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The U. S. Economy Demystified: The Meaning of U. S. Business Statistics and What They Portend about the Future / Edition 3

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Product Details

  • ISBN-13: 9780029301159
  • Publisher: Free Press
  • Publication date: 2/28/1993
  • Edition description: 3rd ed
  • Edition number: 3
  • Pages: 206

Table of Contents

Figures and Tables
Foreword
Preface to the Third Edition
Introduction
1 The Long Wave of History 1
Historical Origins: the Big Bang 2
The Wave in Descent 7
Worldview 11
2 The National Economic Accounting System 15
The Structure of the Accounts 16
The Measure of Output and Expenditure 29
The Income Side of the Accounts 38
Relations Between the Output and Income Sides of the Accounts 49
Housing in the National Accounts 52
Saving and Investment in the National Accounts 54
The Federal Government in the National Accounts 58
Long-Term Trends in the National Accounts 59
Actual and Middle-Expansion Trend Output 61
3 The Data Stream 64
The Personal Sector: Income, Spending, Credit Use 64
The Housing Market 68
Capital Spending and Its Sources 70
Accounting for Corporate Profits 73
The Manufacturing Industries: Production, Sales, Inventories, Orders 76
Employment and Unemployment 79
Prices, Wages, and Productivity 82
Financial Data: The Capital Markets 87
4 How to Watch the Business Cycle 91
The Cycle in the Statistics 97
Foreshadowing Statistics 103
Other Indicators of the Cycle 103
5 The Influence of Economic Policy 112
Fiscal Policy 113
Fiscal Flux 119
Monetary Policy 125
The Condition of Financial Markets 128
6 The United States in the World 138
7 Inflation and Economic Policies 148
8 The Wave of the Future 160
The Growth Rate Itself 162
The Trend in the Labor Force 165
The Productivity Outlook 167
A Laboring Government 168
The United States in the World: An Emerging Normal 171
Private-Sector Considerations 173
The Social Burden 176
The Ethical Burden 177
Conclusions 179
9 Epilogue: A Footnote on the Mixed Economy 182
Appendix A: Alphabetical List of Series 187
Appendix B: Approximate Release Dates for Monthly Statistics 191
Appendix C: Approximate Release Dates for Quarterly Statistics 192
About the Authors 193
About The Conference Board 194
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