Understanding China's Economic Indicators: Translating the Data into Investment Opportunities

Overview

In Understanding China’s Economic Indicators, leading economist and Wall Street Journal columnist Thomas M. Orlik introduces 35 of China's most significant economic statistics. Orlik explains why each indicator matters, how it is collected and computed, and its impact on equity, commodity, and currency markets.

As China has emerged as a central player in the global economy, more and more investors are seeking profitable opportunities there. To choose the right investments, it's ...

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Understanding China's Economic Indicators: Translating the Data into Investment Opportunities

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Overview

In Understanding China’s Economic Indicators, leading economist and Wall Street Journal columnist Thomas M. Orlik introduces 35 of China's most significant economic statistics. Orlik explains why each indicator matters, how it is collected and computed, and its impact on equity, commodity, and currency markets.

As China has emerged as a central player in the global economy, more and more investors are seeking profitable opportunities there. To choose the right investments, it's crucial to understand China's economic environment–and that means finding, interpreting, and utilizing China's growing base of economic indicators. Orlik helps investors make sense of data on everything from Chinese GDP growth to inflation, unemployment, bond yields, electricity production, and aircraft passenger numbers. He draws on the best information supplied by the Chinese government's statistical agency, ministries, and industry associations, as well as private sources. Each indicator is clearly described, along with a practical discussion of its implications for investors.

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Product Details

  • ISBN-13: 9780132620192
  • Publisher: FT Press
  • Publication date: 7/26/2011
  • Edition description: New Edition
  • Edition number: 1
  • Pages: 272
  • Sales rank: 1,281,569
  • Product dimensions: 7.10 (w) x 9.20 (h) x 0.80 (d)

Meet the Author

Tom Orlik is a China correspondent for The Wall Street Journal, where he writes the “Heard on the Street” column. Prior to joining the Journal, he worked for Stone & McCarthy Research Associates as an economist, briefing investors on China’s macroeconomic data. Before coming to China, Orlik worked for the British Treasury, including as a speechwriter for the Deputy Finance Minister, advisor to the UK Executive Director of the International Monetary Fund, and on secondment to the European Commission in Brussels. He has a Master’s in Public Policy from Harvard’s Kennedy School of Government and a Bachelor’s in English from University College London. His work on the Chinese economy has been published by the Far Eastern Economic Review, the Economist Intelligence Unit, and the South China Morning Post. The head of China’s National Bureau of Statistics Ma Jiantang made Orlik’s essay on the quality of China’s economic data required reading for the entire staff of the statistical system.

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Table of Contents

Acknowledgments x

About the Author xiii

CHAPTER 1 Introduction 1

The Crush 1

How Reliable Are China’s Economic Statistics? 3

A Month in China’s Economic Data 6

Waiting for Release of the Data—or Not 7

A Year in China’s Economic Data 8

How This Book Works 11

CHAPTER 2 National Output 13

Gross Domestic Product 13

Industrial Value Added 24

Fiscal Revenue and Expenditure 31

Freight and Passenger Traffic 36

China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing’s Purchasing Managers Index 40

HSBC Markit Purchasing Managers Index 45

Market News International China Business Survey 48

National Bureau of Statistics Leading Economic Indicator 53

Conference Board Leading Economic Indicator 58

Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development Composite Leading Indicator 62

CHAPTER 3 Investment and Real Estate 67

Fixed Asset Investment 67

Real Estate Prices, Investment, Sales, and Construction 75

China Real Estate Index System 84

CHAPTER 4 Household Sector 89

Retail Sales 89

Urban and Rural Household Surveys 94

National Bureau of Statistics Consumer Confidence Index 101

INTAGE China Consumer Sentiment Survey 105

CHAPTER 5 External Sector 109

Trade 109

U.S. Import Price Index 121

Foreign Direct Investment 125

Balance of Payments 130

Foreign Exchange and Gold Reserves 136

Treasury International Capital System 142

CHAPTER 6 Labor Markets 149

Urban Wages 149

Unemployment 158

Public Employment Services Labor Market Supply-and-Demand Situation 162

CHAPTER 7 Prices 169

Consumer Price Index 169

Indices of Urban Residents’ Confidence on Income and Price Level 177

Producer Price Index 181

Bond Market Yield Curve 185

CHAPTER 8 Financial Indicators 193

Sources and Uses of Funds of Financial Institutions 193

Money Supply 200

Nonperforming Loans 204

China Foreign Exchange Trading System Central Parities 209

Hong Kong Banking System Yuan Deposits 215

People’s Bank of China Reports 218

Index 225

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