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In a sense, Alan Greenspan has always been in the prediction business. As a young man, he was an "adequate" professional musician, but he looked for an exit when he saw "one thing": "that the big band business was fading." Much, much later, as the long-running (1987-2006) Chairman of the Federal Reserve, he became the most frequently accused culprit of the most embarrassing prediction failure in post-war American history: The Great Recession. In this far-reaching study, he tackles questions about how we evaluate questions about forecasting economic risk and how, with cutting-edge technologies, we can learn to predict it better. A major exploration; certain to receive front-page reviews.