The Aftershock Investor: A Crash Course in Staying Afloat in a Sinking Economy

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Overview

Advice on protection and profits in the short and long term future from the experts who accurately predicted the financial crisis of 2008, and who now have more detailed information about what is yet to come

From the authors who accurately predicted the domino fall of the conjoined real estate, stock, and private debt bubbles that led to the financial crisis of 2008 comes the definitive guide to protection and profit in 2012 and beyond. Based on the authors' unmatched track ...

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Overview

Advice on protection and profits in the short and long term future from the experts who accurately predicted the financial crisis of 2008, and who now have more detailed information about what is yet to come

From the authors who accurately predicted the domino fall of the conjoined real estate, stock, and private debt bubbles that led to the financial crisis of 2008 comes the definitive guide to protection and profit in 2012 and beyond. Based on the authors' unmatched track record of precision predictions in their three landmark books, America's Bubble Economy (Wiley, 2006), Aftershock (Wiley, 2009), and Aftershock, Second Edition (Wiley, 2011), their next book offers what readers have been clamoring for: A detailed guide to how to put Aftershock in action, with 14 new chapters on what investors need to know to survive and thrive in the next global money meltdown. The Aftershock Investor shows readers:

  • Why recent actions by the U.S. Federal Reserve will eventually damage the dollar and hurt investors worldwide
  • How future rising inflation and interest rates will harm your specific investments, and what to do about it
  • What's next for stocks, bonds, currencies, commodities, and other assets
  • Detailed investment advice about real estate, retirement, annuities, life insurance, jobs, and much more
  • How to buy and own gold and silver before, during, and after the coming Aftershock
  • How to profit rather than lose when so many asset bubbles collapse around the world

Those who heeded the authors' warnings last time were able to successfully ride out the financial crisis of 2008 and even cash in on the years that followed. Now The Aftershock Investor offers readers a second chance at protection and profit in the next financial crisis ahead.

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Product Details

  • ISBN-13: 9781118073544
  • Publisher: Wiley
  • Publication date: 9/25/2012
  • Edition number: 1
  • Pages: 320
  • Product dimensions: 6.30 (w) x 9.10 (h) x 1.10 (d)

Meet the Author

David Wiedemer, Phd, (Washington, DC) is a ground-breaking evolutionary economist who created the rigorous economic analysis on which this book is based.

Robert A. Wiedemer (Washington, DC) brings to the team the real-world investment understanding and analytical skills that come from founding a NASDAQ-listed information services company.

Cindy Spitzer is an award-winning writer based in Baltimore, Maryland, who has coauthored, edited, written, or consulted on more than twenty books.

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Table of Contents

Acknowledgments xi

Introduction xiii

Chapter 1 This "Recovery" Is 100 Percent Fake 1

Isn't a Fake Recovery Better than No Recovery at All? 2

If the Aftershock Has Not Been Canceled, Why Hasn't It HappenedYet? 5

Still Not Sure This Recovery Is 100 Percent Fake? 14

Don't Believe the Stimulus Has to Eventually End? There Is aLimit to What the Government Can Do 20

Wondering Why the Aftershock Hasn't Happened Already? "AnimalSpirits" Are Keeping Us Going 21

Please Prepare Now 23

Part I: Aftershock

Chapter 2 Bubblequake and Aftershock—A Quick Review ofHow We Got Here and What's Next 29

Not Asleep with the Sheep 30

Bubblequake! First, a Rising Bubble Economy; Now, a FallingBubble Economy 32

Future Inflation Will Cause Rising Interest Rates 43

From Boom to Bust: The Virtuous Upward Spiral Becomes a ViciousDownward Spiral 46

Why Don't Most Conventional Investors See This Coming? 52

What's a Savvy Aftershock Investor to Do? 53

Chapter 3 Aftershock Update: They Read Our Playbook—TheWorld Is Printing Money 54

Central Banks Gone Wild 54

Economists Continue to Ignore the Risks of Money Printing 57

Why Isn't Inflation Higher Now? 60

Even Before We Get High Inflation, Other Potential TriggersCould Accelerate a Downtrend in the U.S. Economy 64

Chapter 4 The Market Cliff 73

The Market Cliff Won't Be Just a "Down Cycle" 73

Hitting the Market Cliff 77

The Last Resort: A Stock Market Holiday 81

When Is the Best Time to Get Out of the Stock Market? 84

Chapter 5 Conventional Wisdom Won't Work This Time 87

The Key to Conventional Wisdom: The Future Will Be Just Like thePast 89

The Myth of a Natural Growth Rate 91

Real Productivity Growth Is Slowing Down, Here and Around theWorld 93

Warren Buffett: Master of Conventional Wisdom 95

The Key to Aftershock Wisdom Investing: The Future Is Not thePast! 99

This Debate Is Really Not about Inflation or Deflation, It's Allabout Protecting the Status Quo with Denial 106

Part II: Aftershock Investing

Chapter 6 Taking Stock of Stocks 117

Stocks: A Love Story 118

How Stocks Became the Heart of Most Investment Portfolios122

In Theory, When You Buy Stocks You Are Buying Future Earnings123

Conventional Wisdom on Stocks 130

Why Conventional Wisdom Is Wrong Now 134

What's a Savvy Aftershock Investor to Do? 138

Chapter 7 Bye-Bye Bonds 141

How Do Bonds Make Money? "Total Return" Is the Key 142

Conventional Wisdom on Bonds: The Safety of the Recent PastMeans We Can Count on More Safety Ahead 148

Why Conventional Wisdom on Bonds Is Wrong Now 151

Bonds Will Fall in Four Stages 156

What's a Savvy Aftershock Investor to Do? 160

The Bottom Line for Bonds 163

Chapter 8 Getting Real about Real Estate 165

Real Estate Is Still a Bubble 166

What Really Drives Real Estate Prices? 167

After the Fundamental Drivers of Real Estate Began to Slow, theBubble Started to Rise 169

Why Conventional Wisdom about Real Estate Is Wrong 171

What’s a Savvy Aftershock Investor to Do? 176

Timing Your Exits Out of Real Estate 189

The High Cost of Doing Nothing 192

Chapter 9 Future Threats to the Safety Nets 193

All Insurance and Annuities Are Essentially Investments in Bonds194

Conventional Wisdom on Whole Life Insurance and Annuities:Perfectly Safe and Worth Every Penny! 195

Why Conventional Wisdom Is Wrong: Facing the Real 800-PoundGorilla in the Room 201

What's a Savvy Aftershock Investor to Do? 205

Chapter 10 Gold 211

Gold Was Golden for Centuries 215

Current Conventional Wisdom on Gold as an Investment: Stay Away!216

Why Current Conventional Wisdom on Gold Is Wrong 219

What's a Savvy Aftershock Investor to Do? 222

How to Buy Gold 225

Owning Gold as Part of a Well-Diversified Actively ManagedAftershock Portfolio 231

How High Will Gold Go? 232

Part III: Your Aftershock Game Plan

Chapter 11 Aftershock Jobs and Businesses 239

The Rising Bubble Economy Created Huge Job Growth; Now theFalling Bubble Economy Means Fewer Jobs 240

Conventional Wisdom about Future Jobs Is Based on Faith that theFuture Will Be Like the Past 241

Why Conventional Wisdom on Jobs Is Wrong 243

What's a Savvy Aftershock Investor to Do? 244

The Falling Bubbles Will Have Varying Impacts on Three BroadEconomic Sectors 247

Should I Go to College? 257

Opportunities after the Bubbles Pop: Cashing In on DistressedAssets 257

Chapter 12 Aftershock Money Smarts 260

Don't Let Spending Become the Achilles Heel of Your AftershockPreparations 260

Savings: How Much Is Enough? 264

Borrowing Money before, during, and after the Aftershock 269

Saving and Borrowing for College 274

Summing It Up 278

Chapter 13 Aftershock Retirement and Estate Planning280

Why Conventional Wisdom on Retirement Is Wrong 282

What's a Savvy Aftershock Investor to Do? 285

Should I Use a Retirement Calculator to See if I am on the RightTrack? 291

Should I Take Social Security Early? 292

Estate Planning: Making the Most of Your Assets for Yourself andYour Heirs 292

A Good Retirement 295

Chapter 14 Your Actively Managed Aftershock Portfolio297

This Economy Is Evolving—Your Investments Should Evolve,Too 298

The Three Goals of an Actively Managed Aftershock InvestmentPortfolio 299

Creating Your Actively Managed Aftershock Portfolio 302

Active Portfolio Management: Timing Is Everything 311

Warning: Active Management of Short Term Investments is Riddledwith Potential Danger 318

Better to Move Too Early than Too Late 319

Government Intervention Makes Active Portfolio Management MoreDiffi cult 320

Do It Yourself or Bring In Help? 322

The Bottom Line 323

Appendix A Additional Background on Stocks and Bonds327

Stocks 327

Bonds 334

Inflation, Interest Rates, and the Aftershock 343

Profiting from a Moving Market 345

Profiting from Market Moving 346

Shorting in the Aftershock 349

Appendix B Are the Stock and Gold Markets Manipulated?353

Statistical Manipulation 360

Gold Manipulation 362

Market Manipulation Summary 365

Investment Impact 365

Epilogue 367

Index 369

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Customer Reviews

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  • Anonymous

    Posted February 3, 2013

    Eye Opening

    This book made sense to me. I have changed my investments ater reading Aftershock Investor and then their previous book, Aftershock. My motto now is prepare for the worst, but hope and PRAY for the best. This books offers insight on how to prepare if the worst comes due to the US massive printing of money and the huge and still growing national debt.

    4 out of 5 people found this review helpful.

    Was this review helpful? Yes  No   Report this review
  • Posted January 28, 2013

    more from this reviewer

    Well thought out

    If our politicians would read this book, they might give a bit more thought to their bickering and special interests. I would recommend this book.

    1 out of 2 people found this review helpful.

    Was this review helpful? Yes  No   Report this review
  • Anonymous

    Posted December 2, 2012

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    Posted September 13, 2012

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