Pub. Date:
ABC-CLIO, Incorporated
Scenario-Driven Planning: Learning to Manage Strategic Uncertainty / Edition 1

Scenario-Driven Planning: Learning to Manage Strategic Uncertainty / Edition 1

by William Acar
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Scenario-driven planning is a new management technology for strategy design that employs computed or "strategic" scenarios to improve the quality of managerial thinking. Strategic scenarios--the outcomes of modeling strategic situations--produce insight much richer than that expected from environmental scenarios alone. They bring to the consulting and upper-level management audiences a better way of handling strategic uncertainty, providing the tools managers and strategy students need for thinking and dialoguing about complex strategic issues.

Product Details

ISBN-13: 2900899308257
Publisher: ABC-CLIO, Incorporated
Publication date: 02/28/1995
Edition description: New Edition
Pages: 432
Product dimensions: 6.50(w) x 1.50(h) x 9.50(d)

About the Author

NICHOLAS C. GEORGANTZAS is Associate Professor of Management Systems at Fordham University and a management systems consultant. Widely published on topics on model-based strategy support, decision framing, and behavioral simulation modeling, he has consulted in commercial and retail banking, computer and information systems, education, entertainment and multimedia, and other industries.

WILLIAM ACAR is Associate Professor of Management Systems and Administrative Sciences at the Graduate School of Management of Kent University. The author of numerous published articles, internal reports, and conference presentations, Dr. Acar has developed a number of methods for management theory and practice. He has consulted to a number of business firms and nonprofit agencies, and has developed a causal mapping method for the analysis of complex business situations called CSM (Comprehensive Situation Mapping).

Table of Contents

Figures and Tables



Why Scenario-Driven Planning?

Productivity and Strategy

Environmental Triggers and Scenarios

The Role of the Environment

Environmental Turbulence and Uncertainty

Assumption Analysis for Strategic Turnaround

Introductory Applications


Combank (A)

Competitive Advantage Through Scenarios

Competitive Intelligence Systems for the 1990s

Features of the Proposed Planning Process

Standard Applications

Computing Scenarios

System Dynamics

Reperceiving in the Multiverse of Rationality

Strategy Designs of the 1990s

Planning Technology for the 1990s

Appendix A: Theoretical Foundations of Scenario-Driven Planning

Appendix B: The Art of Organizational Learning

Appendix C: Intelligence-Amplifying Tools



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