The Forensics of Election Fraud: Russia and Ukraine

The Forensics of Election Fraud: Russia and Ukraine

by Mikhail Myagkov, Peter C. Ordeshook, Dimitri Shakin
     
 

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ISBN-10: 0521748364

ISBN-13: 9780521748360

Pub. Date: 05/31/2009

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

This volume offers a number of forensic indicators of election fraud applied to official election returns, and tests and illustrates their application in Russia and Ukraine. Included are the methodology’s econometric details and theoretical assumptions. The applications to Russia include the analysis of all federal elections between 1996 and 2007 and, for

Overview

This volume offers a number of forensic indicators of election fraud applied to official election returns, and tests and illustrates their application in Russia and Ukraine. Included are the methodology’s econometric details and theoretical assumptions. The applications to Russia include the analysis of all federal elections between 1996 and 2007 and, for Ukraine, between 2004 and 2007. Generally, we find that fraud has metastasized within the Russian polity during Putin’s administration with upwards of 10 million or more suspect votes in both the 2004 and 2007 balloting, whereas in Ukraine, fraud has diminished considerably since the second round of its 2004 presidential election where between 1.5 to 3 million votes were falsified. The volume concludes with a consideration of data from the United States to illustrate the dangers of the application of our methods without due consideration of an election’s substantive context and the characteristics of the data at hand.

Product Details

ISBN-13:
9780521748360
Publisher:
Cambridge University Press
Publication date:
05/31/2009
Edition description:
New Edition
Pages:
304
Product dimensions:
5.90(w) x 8.90(h) x 0.90(d)

Table of Contents

Introduction; 1. A forensics approach to detecting election fraud; 2. The fingerprints of fraud; 3. Russia; 4. Ukraine, 2004; 5. Ukraine, 2006, 2007; 6. The United States.

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