The Psychology of Intelligence Analysis

by Richard J Heuer

Overview

Written to help intelligence analysts achieve a higher level of performance. Shows how people make judgments based on incomplete and ambiguous information. Offers simple tools and concepts for improving
analytical skills.

Product Details

ISBN-13:	9781907521232
Publisher:	www.Militarybookshop.Co.UK
Publication date:	09/01/2010
Pages:	210
Product dimensions:	6.14(w) x 9.21(h) x 0.50(d)

Table of Contents

Table of Contents Author's Preface Foreword by Douglas MacEachin Introduction by Jack Davis PART I--OUR MENTAL MACHINERY Chapter 1: Thinking About Thinking Chapter 2: Perception: Why Can't We See What Is There to Be Seen? Chapter 3: Memory: How Do We Remember What We Know? PART II--TOOLS FOR THINKING Chapter 4: Strategies for Analytical Judgment: Transcending the Limits of Incomplete Information Chapter 5: Do You Really Need More Information? Chapter 6: Keeping an Open Mind Chapter 7: Structuring Analytical Problems Chapter 8: Analysis of Competing Hypotheses PART III--COGNITIVE BIASES Chapter 9: What Are Cognitive Biases? Chapter 10: Biases in Evaluation of Evidence Chapter 11: Biases in Perception of Cause and Effect Chapter 12: Biases in Estimating Probabilities Chapter 13: Hindsight Biases in Evaluation of Intelligence Reporting PART IV--CONCLUSIONS Chapter 14: Improving Intelligence