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"Powerfully persuasive in its exhaustive research, Three's a Crowd may surprise ...
"Powerfully persuasive in its exhaustive research, Three's a Crowd may surprise many by revealing the long- ignored but pivotal impact of Perot voters on every national election since 1992."
---Clay Mulford, Jones Day and General Counsel to the 1992 Perot Presidential Campaign and to the Reform Party.
"Rapaport and Stone have written an engaging and important book. They bring fresh perspectives, interesting data, and much good sense to this project. Three's a Crowd is fundamentally about political change, which will, in turn, change how scholars and pundits think of Ross Perot in particular, and third parties in general."
---John G. Geer, Professor of Political Science at Vanderbilt University and Editor of The Journal of Politics
"The definitive analysis of the Perot movement, its role in the 1994 GOP victory, and the emergence of an enduring governing majority."
---L. Sandy Maisel, Director, Goldfarb Center for Public Affairs, Colby College
Three's a Crowd begins with the simple insight that third parties are creatures of the American two-party system, and derive their support from the failures of the Democratic and Republican parties.
While third parties flash briefly in the gaps left by those failures, they nevertheless follow a familiar pattern: a sensation in one election, a disappointment in the next. Rapoport and Stone conclude that this steep arc results from one or both major parties successfully absorbing the third party's constituency. In the first election, the third party raises new issues and defines new constituencies; in the second, the major parties move in on the new territory. But in appropriating the third party's constituents, the major parties open themselves up to change. This is what the authors call the "dynamic of third parties."
The Perot campaign exemplified this effect in 1992 and 1996. Political observers of contemporary electoral politics missed the significance of Perot's independent campaign for the presidency in 1992. Rapoport and Stone, who had unfettered-and unparalleled-access to the Perot political machine, show how his run perfectly embodies the third-party dynamic. Yet until now no one has considered the aftermath of the Perot movement through that lens.
For anyone who seeks to understand the workings of our stubbornly two-party structure, this eagerly awaited and definitive analysis will shed new light on the role of third parties in the American political system.
|I||The Perot Movement & Third-Party Politics in America|
|1||Introduction: The Dynamic of Third Parties||3|
|II||Understanding the Support for Perot|
|2||A Theory of Third-Party Support & Major-Party Change||25|
|3||The Rise & Fall of Ross Perot & the Reform Party, 1992-2000||47|
|4||Was There an Issue Constituency for Perot?||78|
|5||Explaining Support for Perot||97|
|6||The Decline in Support for Perot||124|
|III||The Major Party Bid|
|7||The Major Party Bid for the Perot Constituency||145|
|IV||The Perot Constituency's Response & the Republican Resurgence|
|8||Perot & the Republican Resurgence, 1994-2000||171|
|9||The Mobilization Effects of Perot Activity||190|
|10||The Impact of Perot on the Republican Party's Issue Positions||206|
|11||Conclusion: Third Parties & Political Change in America||223|