Wireless Foresight: Scenarios of the Mobile World in 2015 / Edition 1

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Overview

Five years ago everyone new the future of telecoms!

Now things are a little different--but where will they be in ten or even fifteen years time?

This volume is based around four scenarios of the wireless world in 2015. The focus is on the industry (i.e. infrastructure and terminal vendors, operators, and service developers and providers) as well as on new players. The book has a broad scope describing societal trends as well as changes in user behaviour, technology and industry.

This text has been written by authors from Wireless@KTH, a research and educational centre formed by the Royal Institute of Technology (KTH) in cooperation with industry, and therefore offers an experienced and thorough approach to the subject. This is the first book to combine comprehensive scenarios on possible futures and the challenges facing industry today. The focus is upon the implications for industry related to the varying scenarios and statistics and figures to support claims. Through its global approach the intention is to suggest a different way of thinking when preparing for the future. Simple predictions and market analysis is not enough; making scenarios is a better way for actors to prepare for what the future might hold.

  • Provides a solid theoretical foundation and can be read as an example of how to make scenarios
  • Describes the long-term development in the four scenarios, and also discusses more short term issues, for example the challenges for industry
  • Acknowledges important areas for technological research are including a number of critical challenges facing the industry: the high cost for infrastructure, the slow spectrum release, the stampeding systemcomplexity, radiation, battery capacity, and the threat of a disruptive market change facing the telecommunications industry.
  • Covers developments from around the world

This will obviously appeal to professionals within the telecom/datacom/infocom industries, such as operators, vendors, service providers, middle and top management, business developers, strategists, analysts, technology managers and entrepreneurs. However it will also be essential reading for professionals within the financial industry, venture capitalists, analysts, consultancies--management consultants, education, analysts, journalists.

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Editorial Reviews

From the Publisher
"The book provides good food for thought and should prove inspiring for anyone in the industry‚Ķ"(IEE  Communications Engineer, February 2004)
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Product Details

  • ISBN-13: 9780470858158
  • Publisher: Wiley
  • Publication date: 11/17/2003
  • Edition number: 1
  • Pages: 246
  • Product dimensions: 6.20 (w) x 9.29 (h) x 0.78 (d)

Table of Contents

Preface
1 Introduction 1
Pt. I Scenarios 9
2 Wireless Explosion - Creative Destruction 11
3 Slow Motion 29
4 Rediscovering Harmony 49
5 Big Moguls and Snoopy Governments 67
Pt. II Drivers of Development and Technological Implications 85
6 Trends and Fundamental Drivers 87
7 Technological Conclusions from Scenarios 117
Pt. III Challenges for the Future 127
8 Challenges for Technical Research 129
9 Challenges for the Wireless Industry 139
10 Challenges for Key Regions 145
Pt. IV Moving into the Future with Scenarios 165
11 Scenario Thinking and Scenario Making 167
12 Summary and Concluding Remarks 179
Appendixes 203
App. A User Segments 205
App. B Wireless Foresight at Wireless@KTH 209
Glossary 211
References 215
Author Biographies 219
Index 221
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