The Next Catastrophe: Reducing Our Vulnerabilities to Natural, Industrial, and Terrorist Disasters
432
The Next Catastrophe: Reducing Our Vulnerabilities to Natural, Industrial, and Terrorist Disasters
432Paperback(With a New preface by the author)
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Overview
Perrow argues that rather than laying exclusive emphasis on protecting targets, we should reduce their size to minimize damage and diminish their attractiveness to terrorists. He focuses on three causes of disaster—natural, organizational, and deliberate—and shows that our best hope lies in the deconcentration of high-risk populations, corporate power, and critical infrastructures such as electric energy, computer systems, and the chemical and food industries. Perrow reveals how the threat of catastrophe is on the rise, whether from terrorism, natural disasters, or industrial accidents. Along the way, he gives us the first comprehensive history of FEMA and the Department of Homeland Security and examines why these agencies are so ill equipped to protect us.
The Next Catastrophe is a penetrating reassessment of the very real dangers we face today and what we must do to confront them. Written in a highly accessible style by a renowned systems-behavior expert, this book is essential reading for the twenty-first century. The events of September 11 and Hurricane Katrina—and the devastating human toll they wrought—were only the beginning. When the next big disaster comes, will we be ready? In a new preface to the paperback edition, Perrow examines the recent (and ongoing) catastrophes of the financial crisis, the BP oil spill, and global warming.
Product Details
| ISBN-13: | 9780691150161 |
|---|---|
| Publisher: | Princeton University Press |
| Publication date: | 02/27/2011 |
| Edition description: | With a New preface by the author |
| Pages: | 432 |
| Product dimensions: | 6.10(w) x 9.20(h) x 1.30(d) |
About the Author
Table of Contents
Preface to the Paperback Edition vii
Acknowledgments xlix
Part One: Introduction and Natural Disasters li
Chapter 1 Shrink the Targets 1
Chapter 2 "Natural" Disasters? 14
Part Two: Can Government Help? 41
Chapter 3 The Government Response: The First FEMA 43
Chapter 4 The Disaster after 9/11: The Department of Homeland Security and a New FEMA 68
Part Three: The Disastrous Private Sector 131
Chapter 5 Are Terrorists as Dangerous as Management? The Nuclear Plant Threat 133
Chapter 6 Better Vulnerability through Chemistry 174
Chapter 7 Disastrous Concentration in the National Power Grid 211
Chapter 8 Concentration and Terror on the Internet 248
Part Four: What Is to Be Done? 289
Chapter 9 The Enduring Sources of Failure: Organizational, Executive, and Regulatory 291
Appendix A Three Types of Redundancy 327
Appendix B Networks of Small Firms 331
Bibliography 335
Index 355
What People are Saying About This
Perrow's thesis is laudable and his execution is strong. When he discusses the mistakes still being made in the way the U.S. has set up FEMA and Homeland Security, he is especially strong balanced, thoughtful, and convincing—and his explanation of the Enron debacle is one of the clearest ever presented. Overall, he analyzes how our organizations fail, why it is that regulation doesn't solve the problems, and how susceptible we have become as a result, doing so in a way that is just plain splendid.
— William R. Freudenburg, University of California, Santa Barbara
The Next Catastrophe is the work of the master at his formidable best—a dazzling array of learning, perspective, good sense, and, above all, command.
— Kai Erikson, Yale University
"The Next Catastrophe is the work of the master at his formidable best—a dazzling array of learning, perspective, good sense, and, above all, command."—Kai Erikson, Yale University"A profound and vital book, The Next Catastrophe provides a devastating indictment of the U.S. government's response to the deep organizational faults revealed by the September 11 attacks and Katrina. Perrow shows in fascinating detail how our politicians allow human disasters to be transformed into opportunities for profiteering and politicking, and routinely substitute wasteful bureaucracies for smart plans to reorganize fragile systems. The fundamental answer, Perrow writes, is to discard the profit- and power-driven ideologies in favor of our nation's traditional common-sense approach to the challenges of our all-too-real world."—Barry C. Lynn, author of End of the Line: The Rise and Coming Fall of the Global Corporation"A profound meditation on the paradox that modern technological and management orthodoxies have taken us down an increasingly perilous path. In the name of efficiency, sensitive industries are now so concentrated that they can be crippled at a single blow, from nature, accidents, or acts of terrorism. The mantra of asserting 'central control' in response to catastrophes only makes things worse, Perrow notes, as hierarchies strangle grassroots networks of local responders that might do some good. A trenchant, troubling study."—John Arquilla, Naval Postgraduate School"From the opening pages, The Next Catastrophe is riveting, eye-opening, and haunting. The causes of disasters go far beyond random acts of nature or terrorism; they reflect underlying systemic and managerial issues that we must confront in order to ensure our safety. Luckily, Charles Perrow digs deeply to find some difficult but promising solutions. Concerned citizens must join the experts in reading this brilliant book."—Rosabeth Moss Kanter, Harvard Business School professor, best-selling author of Confidence: How Winning Streaks and Losing Streaks Begin and EndThe Next Catastrophe is a fascinating, stimulating, and far-reaching work. Perrow's signature themes are here—the role of political and economic institutions, the reach of their power into organizations, and the inevitability of major organizational failures. The basic argument will stir discussion, and the feasibility of Perrow's proposed solutions is sure to provoke controversy."—Lynn Eden, author of Whole World on Fire: Organizations, Knowledge, and Nuclear Weapons Devastation"Perrow's thesis is laudable and his execution is strong. When he discusses the mistakes still being made in the way the U.S. has set up FEMA and Homeland Security, he is especially strong balanced, thoughtful, and convincing—and his explanation of the Enron debacle is one of the clearest ever presented. Overall, he analyzes how our organizations fail, why it is that regulation doesn't solve the problems, and how susceptible we have become as a result, doing so in a way that is just plain splendid."—William R. Freudenburg, University of California, Santa Barbara"Charles Perrow is the undisputed 'master of disaster.' In this timely and well-written book, Perrow offers not only a shrewd sociological diagnosis of the looming threat of (un)natural disasters, but, lo and behold, in arguing for us to shrink targets and disperse risk, he actually provides a bold yet feasible policy solution to what will surely be a growing threat to our way of life."—Dalton Conley, author of The Pecking Order: A Bold New Look at How Family and Society Determine Who We Become
A profound and vital book, The Next Catastrophe provides a devastating indictment of the U.S. government's response to the deep organizational faults revealed by the September 11 attacks and Katrina. Perrow shows in fascinating detail how our politicians allow human disasters to be transformed into opportunities for profiteering and politicking, and routinely substitute wasteful bureaucracies for smart plans to reorganize fragile systems. The fundamental answer, Perrow writes, is to discard the profit- and power-driven ideologies in favor of our nation's traditional common-sense approach to the challenges of our all-too-real world.
— Barry C. Lynn, author of "End of the Line: The Rise and Coming Fall of the Global Corporation"
From the opening pages, The Next Catastrophe is riveting, eye-opening, and haunting. The causes of disasters go far beyond random acts of nature or terrorism; they reflect underlying systemic and managerial issues that we must confront in order to ensure our safety. Luckily, Charles Perrow digs deeply to find some difficult but promising solutions. Concerned citizens must join the experts in reading this brilliant book.
— Rosabeth Moss Kanter, Harvard Business School professor, best-selling author of "Confidence: How Winning Streaks and Losing Streaks Begin and End"
Charles Perrow is the undisputed 'master of disaster.' In this timely and well-written book, Perrow offers not only a shrewd sociological diagnosis of the looming threat of (un)natural disasters, but, lo and behold, in arguing for us to shrink targets and disperse risk, he actually provides a bold yet feasible policy solution to what will surely be a growing threat to our way of life.
— Dalton Conley, author of "The Pecking Order: A Bold New Look at How Family and Society Determine Who We Become"
A profound meditation on the paradox that modern technological and management orthodoxies have taken us down an increasingly perilous path. In the name of efficiency, sensitive industries are now so concentrated that they can be crippled at a single blow, from nature, accidents, or acts of terrorism. The mantra of asserting 'central control' in response to catastrophes only makes things worse, Perrow notes, as hierarchies strangle grassroots networks of local responders that might do some good. A trenchant, troubling study.
— John Arquilla, Naval Postgraduate School
The Next Catastrophe is a fascinating, stimulating, and far-reaching work. Perrow's signature themes are here—the role of political and economic institutions, the reach of their power into organizations, and the inevitability of major organizational failures. The basic argument will stir discussion, and the feasibility of Perrow's proposed solutions is sure to provoke controversy.
— Lynn Eden, author of "Whole World on Fire: Organizations, Knowledge, and Nuclear Weapons Devastation"