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The Global Forest Products Model: Structure, Estimation, and Applications

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Overview

The Global Forest Products Model (GFPM) book provides a complete introduction to this widely applied computer model. The GFPM is a dynamic economic equilibrium model that is used to predict production, consumption, trade, and prices of 14 major forest products in 180 interacting countries. The book thoroughly documents the methods, data, and computer software of the model, and demonstrates the model's usefulness in addressing international economic and environmental issues.

The Global Forest Products Model is written by an international multi-disciplinary team and is ideal for graduate students and professionals in forestry, natural resource economics, and related fields. It explains trends in world forest industries in the simplest terms by explaining the economic theory underlying the model. It describes six applications of the GFPM, three of which were commissioned by the Food Agriculture of the United Nations, the USDA Forest Service, and New Zealand Research.

The authors show how to apply the model to real issues such as the effects of the Asian economic crisis on the forest sector, the effects of eliminating tariffs on international trade and production, and the international effects of national environmental policies. They provide complete explanations on how to use the GFPM software, prepare the data, make the forecasts, and summarize the results with tables and graphs.

Comprehensive, and rigorous description of the world forestry sector
Written by an international multi-disciplinary team
Thorough description of data and methods
In-depth applications to modern economic and policy issues
Detailed documentation of the computer software
Suitable for students, researchers, and decision makers

Audience: Graduate students and faculty in forestry departments and in related industries, as well as economic and resource advisors.

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Editorial Reviews

From the Publisher
"...allows one to simulate how the forest sector operates in different countries and how the countries interact through international trade..."
--JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC LITERATURE
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Product Details

  • ISBN-13: 9780121413620
  • Publisher: Elsevier Science
  • Publication date: 3/10/2003
  • Pages: 300
  • Product dimensions: 0.88 (w) x 6.00 (h) x 9.00 (d)

Meet the Author

Dr. James Turner has managed thousands of insider threat cases over the course of his thirty-year career. He is Associate Professor of Forensic Psychology at Alliant International University and President of International Assessment Services, Inc., where he provides consulting and training to corporations and government agencies on how to handle problematic personnel situations. Dr. Turner has served as a consultant to the Joint Counterintelligence Training Academy, the Department of Defense, Department of Energy, Nuclear Threat Program, Department of Homeland Security, The Secret Service, Microsoft, Morgan Stanley, and many police departments. He has been cited and interviewed by The Wall Street Journal, Marketwatch, Nightline, and Fortune, and has made guest appearance on hundreds of radio program throughout the world. He is co-author (with Michael Gelles) of Threat Assessment: A Risk Management Approach (Routledge, 2003, 212 pages, $61.95) and speaks on threat assessment, workplace violence, and leadership throughout the U.S. and Europe.

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Read an Excerpt

Provides a global, well documented forecasting model to help make key decisions in forestry management and economics
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Table of Contents

PART 1 INTRODUCTION
Ch 1 Background and Objectives
Ch 2 Overview of the Global Forest Products

PART 2 GFPM MODEL CONSTRUCTION
Ch 3 GFPM Structure and Formulation
Ch 4 Model Calibration and Validation

PART 3 GFPM APPLICATIONS
Ch 5 The Base Scenario
Ch 6 Effects of the Asian Economic Crisis
Ch 7 Effects of Tariff Liberalization
Ch. 8 Impact of United States Paper recycling Policies
Ch 9 Effects of Regional trade agreements on New Zealand
Ch 10 Impacts of United States Timber Harvest Restrictions

PART 4 GFPM SOFTWARE
Ch 11 Using the GFPM Software
Ch 12 GFPM Software design and implementation
Ch 13 Summary and Conclusion

References

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