The Aftershock Investor: A Crash Course in Staying Afloat in a Sinking Economy
The Aftershock Investor: A Crash Course in Staying Afloat in a Sinking Economy
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Overview
From the authors who accurately predicted the domino fall of the conjoined real estate, stock, and private debt bubbles that led to the financial crisis of 2008, comes the definitive guide to protection and profit in 2013 and beyond. Based on the authors' unmatched track record of accurate predictions in their three landmark books, America’s Bubble Economy, Aftershock, and Aftershock Second Edition, this audiobook offers what listeners have been clamouring for: a detailed guide to how to survive and thrive in the next global money meltdown.
Entirely updated with three new chapters, plus more actionable insights and detailed advice, The Aftershock Investor Second Edition spells out clearly and concisely exactly what smart investors need to know right now, before the worldwide Aftershock hits. Specifically, listeners will discover that…
• This so-called economic "recovery" is 100% fake (see new Chapter 1)
• And is working to temporarily support our multibubble economy (Chapter 2)
• Based on massive money printing that will only make our problem even worse later (Chapter 3)
• When mounting future inflation and climbing interest rates will inevitably push us over the Market Cliff (new Chapter 4)
• Going over the Market Cliff will surprise most conventional investors (Chapter 5)
• Crash the stock market (Chapter 6)
• Diminish bonds (Chapter 7)
• Depress real estate (Chapter 8)
• Threaten insurance and annuities (Chapter 9)
• And make gold and other precious metals soar (Chapter 10)
• If you can keep your job or business before and during the Aftershock (Chapter 11)
• And be smart about spending, savings, and debt (new Chapter 12)
• You can learn now how to best protect your retirement (Chapter 13)
• And most importantly, how to defend yourself and your assets with an innovative, actively managed Aftershock investment portfolio (Chapter 14)…
Before it's too late.
Product Details
| ISBN-13: | 9781480598836 |
|---|---|
| Publisher: | Brilliance Audio |
| Publication date: | 10/07/2014 |
| Edition description: | Unabridged |
| Product dimensions: | 5.25(w) x 6.75(h) x 0.50(d) |
About the Author
David Wiedemer, PhD, is a world leader in macroevolutionary economic analysis. His work in information dynamics, technological evolution, and economic history forms the basis for the predictions in the Aftershock series of books. Dr. Wiedemer is the Chief Economist for Absolute Investment Management. He is also a Portfolio Manager for the Aftershock Strategies Mutual Fund (SHKNX). Dr. Wiedemer holds a doctorate in economics from the University of Wisconsin-Madison.
Robert A. Wiedemer is a Managing Director of Absolute Investment Management, a macro-focused money management firm that is in alignment with the macroeconomic analysis and perspective of Aftershock. He is also a Portfolio Manager for the Aftershock Strategies Mutual Fund (SHKNX). Mr. Wiedemer holds an MBA from the University of Wisconsin-Madison.
Cindy S. Spitzer is an award-winning author who has collaborated on more than two dozen books, including Chicken Soup for the Soul, Buy and Hold is Dead (Again), and America's Bubble Economy. Ms. Spitzer is President of Aftershock Consultants, a consulting firm that provides support and insights to hundreds of individuals, families, and businesses worldwide, based on the macroeconomic ideas in Aftershock.
Table of Contents
Acknowledgments xi
Introduction xiii
Chapter 1 This "Recovery" Is 100 Percent Fake 1
Isn't a Fake Recovery Better than No Recovery at All? 2
If the Aftershock Has Not Been Canceled, Why Hasn't It HappenedYet? 5
Still Not Sure This Recovery Is 100 Percent Fake? 14
Don't Believe the Stimulus Has to Eventually End? There Is aLimit to What the Government Can Do 20
Wondering Why the Aftershock Hasn't Happened Already? "AnimalSpirits" Are Keeping Us Going 21
Please Prepare Now 23
Part I: Aftershock
Chapter 2 Bubblequake and Aftershock—A Quick Review ofHow We Got Here and What's Next 29
Not Asleep with the Sheep 30
Bubblequake! First, a Rising Bubble Economy; Now, a FallingBubble Economy 32
Future Inflation Will Cause Rising Interest Rates 43
From Boom to Bust: The Virtuous Upward Spiral Becomes a ViciousDownward Spiral 46
Why Don't Most Conventional Investors See This Coming? 52
What's a Savvy Aftershock Investor to Do? 53
Chapter 3 Aftershock Update: They Read Our Playbook—TheWorld Is Printing Money 54
Central Banks Gone Wild 54
Economists Continue to Ignore the Risks of Money Printing 57
Why Isn't Inflation Higher Now? 60
Even Before We Get High Inflation, Other Potential TriggersCould Accelerate a Downtrend in the U.S. Economy 64
Chapter 4 The Market Cliff 73
The Market Cliff Won't Be Just a "Down Cycle" 73
Hitting the Market Cliff 77
The Last Resort: A Stock Market Holiday 81
When Is the Best Time to Get Out of the Stock Market? 84
Chapter 5 Conventional Wisdom Won't Work This Time 87
The Key to Conventional Wisdom: The Future Will Be Just Like thePast 89
The Myth of a Natural Growth Rate 91
Real Productivity Growth Is Slowing Down, Here and Around theWorld 93
Warren Buffett: Master of Conventional Wisdom 95
The Key to Aftershock Wisdom Investing: The Future Is Not thePast! 99
This Debate Is Really Not about Inflation or Deflation, It's Allabout Protecting the Status Quo with Denial 106
Part II: Aftershock Investing
Chapter 6 Taking Stock of Stocks 117
Stocks: A Love Story 118
How Stocks Became the Heart of Most Investment Portfolios122
In Theory, When You Buy Stocks You Are Buying Future Earnings123
Conventional Wisdom on Stocks 130
Why Conventional Wisdom Is Wrong Now 134
What's a Savvy Aftershock Investor to Do? 138
Chapter 7 Bye-Bye Bonds 141
How Do Bonds Make Money? "Total Return" Is the Key 142
Conventional Wisdom on Bonds: The Safety of the Recent PastMeans We Can Count on More Safety Ahead 148
Why Conventional Wisdom on Bonds Is Wrong Now 151
Bonds Will Fall in Four Stages 156
What's a Savvy Aftershock Investor to Do? 160
The Bottom Line for Bonds 163
Chapter 8 Getting Real about Real Estate 165
Real Estate Is Still a Bubble 166
What Really Drives Real Estate Prices? 167
After the Fundamental Drivers of Real Estate Began to Slow, theBubble Started to Rise 169
Why Conventional Wisdom about Real Estate Is Wrong 171
What’s a Savvy Aftershock Investor to Do? 176
Timing Your Exits Out of Real Estate 189
The High Cost of Doing Nothing 192
Chapter 9 Future Threats to the Safety Nets 193
All Insurance and Annuities Are Essentially Investments in Bonds194
Conventional Wisdom on Whole Life Insurance and Annuities:Perfectly Safe and Worth Every Penny! 195
Why Conventional Wisdom Is Wrong: Facing the Real 800-PoundGorilla in the Room 201
What's a Savvy Aftershock Investor to Do? 205
Chapter 10 Gold 211
Gold Was Golden for Centuries 215
Current Conventional Wisdom on Gold as an Investment: Stay Away!216
Why Current Conventional Wisdom on Gold Is Wrong 219
What's a Savvy Aftershock Investor to Do? 222
How to Buy Gold 225
Owning Gold as Part of a Well-Diversified Actively ManagedAftershock Portfolio 231
How High Will Gold Go? 232
Part III: Your Aftershock Game Plan
Chapter 11 Aftershock Jobs and Businesses 239
The Rising Bubble Economy Created Huge Job Growth; Now theFalling Bubble Economy Means Fewer Jobs 240
Conventional Wisdom about Future Jobs Is Based on Faith that theFuture Will Be Like the Past 241
Why Conventional Wisdom on Jobs Is Wrong 243
What's a Savvy Aftershock Investor to Do? 244
The Falling Bubbles Will Have Varying Impacts on Three BroadEconomic Sectors 247
Should I Go to College? 257
Opportunities after the Bubbles Pop: Cashing In on DistressedAssets 257
Chapter 12 Aftershock Money Smarts 260
Don't Let Spending Become the Achilles Heel of Your AftershockPreparations 260
Savings: How Much Is Enough? 264
Borrowing Money before, during, and after the Aftershock 269
Saving and Borrowing for College 274
Summing It Up 278
Chapter 13 Aftershock Retirement and Estate Planning280
Why Conventional Wisdom on Retirement Is Wrong 282
What's a Savvy Aftershock Investor to Do? 285
Should I Use a Retirement Calculator to See if I am on the RightTrack? 291
Should I Take Social Security Early? 292
Estate Planning: Making the Most of Your Assets for Yourself andYour Heirs 292
A Good Retirement 295
Chapter 14 Your Actively Managed Aftershock Portfolio297
This Economy Is Evolving—Your Investments Should Evolve,Too 298
The Three Goals of an Actively Managed Aftershock InvestmentPortfolio 299
Creating Your Actively Managed Aftershock Portfolio 302
Active Portfolio Management: Timing Is Everything 311
Warning: Active Management of Short Term Investments is Riddledwith Potential Danger 318
Better to Move Too Early than Too Late 319
Government Intervention Makes Active Portfolio Management MoreDiffi cult 320
Do It Yourself or Bring In Help? 322
The Bottom Line 323
Appendix A Additional Background on Stocks and Bonds327
Stocks 327
Bonds 334
Inflation, Interest Rates, and the Aftershock 343
Profiting from a Moving Market 345
Profiting from Market Moving 346
Shorting in the Aftershock 349
Appendix B Are the Stock and Gold Markets Manipulated? 353
Statistical Manipulation 360
Gold Manipulation 362
Market Manipulation Summary 365
Investment Impact 365
Epilogue 367
Index 369