Transition Timeline: For a Local, Resilient Future

Transition Timeline: For a Local, Resilient Future

by Shaun Chamberlin
     
 

The Transition Timeline lightens the fear of our uncertain future, providing a map of what we are facing and the different pathways available to us. It describes four possible scenarios for the UK and world over the next twenty years, ranging from Denial, in which we reap the consequences of failing to acknowledge and respond to our environmental challenges, to the

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Overview

The Transition Timeline lightens the fear of our uncertain future, providing a map of what we are facing and the different pathways available to us. It describes four possible scenarios for the UK and world over the next twenty years, ranging from Denial, in which we reap the consequences of failing to acknowledge and respond to our environmental challenges, to the Transition Vision, in which we shift our cultural assumptions to fit our circumstances and move into a more fulfilling, lower-energy world. The practical, realistic details of this Transition Vision are examined in depth, covering key areas such as food, energy, demographics, transport and health care, and providing a sense of context for communities working towards a thriving future.

Product Details

ISBN-13:
2901603582000
Publisher:
Chelsea Green Publishing
Publication date:
11/28/2009
Edition description:
NE

Table of Contents

Acknowledgements and Context 9

Foreword Bob Hopkins Hopkins, Bob 10

Introduction 14

Climate Change - A Summary 18

Peak Oil - A Summary 19

Pt. 1 Cultural Stories and Visions of the Future 20

Ch. 1 Why Cultural Stories Matter 21

Ch. 2 Vision 1: Denial 24

Ch. 3 Vision 2: Hitting the Wall 27

Ch. 4 Vision 3: The Impossible Dream 30

Ch. 5 Vision 4: The Transition Vision 33

Ch. 6 Our Choices 38

Pt. 2 A Deeper Look at the Transition Vision 40

Ch. 7 Population and Demographics 42

Ch. 8 Food and Water 49

Ch. 9 Electricity and Energy 62

Ch. 10 Travel and Transport 70

Ch. 11 Health and Medicine 79

Ch. 12 Wildcards 84

Ch. 13 An Overview - Systems Thinking 85

Pt. 3 Making Best Use of This Timeline 90

Ch. 14 Timelines and Energy Descent Plans 93

Pt. 4 Global Context - Climate Change / Fuel Depletion 114

Ch. 15 Peak Oil 116

Ch. 16 Peak Oil and Climate Change - The Interplay 127

Ch. 17 Climate Change Explained 130

Ch. 18 Climate Change - The IPCC 135

Ch. 19 Climate Change - A Reality Check 146

Pt. 5 UK Context 154

Ch. 20 Peak Oil in the UK 156

Ch. 21 Climate Change in the UK 162

Closing Thoughts 167

Ongoing Process/Feedback 169

Appendix A Substitution problem calculation 170

Appendix B The Transition Timeline's relationship with Zero Carbon Britain 172

Further Reading, Reference and Notes 173

Index 187

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