In response toExecutive Order S-3-05, an evaluation of the implications to California of possible climate changes was undertaken using a scenario-based approach. The “Scenarios Project” investigated projected impacts of climate change on six sectors in the California region. The investigation considered the early, middle and later portions of the twenty-first century, guided by a set of IPCC Fourth Assessment global climate model runs forced by higher and lower greenhouse gas emission scenarios. Each of these climate simulations produce substantial impacts in California that would require adaptations from present practices or status. The most severe impacts could be avoided, however, if emissions can be held near the lower end of global greenhouse gas emissions scenarios.
Reprinted from Climatic Change, Vol.109: Supplement 1 (2011)
About the Author
Cayan heads the California Nevada Applications Program and the California Climate Change Center, climate research programs to improve climate information and forecasts for decision makers in the California region.
Cayan received a BS degree in Meteorology and Oceanography in 1971 from the University of Michigan. He received a Ph.D. in Oceanography in 1990 from the University of California, San Diego. He has been employed by Scripps since 1977 and by the U. S. Geological Survey Water Resources Division since 1991.
Table of Contents
Second California Assessment: Integrated Climate Change Impacts Assessment of Natural and Managed Systems. Guest Editorial
Projecting long-run socioeconomic and demographic trends in California under the SRES A2 and B1 scenarios
Current and Future Impacts of Extreme Events in California
Potential increase in floods in California’s Sierra Nevada under future climate projections
Simulating the Cold Season Snowpack: The Impact of Snow Albedo and Multi-layer Snow Physics
Human-induced changes in Wind, Temperature and Relative Humidity during Santa Ana events
Adapting California’s water system to warm vs. dry climates
Climate change impacts on two high-elevation hydropower systems in California
The Impact of Price on Residential Demand for Electricity and Natural Gas
Simulating California's future residential electricity demand under different scenarios of climate change, electricity prices and population electricity demand.
Effects of Climate Change and Wave Direction Longshore Sediment Transport Patterns in Southern California
Potential Impacts of Increased Coastal Flooding in California Due to Sea-Level Rise
A Methodology for Predicting Future Coastal Hazards due to Sea-level Rise on the California Coast
Estimating the potential economic impacts of climate change on Southern California beaches
Modifying Agricultural Water Management to Adapt to Climate Change in California's Central Valley
California Perennial Crops in a Changing Climate
Effect of climate change on field crop production in California’s Central Valley
Climate Extremes in California Agriculture
EconomicImpacts of ClimateChange onCaliforniaAgriculture
Economic Impacts of Climate-Related Agricultural Yield Changes in California
Case study on potential agricultural responses to climate change in a California landscape
The impact of climate change on California timberlands
Climate Change and Growth Scenarios for California Wildfire
The impact of climate change on California’s ecosystem services
The Climate Gap: Environmental Health and Equity Implications of Climate Change and Mitigation Policies in California - A Review of the Literature
Climate change-related Impacts in the San Diego region by 2050