Uncertainty: A Guide to Dealing with Uncertainty in Quantitative Risk and Policy Analysis / Edition 1

Uncertainty: A Guide to Dealing with Uncertainty in Quantitative Risk and Policy Analysis / Edition 1

by Millett Granger Morgan, Max Henrion
     
 

This book explain the ways in which uncertainty is an important factor in the problems of risk and policy analysis.See more details below

Overview

This book explain the ways in which uncertainty is an important factor in the problems of risk and policy analysis.

Product Details

ISBN-13:
9780521427449
Publisher:
Cambridge University Press
Publication date:
08/28/2010
Edition description:
Reprint
Pages:
346
Product dimensions:
5.98(w) x 8.98(h) x 0.79(d)

Table of Contents

Preface; 1. Introduction; 2. Recent milestones; 3. An overview of quantitative policy analysis; 4. The nature and sources of uncertainty; 5. Probability distributions and statistical estimation; 6. Human judgement about and with uncertainty; 7. Performing probability assessment; 8. The propagation and analysis of uncertainty; 9. The graphic communication of uncertainty; 10. Analytica: a software tool for uncertainty analysis; 11. Large and complex models; 12. The value of knowing how little you know; Index.

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