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The Great Earthquake Experiment: Risk Communication and Public Action

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Editorial Reviews

Reviews the history of large earthquakes, the national policy on research into prediction and on warning the public, and the public's reaction to the policy. Especially details the Parkfield (California) earthquake prediction experiment begun in 1985, the only method sanctioned by the two official bodies that evaluate predictions. Annotation c. Book News, Inc., Portland, OR (
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Product Details

  • ISBN-13: 9780813383699
  • Publisher: Westview Press
  • Publication date: 3/28/1993
  • Pages: 149
  • Lexile: 1410L (what's this?)

Table of Contents

List of Tables and Figures
1 Large Earthquakes in the United States 1
Past Quakes 1
Future Earthquakes 6
Causes of Great Earthquakes 11
Perceiving Future Risk 13
2 The Evolution of Earthquake Policy 15
The Alaska Good Friday Quake 15
The San Fernando Quake 18
The Chinese Prediction and the Palmdale Bulge 19
Enactment and Implementation of the Earthquake Hazard Reduction Act of 1977 20
3 Actions That Reduce Earthquake Risk 27
Land Use Planning 27
Building Codes 30
Insurance 34
Emergency Planning and Disaster Relief 37
Disaster Reconstruction 39
Prediction and Warning 41
4 The Evolution of Earthquake Warnings 45
Current Technology 46
Warning History 47
5 The Parkfield Prediction, the Warning and the People at Risk 61
The Prediction Experiment 61
The Warning 63
The Places at Risk 66
6 Public Reaction to the Prediction 74
Study Methods 74
Study Findings 75
7 Present and Future Predictions 89
The San Francisco Bay Area 90
The Southern Section of the San Andreas 94
The Future 100
Epilogue 101
Appendix A: Public Announcement 105
Appendix B: Methods Used in the Research 107
Appendix C: A Causal Explanation of Response 117
References 133
About the Authors 141
Index 143
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