But the Muslim world is on the brink of an even greater collapse.
WILL WE GO DOWN IN THE IMPLOSION?
Thanks to collapsing birthrates, much of Europe is on a path of willed self-extinction. The untold story is that birthrates in Muslim nations are declining faster than anywhere else—at a rate never before documented. Europe, even in its decline, may have the resources to support an aging population, if at a terrible economic and cultural cost. But in the impoverished Islamic world, an aging population means a civilization on the brink of total collapse— something Islamic terrorists know and fear.
Muslim decline poses new threats to America, challenges we cannot even understand, much less face effectively, without a wholly new kind of political analysis that explains how desperate peoples and nations behave.
In How Civilizations Die, David P. Goldman—author of the celebrated “Spengler” column read by intelligence organizations worldwide—reveals how, almost unnoticed, massive shifts in global power are remaking our future.
- How extinctions of peoples, cultures, and civilizations are not unthinkable—but certain
- How for the first time in world history, the birthrate in the West has fallen below replacement level
- Why birthrates in the Muslim world are falling even faster
- Why the “Arab Spring” is the precursor of much more violent change in the Islamic world
- Why looming demographic collapse may encourage Islamic terrorists to “go for broke”
- How the United States can survive the coming world turmoil
In How Civilizations Die, David P. Goldman has written an essential book for understanding what lies in the future for America and the world.
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About the Author
DAVID P. GOLDMAN headed global bond research for Bank of America as well as other Wall Street research groups. He was elected to Institutional Investor’s All-America Fixed-Income Research Team. A former Forbes columnist and editor at First Things and a frequent television commentator on politics and the economy, he draws a million readers a month for his “Spengler” column at Asia Times Online. Trained in music theory as well as economics, he has written extensively on music, mathematics, religion, and the cultural heritage of the West. He lives in New York City with his family.
Table of Contents
The Fifth Horseman of the Apocalypse ix
Part 1 The Decline of the East
Chapter 1 The closing of the Muslim Womb 1
Chapter 2 Faith, Fertility, and the World's Future 15
Chapter 3 What the Arab Revolutions Mean 27
Chapter 4 Sex, Drugs, and Islam 45
Chapter 5 "They Want to Destroy the Turkish Nation!" 53
Chapter 6 The End of Traditional Muslim Society 73
Chapter 7 The Islamist Response 89
Part 2 Theopolitics
Chapter 8 Civilizational Failure and Suicide 99
Chapter 9 Four Great Extinctions 115
Chapter 10 Islam: The Arabs as Chosen People 137
Chapter 11 How Christianity Died in Europe 157
Chapter 12 Why Some Religion Fails in the Modern World 177
Part 3 Why It Won't Be a Post-American World
Chapter 13 Passing the Acid Test of Modernity 191
Chapter 14 Europe's Ruin and America's Founding 205
Chapter 15 Can American Democracy Be Exported? 229
Chapter 16 The Morality of Self-Interest 249
Most Helpful Customer Reviews
Not the best-written in the world, but presents a pretty clear demographic fact that many are unwilling to admit - even when they're intellectually aware of it. Put another way, I'd be hesitant to cite this as a principal source in an academic paper, but it would make for a useful discussion point.
Interesting theories about birth rates.
Moutians on eage of Goldclan territory.
Even thoughs of us who were astute enough to notice that the population curve had reached it's inflection point back in the 1970s and would flatten out well short of armegeddon assumed that population growth rates would remain high in the Islamic world. The spectre of a massive tidal wave of Muslim immigrants engulfing the European countries whose plummeting birth rates had already consigned them to oblivion was alarming. However; the too easily not noticed news that the population bomb is fizzling in the Islamic world obligates policy makers to reevaluate their fundamental assumptions. The fact that the Total Fertility Rates in Muslim countries suddenly decreased precipitously after the September Eleventh attacks suggests that the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq might have had some consequences that were either unintended or at least not publicized.
How Civilizations Die offers a different perspective that is thought-provoking and well worth a careful reading. One can argue with some of the author's analysis of the data presented, but the data itself is a catalyst for considering the future that we in the West must sooner or later face up to. The facts are sobering, and the earlier we start to act on them, the better . This book sounds a call that should not be ignored.