Overview

PRAISE FOR THE WARREN BUFFETT WAY

"[This] book's popularity is a testimony to the accuracy of its analysis and the value of its advice."

—BILL MILLER, Chairman and CIO, LMM, LLC

"A comprehensive primer on applying Buffett's investment strategy to the new economy."

—Fortune

"For readers of The Warren Buffett Way, I hope I can provide a very personal look into an important piece of investment history and some thoughts on how to best use this wonderful book. There is little I will say about Mr. Buffett since that is...

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Overview

PRAISE FOR THE WARREN BUFFETT WAY

"[This] book's popularity is a testimony to the accuracy of its analysis and the value of its advice."

—BILL MILLER, Chairman and CIO, LMM, LLC

"A comprehensive primer on applying Buffett's investment strategy to the new economy."

—Fortune

"For readers of The Warren Buffett Way, I hope I can provide a very personal look into an important piece of investment history and some thoughts on how to best use this wonderful book. There is little I will say about Mr. Buffett since that is the subject of this book and Robert Hagstrom covers that ground with grace and insight."

—KEN FISHER, from the Introduction

"The Warren Buffett Way outlines his career and presents examples of how his investment techniques and methods evolved and the important individuals in that process. It also details the key investment decisions that produced his unmatched record of performance."

—PETER S. LYNCH, bestselling author, One Up on Wall Street and Beating the Street

"An extraordinarily useful account of the methods of an investor held by many to be the world's greatest."

—The Wall Street Journal

"Robert Hagstrom presents an in-depth examination of Warren Buffett's strategies, and the 'how and why' behind his selection of each of the major securities that have contributed to his remarkable record of success. His 'homespun' wisdom and philosophy are also part of this comprehensive, interesting, and readable book."

—JOHN C. BOGLE, founder and retired CEO, The Vanguard Group

"It's first rate. Buffett gets a lot of attention for what he preaches, but nobody has described what he practices better than Hagstrom. Here is the lowdown on every major stock he ever bought and why he bought it. Fascinating. You could even try this at home."

—JOHN ROTHCHILD, bestselling author, The Bear Book and The Davis Dynasty

"Nobody has described what Buffett practices better than Hagstrom."

—Time

"Simply the most important new stock book. . . . If you think you know all about Warren Buffett, you have a lot to learn from this book."

—Forbes

"Almost anybody curious about the relationship between the behavior of economics, the performance of firms, and the ups and downs of the stock market will find something of interest here."

—The Economist

"The Warren Buffett Way is accessible to average readers because Mr. Hagstrom reduces the billionaire's techniques to some easily understandable tenets . . . the book demonstrates the rewards that can come down the road."

—The Dallas Morning News

"Thank you, Robert Hagstrom, for the finely honed thinking, the clear writing, and the simple strategies that help all of us be more successful at one of life's most intriguing and intimidating tasks: investing our money."

—JANET LOWE, bestselling author, Warren Buffett Speaks

"By placing Buffett's approach into a broader context, Robert Hagstrom captures not just the key ideas of this century's investing giants, from Ben Graham to Phil Fisher, but also lucidly explains the theoretical foundation of their insights, including probability theory and psychology. This is not simply an investing book; it is an investing library."

—CHRIS DAVIS, Portfolio Manager, Davis Advisors

"Robert Hagstrom shows how 'the world's greatest investor' can help us navigate."

—KAY BOOTH, Managing Director, Cappello Waterfield & Co., LLC

To further enhance your understanding of the strategies and techniques presented here, don't forget to pick up The Warren Buffett Way Workbook—an essential study guide that contains over 250 multiple-choice questions as well as more than 200 essay exercises.

Also available, The Warren Buffett Way Video Course. Narrated by Robert Hagstrom, it effectively brings Buffett to life from both a professional and personal perspective.

Starting with an investment of only $100, investor Warren Buffett has managed to amass billions by buying pieces of companies and holding on to them. Hagstrom, who has followed Buffett's career since the early '80s, focuses here on his investment strategies and shows how they have evolved over the years. Foreword by Peter Lynch.

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Editorial Reviews

Wall Street Journal
An extraordinarily useful account of the methods of an investor held by many to be the world’s greatest.
John Rothchild
It's first rate. Buffett gets a lot of attention for what he preaches, but nobody has described what he practices better than Hagstrom. Here is the lowdown on every major stock he ever bought and why he bought it. Fascinating. You could even try this at home.
Time
Phil Fisher
In simple language this book tells the rules by which the most successful American stock investor of modern time got that way. It could be a godsend to the legion of unhappy investors who keep floundering because they ignore the basics of major investment success.
Martin S. Fridson
Warren Buffett is often characterized simply as a 'value investor' or a 'Ben Graham disciple.' Hagstrom fills in the rest of the story with some immensely practical pointers on prospering in the market.
Wall Street Journal
. . . an extraordinarily useful account of the methods of an investor held by many to be the world's greatest.
Charles D. Ellis
Warren Buffett is surely the Greatest Investor of this century—not so much because he built a great fortune within a free market as because he has shared his important thinking with us and has openly demonstrated the sagacity and courage so vital to success. Berkshire Hathaway has been my largest, longest investment. Warren has been my best teacher.
John C. Bogle
Robert Hagstrom presents an in-depth examination of Warren Buffett's strategies, and the 'how and why' behind his selection of each of the major securities that have contributed to his remarkable record of success. His 'homespun' wisdom and philosophy are also part of this comprehensive, interesting, and readable book.
Kenneth L. Fisher
Simply the most important new stock book of the 1990s, to date. Buy it and read it.
Forbes
Peter S. Lynch
The Warren Buffett Way outlines his career and presents examples of how his investment techniques and methods evolved and the important individuals in that process. It also details the key investment decisions that produced his unmatched record of performance.
Publishers Weekly - Publisher's Weekly
Starting with $10,000 in 1956 and today worth some $8.5 billion, with significant holdings in Coca-Cola, Capital Cities/ ABC and the Washington Post Company, Omaha, Nebr.-based Buffet is a major player on Wall Street. Financial consultant Hagstrom, who did not interview his subject but obtained permission to quote from his Berkshire Hathaway annual reports, here outlines Buffet's iconoclastic tenets for investing. Unlike many entrepreneurs who take over companies to sell them off in bits, Buffet buys and holds. He rejects the ``efficient market theory''; he doesn't worry about the stock market; and he buys a business, not a stock. He manages with a small staff, no computers and a ``hands off'' strategy. Learning his secrets here, now the rest of us can do a Buffet? Illustrations. Fortune Book Club dual main selection. (Nov.)
Library Journal
Hagstrom, a principal in a Philadelphia investment firm, describes the investment strategies and techniques used by Warren Buffett to realize enormous success as a professional investor. Aiming his analysis at the individual investor, Hagstrom reviews the influence of Buffett's mentors, Ben Graham and Philip Fisher, and illustrates Buffett's synthesis of their investment philosophies. Hagstrom provides case studies of Buffett's major investments, showing the qualities of the companies that had appeal. Buffett's investment philosophy espouses long-term investing, respect for good management, and recognition of the value of a business franchise. This insightful work is a worthwhile complement to Graham's classic writings, considered essential for new investors.-Joseph Barth, U.S. Military Acad. Lib., West Point, N.Y.
David Rouse
Warren Buffett was identified as the richest person in America by "Forbes" last year. Of the more than 70 individuals or families worth more than $1 billion on "Forbes" list, only Buffett acquired his wealth through investing. Hagstrom, a principal at a Philadelphia investment firm, has tracked the success of Buffett for more than 10 years and argues that the same strategies that Buffett uses in selecting acquisitions can be used by individuals in selecting stocks. Buffett's firm, Berkshire Hathaway, has one of the most widely read annual reports issued, with Buffett himself personally contributing advice, humor, and insight. Hagstrom had Buffett's approval in including extensive quotes from these reports, but Buffett cooperated in no other way with this book. Hagstrom examines the influence of Benjamin Graham and his classic "The Intelligent Investor" on Buffett and details what Buffett looks for in his investments. Recommended for libraries with popular investment collections.
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Product Details

  • ISBN-13: 9781118793992
  • Publisher: Wiley
  • Publication date: 9/13/2013
  • Sold by: Barnes & Noble
  • Format: eBook
  • Edition number: 3
  • Pages: 320
  • Sales rank: 178,609
  • File size: 4 MB

Meet the Author

ROBERT G. HAGSTROM is one of the best-known authors of investment books for general audiences. He has written nine books, including the New York Times bestselling The Warren Buffett Way and The Warren Buffett Portfolio: Mastering the Power of the Focus Investment Strategy. He is also the author of The NASCAR Way: The Business That Drives the Sport; The Detective and the Investor: Uncovering Investment Techniques from the Legendary Sleuths; and Investing: The Last Liberal Art. Robert is a graduate of Villanova University with a BA and MA and is a Chartered Financial Analyst. He lives with his family in Villanova, Pennsylvania. Visit Robert's website at www.RobertHagstrom.com.

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Table of Contents

Foreword: The Exception vii
Howard Marks

Foreword to the Second Edition xvii
Bill Miller

Foreword to the First Edition xix
Peter S. Lynch

Introduction xxv
Kenneth L. Fisher

Preface xxxi

Chapter One A Five-Sigma Event: The World’s Greatest Investor 1

Personal History and Investment Beginnings 3

The Buffett Partnership Ltd. 10

Berkshire Hathaway 13

Insurance Operations 15

The Man and His Company 17

Five-Sigma Event 18

Chapter Two The Education of Warren Buffett 21

Benjamin Graham 21

Philip Fisher 30

Charlie Munger 35

A Blending of Intellectual Influences 38

Chapter Three Buying a Business: The Twelve Immutable Tenets 45

Business Tenets 46

Management Tenets 50

Financial Tenets 59

Market Tenets 64

Anatomy of a Long-Term Stock Price 69

Chapter Four Common Stock Purchases: Nine Case Studies 71

The Washington Post Company 72

GEICO Corporation 81

Capital Cities/ABC 91

The Coca-Cola Company 100

General Dynamics 110

Wells Fargo & Company 114

American Express Company 120

International Business Machines 123

H.J. Heinz Company 130

A Common Theme 135

Chapter Five Portfolio Management: The Mathematics of Investing 137

The Mathematics of Focus Investing 143

Focus Investors in Graham-and-Doddsville 155

Chapter Six The Psychology of Investing 179

The Intersection of Psychology and Economics 180

Behavioral Finance 182

And on the Other Side, Warren Buffett 194

Why Psychology Matters 199

Chapter Seven The Value of Patience 201

For the Long Term 202

Rationality: The Critical Difference 205

Slow-Moving Ideas 206

System 1 and System 2 207

The Mindware Gap 210

Time and Patience 211

Chapter Eight The World’s Greatest Investor 213

The Private Buffett 216

The Buffett Advantage 218

Learning to Think Like Buffett 224

Finding Your Own Way 232

Appendix 235

Notes 253

Acknowledgments 263

About the Website 267

About the Author 269

Index 271

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First Chapter

The Warren Buffett Way


By Robert G. Hagstrom

John Wiley & Sons

ISBN: 0-471-64811-6


Chapter One

The World's Greatest Investor

Every year, Forbes magazine publishes a list of the 400 richest Americans, the elite Forbes 400. Individuals on the list come and go from year to year, as their personal circumstances change and their industries rise and fall, but some names are constant. Among those leading the list year in and year out are certain megabillionaires who trace their wealth to a product (computer software or hardware), a service (retailing), or lucky parentage (inheritance). Of those perennially in the top five, only one made his fortune through investment savvy. That one person is Warren Buffett.

In the early 1990s, he was number one. Then for a few years, he see-sawed between number one and number two with a youngster named Bill Gates. Even for the dot-com-crazed year 2000, when so much of the wealth represented by the Forbes 400 came from the phenomenal growth in technology, Buffett, who smilingly eschews high-tech anything, was firmly in fourth position. He was still the only person in the top five for whom the "source of wealth" column read "stock market." In 2004, he was solidly back in the number two position.

In 1956, Buffett started his investment partnership with $100; after thirteen years, he cashed out with $25 million. At the time of this writing (mid-2004), his personal net worth has increased to $42.9 billion, the stock in his company is sellingat $92,900 a share, and millions of investors around the world hang on his every word.

To fully appreciate Warren Buffett, however, we have to go beyond the dollars, the performance accolades, and the reputation.

INVESTMENT BEGINNINGS

Warren Edward Buffett was born August 30, 1930, in Omaha, Nebraska. His grandfather owned a grocery store (and once employed a young Charlie Munger); his father was a local stockbroker. As a boy, Warren Buffett was always fascinated with numbers and could easily do complex mathematical calculations in his head. At age eight, he began reading his father's books on the stock market; at age eleven, he marked the board at the brokerage house where his father worked. His early years were enlivened with entrepreneurial ventures, and he was so successful that he told his father he wanted to skip college and go directly into business. He was overruled.

Buffett attended the business school at the University of Nebraska, and while there, he read a new book on investing by a Columbia professor named Benjamin Graham. It was, of course, The Intelligent Investor. Buffett was so taken with Graham's ideas that he applied to Columbia Business School so that he could study directly with Graham. Bill Ruane, now chairman of the Sequoia Fund, was in the same class. He recalls that there was an instantaneous mental chemistry between Graham and Buffett, and that the rest of the class was primarily an audience.

Not long after Buffett graduated from Columbia with a master's degree in economics, Graham invited his former student to join his company, the Graham-Newman Corporation. During his two-year tenure there, Buffett became fully immersed in his mentor's investment approach (see Chapter 2 for a full discussion of Graham's philosophy).

In 1956, Graham-Newman disbanded. Graham, then 61, decided to retire, and Buffett returned to Omaha. Armed with the knowledge he had acquired from Graham, the financial backing of family and friends, and $100 of his own money, Buffett began a limited investment partnership. He was twenty-five years old.

THE BUFFETT PARTNERSHIP, LTD.

The partnership began with seven limited partners who together contributed $105,000. The limited partners received 6 percent annually on their investment and 75 percent of the profits above this bogey; the remaining 25 percent went to Buffett, who as general partner had essentially free rein to invest the partnership's funds.

Over the next thirteen years, Buffett compounded money at an annual rate of 29.5 percent. It was no easy task. Although the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined in price five different years during that thirteen-year period, Buffett's partnership never had a down year. Buffett, in fact, had begun the partnership with the ambitious goal of outperforming the Dow by ten points every year. And he did it-not by ten-but by twenty-two points!

As Buffett's reputation grew, more people asked him to manage their money. For the partnership, Buffett bought controlling interests in several public and private companies, and in 1962 he began buying shares in an ailing textile company called Berkshire Hathaway.

That same year, 1962, Buffett moved the partnership office from his home to Kiewit Plaza in Omaha, where his office remains today. The next year, he made a stunning purchase.

Tainted by a scandal involving one of its clients, American Express saw its shares drop from $65 to $35 almost overnight. Buffett had learned Ben Graham's lesson well: When stocks of a strong company are selling below their intrinsic value, act decisively. Buffett made the bold decision to put 40 percent of the partnership's total assets, $13 million, into American Express stock. Over the next two years, the shares tripled in price, and the partners netted a cool $20 million in profit. It was pure Graham-and pure Buffett.

By 1965, the partnership's assets had grown to $26 million. Four years later, explaining that he found the market highly speculative and worthwhile values increasingly scarce, Buffett decided to end the investment partnership.

When the partnership disbanded, investors received their proportional interests. Some of them, at Buffett's recommendation, sought out money manager Bill Ruane, his old classmate at Columbia. Ruane agreed to manage their money, and thus was born the Sequoia Fund. Others, including Buffett, invested their partnership revenues in Berkshire Hathaway. By that point, Buffett's share of the partnership had grown to $25 million, which was enough to give him control of Berkshire Hathaway.

What he did with it is well known in the investment world. Even those with only a passing interest in the stock market recognize Buffett's name and know something of his stunning success. In the following chapters, we trace the upward trajectory of Berkshire Hathaway in the forty years that Buffett has been in control. Perhaps more important, we also look beneath the surface to uncover the commonsense philosophy on which he founded his success.

THE MAN AND HIS COMPANY

Warren Buffett is not easy to describe. Physically, he is unremarkable, with looks often described as grandfatherly. Intellectually, he is considered a genius; yet his down-to-earth relationship with people is truly uncomplicated. He is simple, straightforward, forthright, and honest. He displays an engaging combination of sophisticated dry wit and cornball humor. He has a profound reverence for all things logical and a foul distaste for imbecility. He embraces the simple and avoids the complicated.

When reading Berkshire's annual reports, one is struck by how comfortable Buffett is quoting the Bible, John Maynard Keynes, or Mae West. The operable word here is reading. Each report is sixty to seventy pages of dense information: no pictures, no color graphics, no charts. Those who are disciplined enough to start on page one and continue uninterrupted are rewarded with a healthy dose of financial acumen, folksy humor, and unabashed honesty. Buffett is candid in his reporting. He emphasizes both the pluses and the minuses of Berkshire's businesses. He believes that people who own stock in Berkshire Hathaway are owners of the company, and he tells them as much as he would like to be told if he were in their shoes.

When Buffett took control of Berkshire, the corporate net worth was $22 million. Forty years later, it has grown to $69 billion. It has long been Buffett's goal to increase the book value of Berkshire Hathaway at a 15 percent annual rate-well above the return achieved by the average American company. Since he took control of Berkshire in 1964, the gain has been much greater: Book value per share has grown from $19 to $50,498, a rate of 22.2 percent compounded annually. This relative performance is all the more impressive when you consider that Berkshire is penalized by both income and capital gains taxes and the Standard & Poor's 500 returns are pretax.

On a year-by-year basis, Berkshire's returns have at times been volatile; changes in the stock market and thus the underlying stocks that Berkshire owns create wide swings in per share value (see Table 1.1).

To appreciate the volatility, compare the results for 1998 with 1999. In 1998, Berkshire's value increased more than 48 percent. Then, in 1999, Berkshire's increase dropped to a paltry 0.5 percent, yet the S&P 500 increased 21 percent. Two factors were involved: Berkshire's results can be traced to poor return on consumer nondurables (Coca-Cola and Gillette), while the S&P increase was fueled by the outstanding performance of technology stocks, which Berkshire does not own.

Speaking with the candor for which he is famous, Buffett admitted in the 1999 annual report that "truly large superiorities over the [S&P] index are a thing of the past." He predicted, however, that over time Berkshire's performance would be "modestly" better than the S&P. And for the next three years, this turned out to be the case. Then in 2003, even though Berkshire had a terrific year-book value up 21 percent-the S&P did even better.

BUFFETT TODAY

Over the most recent years, starting in the late 1990s, Buffett has been less active in the stock market than he was in the 1980s and early 1990s. Many people have noticed this lack of activity and have wondered whether it signaled that the market had hit its top. Others have theorized that the lack of new major purchases of common stocks simply means that the type of stocks Buffett likes to purchase are no longer selling at attractive prices.

We know it is Buffett's preference to "buy certainties at a discount." "Certainties" are defined by the predictability of a company's economics. The more predicable a company's economics, the more certainty we might have about its valuation. When we look down the list of stocks that Buffett owns as well as the wholly owned companies inside Berkshire, we are struck by the high degree of predictability reflected there. The "discount" part of the statement obviously refers to the stock price.

Knowing that Buffett likes to buy highly predictable economics at prices below the intrinsic value of the business, we can conclude that his buyer's strike reflects the lack of choices in this arena. I am pretty sure that if Coca-Cola, Gillette, or other similar businesses were today selling at fifty cents on the dollar, Buffett would add more shares to Berkshire's portfolio.

We also know Buffett's discipline of operating only within his "circle of competence." Think of this circle of competence as the cumulative history of your experience. If someone had successfully operated a certain business within a certain industry for a decade or more, we would say that person had achieved a high level of competence for the task at hand. However, if someone else had only a few years' experience operating a new business, we could reasonably question that person's level of competence. Perhaps in Buffett's rational mind, the sum total of his business experience in studying and operating the businesses in Berkshire's portfolio sets the bar of competence so high that it would be difficult to achieve a similar level of insight into a new industry.

So perhaps Buffett faces a dilemma. Within his circle of competence, the types of stocks he likes to purchase are not currently selling at discounted prices. At the same time, outside his circle of competence, faster-growing businesses are being born in new industries that have yet to achieve the high level of economic certainty Buffett requires. If this analysis is correct, it explains why there have been no new large buys of common stocks in the past few years.

We would be foolish indeed to assume that because the menu of stocks available for purchase has been reduced, Warren Buffett is left without investment options. Certainly he has been active in the fixed-income market, including taking a significant position in high-yield bonds in 2002. He is alert for the periodic arbitrage opportunity as well, but considering the amount of capital Buffett needs to deploy to make meaningful returns, the arbitrage markets are perhaps not as fruitful as they once were.

But Berkshire Hathaway shareholders should not feel they are being deprived of opportunities. Too often, shareholders forget one of the most important owner-related business principles Buffett outlines each year in the annual report. The fourth principle states, "Our preference would be able to reach our goal [of maximizing Berkshire's average annual rate of gain in intrinsic value] by directly owning a diversified group of businesses that generate cash and consistently earn above-average returns on capital. Our second choice is to own parts of similar businesses attained primarily through the purchases of marketable common stocks."

In Berkshire's early years, owning common stocks made the most sense economically. Now, as common stock prices have risen dramatically and the purchasing power of Berkshire's retained earnings has mushroomed, the strategy of buying whole businesses, which is Buffett's stated preference, has come to the forefront.

There is a personal factor as well. We know that Buffett greatly enjoys his relationships with his operating managers and takes a great deal of pride in Berkshire's collection of operating businesses. Conversely, the angst he has endured by being a shareholder of publicly traded companies, with the issues of executive compensation and questionable capital reinvestment strategies that accompany ownership, may make being a shareholder less appealing for Buffett today than it used to be. If the economics are not compelling, why would Buffett choose to endure the corporate governance fiascos associated with being a major shareholder?

The only activity Buffett involves himself in with Berkshire's operating businesses is setting executive compensation and allocating the profits. Inside Berkshire's world, these decisions are highly rational. Outside in the stock market, management decisions on executive compensation and capital reallocation do not always reflect rationality.

What does this mean for individual investors? Because Buffett is not actively involved in the stock market, should they automatically pull back as well? Buffett's alternative strategy is to buy businesses outright, an option that is out of reach for most investors. So how should they proceed?

There appear to be two obvious choices.

Continues...


Excerpted from The Warren Buffett Way by Robert G. Hagstrom Excerpted by permission.
All rights reserved. No part of this excerpt may be reproduced or reprinted without permission in writing from the publisher.
Excerpts are provided by Dial-A-Book Inc. solely for the personal use of visitors to this web site.

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Sort by: Showing all of 12 Customer Reviews
  • Posted December 30, 2009

    A great book on Buffett

    A great book if you are interested in value investing

    2 out of 2 people found this review helpful.

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  • Anonymous

    Posted May 9, 2006

    Brilliant Explanation of Buffett's Investment Philosophy

    Hagstrom's book gives a very detailed and thorough anlaysis of Buffett's investment philosophy and methodology. I would recommend it to anyone wanting to select only the finest stocks.

    2 out of 2 people found this review helpful.

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  • Posted March 29, 2012

    Have not read.......quick delivery tho...

    Have not read it yet...looks good
    fast delivery...

    0 out of 8 people found this review helpful.

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