Chinese Naval Shipbuilding: An Ambitious and Uncertain Course

Chinese Naval Shipbuilding: An Ambitious and Uncertain Course


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China's shipbuilding industry has grown more rapidly than any other in modern history. Commercial shipbuilding output jumped thirteen-fold from 2002-12, ensuring that Beijing has largely reached its goal of becoming the world's leading shipbuilder. Yet progress is uneven, with military shipbuilding leading overall but with significant weakness in propulsion and electronics for military and civilian applications. It has never been more important to assess what ships China can supply its navy and other maritime forces with, today and in the future.Chinese Naval Shipbuilding answers three pressing questions: What are China's prospects for success in key areas of naval shipbuilding? What are the likely results for China's navy? What are the implications for the U.S. Navy?

To address these critical issues, this volume assembles some of the world's leading experts and linguistic analysts, often pairing them in research teams. These sailors, scholars, industry professionals, and government specialists have commanded ships at sea, led shipbuilding programs ashore, toured Chinese vessels and production facilities, invested in Chinese shipyards, and analyzed and presented important data to top-level decision-makers in times of crisis. In synthesizing their collective insights, this book fills a key gap in our understanding of China, its shipbuilding industry, its navy, and what it all means.

Product Details

ISBN-13: 9781682470817
Publisher: Naval Institute Press
Publication date: 01/15/2017
Series: Studies in Chinese Maritime Development Series
Pages: 376
Product dimensions: 6.20(w) x 9.00(h) x 1.20(d)

About the Author

DR. ANDREW S. ERICKSON is a professor of strategy at the Naval War College and an associate in research at Harvard's Fairbank Center. In 2013, he deployed as a Regional Security Education Program scholar aboard the USS Nimitz Carrier Strike Group. Erickson runs the research websites and

Table of Contents

List of Exhibits xi

Acknowledgments xiii

Introduction. China's Military Shipbuilding Industry Steams Ahead, On What Course? Andrew S. Erickson 1

Part I Foundation and Resources

Warfare Drivers: Mission Needs and the Impact on Ship Design Christopher P. Carlson Jack Bianchi 19

Status, Goals, Prospects: Party-State Strategic Requirements for China's Shipbuilding Industry Morgan Clemens Ian Easton 41

Resources for China's State Shipbuilders: Now Including Global Capital Markets Gabe Collins Eric Anderson 62

Part II Shipyard Infrastructure

Key Factors in Chinese Shipyards' Development and Performance: Commercial-Military Synergy and Divergence Sue Hall Audrye Wong 75

Chinas Naval Strength: Current and Future Alex Pope Tate Nurkin 107

Monitoring Chinese Shipbuilding Facilities with Satellite Imagery Sean O'Connor Jordan Wilson 134

Civil-Military Integration Potential in Chinese Shipbuilding Daniel Alderman Rush Doshi 144

Part III Naval Architecture and Design

PLAN Warship Construction and Standardization Mark Metcalf 167

China's Military Shipbuilding Research, Development, and Acquisition System Kevin Pollpeter Mark Stokes 177

China's Civilian Shipbuilding in Competitive Context: An Asian Industrial Perspective Julian Snelder 189

Part IV Remaining Shipbuilding Challenges

PLA Shipboard Electronics: Impeding China's Naval Modernization Leigh Ann Ragland-Luce John Costello 221

Underpowered: Chinese Conventional and Nuclear Naval Power and Propulsion Andrew S. Erickson Jonathan Ray Robert T. Forte 238

China's Aircraft Carrier Program: Drivers, Developments, Implications Andrew Scobell Michael E. McMahon Cortez A. Cooper III Arthur Chan 249

Part V Conclusions and Alternative Futures

Maximal Scenario: Expansive Naval Trajectory to "Chinas Naval Dream" James E. Fanell Scott Cheney-Peters 261

Medium Scenario: World's Second "Far Seas" Navy by 2020 Michael McDevitt 274

Technological "Wild Cards" and Twenty-First-Century Naval Warfare Paul Scharre Tyler Jost 296

How China's Shipbuilding Output Might Affect Requirements for US. Navy Capabilities Ronald O'Rourke 317

List of Acronyms 333

About the Contributors 337

Index 341

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