiment 89

8 Measuring Market Strength 131

9 Temporal Patterns and Cycles 163

10 Flow of Funds 177

Part III Trend Analysis 197

11 History and Construction of Charts 199

12 Trends--The Basics 223

13 Breakouts, Stops, and Retracements 255

14 Moving Averages 275

Part IV Chart Pattern Analysis 299

15 Bar Chart Patterns 301

16 Point-and-Figure Chart Patterns 335

17 Short-Term Patterns 359

Part V Trend Confirmation 405

18 Confirmation 407

Part VI Other Technical Methods and Rules 447

19 Cycles 449

20 Elliott, Fibonacci, and Gann 477

Part VII Selection 501

21 Selection of Markets and Issues: Trading and Investing 503

Part VIII System Testing and Management 527

22 System Design and Testing 529

23 Money and Risk Management 559

Part IX Appendices 579

A Basic Statistics 581

B Types of Orders and Other Trader Terminology 607

Bibliography 611

Index 637

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