The Middle East Strategic Balance 2003-2004

The Middle East Strategic Balance 2003-2004


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The Middle East Strategic Balance 2003-2004 by Shai Feldman

The Middle East Strategic Balance [formerly the Middle East Military Balance] is prepared annually by the Jaffee Center for Strategic Studies, Tel Aviv University, to provide an authoritative and indispensable guide to strategic developments and military capabilities in the Middle East. Governments, the media, and researchers pay close attention to the data and analysis, which offer a comprehensive insightful assessment of the complex Middle East strategic environment. The 2003-2004 Strategic Balance provides an objective analysis of the strategic factors and events shaping the region through a rich collection of essays, together with a country by country overview of the region's military forces, including the major changes to the orders of battle, and a survey of personnel, weapons and equipment holdings, non-conventional capabilities and ballistic missiles, and other key components of military force structures.

Product Details

ISBN-13: 9781845190026
Publisher: Sussex Academic Press
Publication date: 10/01/2004
Pages: 263
Product dimensions: 6.70(w) x 9.80(h) x 0.90(d)

Table of Contents

Part IMiddle East Strategic Assessment
Chapter 1The Middle East in Transition: An Overview5
United States Involvement5
The Evolving Reality in Iraq9
Regional Ramifications of the Iraq War13
Pressures on Iran18
The Israeli-Palestinian Conflict21
The Stability of Middle East Regimes26
Israel in the Region at Large33
Chapter 2The Middle East on the Global Agenda37
The Western Agenda39
The Greater Middle East Initiative41
Chapter 3International Terrorism in the Shadow of the Iraq War45
The Spread of Suicide Terrorism46
The Low Intensity Conflict in Iraq48
Al-Qaeda and its Affiliates Beyond Iraq51
Successes and Challenges in the War against al-Qaeda54
Chapter 4WMD Proliferation Trends and Strategies of Control59
New Proliferation Concerns60
State-by-State Review62
Reflections on Proliferation72
Chapter 5Challenges Facing Middle East Economies77
Principal Economic Trends77
Economies in Brief82
Underlying Problems in Arab Economies93
Chapter 6The Egyptian Armed Forces95
The Order-of-Battle95
The Balance of Power with Israel99
Is a Military Confrontation Realistic?107
Chapter 7Israel at a Strategic Crossroads109
Israel's International Standing110
The Palestinian Challenge112
Israel's Unilateral Measures114
Marketing the Disengagement Plan118
An Interim Assessment121
Chapter 8The Intifada: The Dynamics of an Ongoing Crisis124
The Dynamics of Violence124
Undermining the PA's Stature126
The Politics of Violence: For and Against a Hudna130
The Challenge of Disengagement137
Looking Forward139
Chapter 9The 2004 Strategic Balance: A Net Assessment145
The General Strategic Balance146
The Military Balance149
The Sub-Conventional Security Balance153
Israel's Vantage155
Documents on Israel's Disengagement Plan
Ariel Sharon's Four-Stage Disengagement Plan, May 28, 2004159
President Bush's Letter to Israeli Prime Minister Sharon, April 14, 2004165
Letter from Dov Weisglass to Dr. Condoleeza Rice167
Part IIMilitary Forces
Introductory Note171
Review of Armed Forces
13Palestinian Authority215
15Saudi Arabia221
20United Arab Emirates237
The Middle East Military Balance at a Glance246
Weapons of Mass Destruction248
Space Assets249
The Eastern Mediterranean Military Forces250
The Persian Gulf Military Forces254
The North African Military Forces258

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