The Little Book of Stock Market Cycles

Overview

While predicting what direction the stock market will take atany given moment is difficult, if not impossible, the market doesexhibit well-defined and predictable cyclical patterns. Forexample, history shows that the best six-month period for stocks isNovember through April and that by moving into stocks inOctober-November and out in April-May you can significantly reducerisk while increasing profits. What other important lessons doeshistory have to teach about the market? What are the key cycles andpatterns you ...

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The Little Book of Stock Market Cycles

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Overview

While predicting what direction the stock market will take atany given moment is difficult, if not impossible, the market doesexhibit well-defined and predictable cyclical patterns. Forexample, history shows that the best six-month period for stocks isNovember through April and that by moving into stocks inOctober-November and out in April-May you can significantly reducerisk while increasing profits. What other important lessons doeshistory have to teach about the market? What are the key cycles andpatterns you should know about in order to optimize your investmentstrategies? Find out in The Little Book of Stock MarketCycles.

Written by Jeffrey Hirsch, the pre-eminent authority on marketcycles and seasonal patterns, this book draws upon the HirschOrganization's five decades of meticulous historical research andmarket analysis to help you understand market cycles and whatdrives them. More importantly, it shares time-tested cycle-basedtrading and investing strategies that can dramatically boost yourability to capture market-beating returns, year-in and year-out,through bull markets, bear markets, and everything in between.

If you're looking for a safe, proven alternative to conventionalbuy-and-hold stock strategies, this book is for you. A concise andcommonsense guide, it:

  • Brings together the best, time-tested indicators, patterns, andseasonalities developed and refined over the past fifty years
  • Discusses longer term boom/bust economic cycles as well asshorter term tendencies involving the best hours, days, weeks, andmonths of the year to trade the market
  • Shows how to use easy-to-implement strategies that have beenproven to beat the market more than 85 percent of the time
  • Describes an array of highly reliable event-driven cycles andpatterns, such as presidential election cycles, the "Santa ClausRally," and the best six-months strategy
  • Explores, in-depth, the long- and short-term impacts of keyexogenous factors on the market, including war, peace, inflation,political shifts, and more

Providing simple, actionable investment strategies that havestood the test of time, The Little Book of Stock MarketCycles offers you a golden opportunity to learn from historyand profit from its lessons.

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Editorial Reviews

From the Publisher
"The Little Book of Stock Market Cycles is ideally suitedfor fans of the Hirsch almanacs as well as for those who have neverbeen exposed to seasonal statistics and who have a hunch that theymay have missed something useful." (SeekingAlpha.com, August2012)

‘…a nice primer on cycle research and an excellentstarting point for further research…he has given us aninsightful collection of market observations and plenty of food forthought. I recommend you add it to your winter readinglist.’
(ForexPros, November 2012)
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Product Details

  • ISBN-13: 9781118270110
  • Publisher: Wiley
  • Publication date: 8/7/2012
  • Series: Little Books. Big Profits Series, #43
  • Edition number: 1
  • Pages: 215
  • Sales rank: 410,617
  • Product dimensions: 5.20 (w) x 7.10 (h) x 1.10 (d)

Meet the Author

JEFFREY A. HIRSCH is the Chief Market Strategist ofMagnet Fund, President of the Hirsch Organization,Editor-in-Chief of the Stock Trader's Almanac, and coauthorof the Commodity Trader's Almanac. He's worked with founderYale Hirsch for over twenty years, taking over for him in 2001. Mr.Hirsch appears frequently on CNBC, CNN, Bloomberg, FOX Business,and many other national and international media outlets to discussmarket cycles, seasonality, trading patterns and forecasts, andhistorical trends. He also edits the firm's digital toolkit,Almanac Investor, a subscription-based product includinginvestor alerts, market data, and research tools.

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Table of Contents

Foreword ix

Introduction xiii

Chapter One Cutting through the Bull 1

Chapter Two War and Peace 11

Chapter Three A Century of Booms and Busts 23

Chapter Four The Coming Boom 47

Chapter Five Your Portfolio Gets Political 69

Chapter Six Open Season for Stocks 95

Chapter Seven Aura of the Witch 105

Chapter Eight Autumn Planting 115

Chapter Nine Winter of Content 127

Chapter Ten Spring Harvest 149

Chapter Eleven Summer Doldrums 159

Chapter Twelve Celebrate Good Times 169

Chapter Thirteen Don’t Sell on Friday 187

Chapter Fourteen Picking the Ripe Trade 197

Acknowledgments 217

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