The Gravest Danger: Nuclear Weapons

Overview

The mortal danger of nuclear weapons is unique in its terrifying potential for devastation on an unprecedented and unimaginable scale. In this book, Sidney D. Drell and James E. Goodby—each with more than twenty years' experience in national security issues both in public and private capacities—review the main policy issues surrounding nonproliferation of nuclear weapons. They address the specific actions that the community of nations—with American leadership—should take to confront and turn back the nuclear ...

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Overview

The mortal danger of nuclear weapons is unique in its terrifying potential for devastation on an unprecedented and unimaginable scale. In this book, Sidney D. Drell and James E. Goodby—each with more than twenty years' experience in national security issues both in public and private capacities—review the main policy issues surrounding nonproliferation of nuclear weapons. They address the specific actions that the community of nations—with American leadership—should take to confront and turn back the nuclear danger that imperils humanity. The nuclear genie, say the authors, cannot be put back in the bottle. Our most urgent task as a nation today is to successfully manage, contain, and reduce the grave danger of nuclear weapons—whether in the hands of adversaries or friendly states. This book hopes to stimulate active public dialogue on this important subject.

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Product Details

  • ISBN-13: 9780817944728
  • Publisher: Hoover Institution Press
  • Publication date: 10/28/2003
  • Series: Hoover Inst Press Publication , #524
  • Pages: 134
  • Product dimensions: 6.02 (w) x 8.06 (h) x 0.38 (d)

Meet the Author

Sidney D. Drell is a senior fellow at the Hoover Institution and professor of theoretical physics (emeritus) at the Stanford's SLAC National Accelerator Laboratory, Stanford University.

James E. Goodby is a research fellow at the Hoover Institution and a senior fellow with the Center for Northeast Asia Policy Studies at the Brookings Institution. He was a Distinguished Service Professor at Carnegie Mellon University from 1989 to 1999 and is now a professor emeritus. Goodby rose to the rank of career minister in the Senior Foreign Service and was given five presidential appointments to ambassadorial rank.

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Table of Contents

Foreword
Preface
Acknowledgments
Introduction: The Nuclear Danger 1
I From the Past to the Present 11
Was the Past a Precedent or an Exception? 11
U.S. Policies 15
Emerging U.S.-Russian Relations 18
A Nuclear Nightmare 22
Containment and Deterrence 25
II Looking Forward 29
The Security Environment of the Future 29
Motivations for Acquiring Nuclear Weapons 32
The Practice of Preventive or Preemptive Military Action 34
Assessing the Utility of Preventive or Preemptive Military Action 38
The Terrorist Threat 44
III Denial Polices 50
Denial Policies at the Level of States 50
The Problem of Monitoring Nuclear Proliferation Activities 53
The Role of Ballistic Missile Defense 58
IV Defining Diplomacy's Task 62
The Power of U.S. Example 65
Mixed Signals Regarding Nuclear Weapons 68
The Corrosive Effect of a Strategy of Unilateral Action 72
V Achieving Rollback: The Instruments of Diplomacy 73
Targeted Diplomacy 74
U.S.-Russia Responsibilities 77
Cooperative Threat Reduction 83
Global Norms: The Non-Proliferation Treaty 87
Global Norms: The Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty 88
Building New Regimes: Avoiding Miscalculation and Strengthening Defense Cooperation 95
International Organizations: The International Atomic Energy Agency 97
VI Applying Recommended Policies to Specific Cases 103
China 104
North Korea 106
Iran 110
Israel 115
India and Pakistan 117
VII Conclusion 122
A Call to Action 122
About the Authors 125
Index 127
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