The Next Decade: Where We've Been . . . and Where We're Going

The Next Decade: Where We've Been . . . and Where We're Going

by George Friedman
3.3 46

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Overview

The Next Decade: Where We've Been . . . and Where We're Going by George Friedman

The author of the acclaimed New York Times bestseller The Next 100 Years now focuses his geopolitical forecasting acumen on the next decade and the imminent events and challenges that will test America and the world, specifically addressing the skills that will be required by the decade’s leaders.

The next ten years will be a time of massive transition. The wars in the Islamic world will be subsiding, and terrorism will become something we learn to live with. China will be encountering its crisis. We will be moving from a time when financial crises dominate the world to a time when labor shortages will begin to dominate. The new century will be taking shape in the next decade.

In The Next Decade, George Friedman offers readers a pro­vocative and endlessly fascinating prognosis for the immedi­ate future. Using Machiavelli’s The Prince as a model, Friedman focuses on the world’s leaders—particularly the American president—and with his trusted geopolitical insight analyzes the complex chess game they will all have to play. The book also asks how to be a good president in a decade of extraordinary challenge, and puts the world’s leaders under a microscope to explain how they will arrive at the decisions they will make—and the consequences these actions will have for us all.


From the Hardcover edition.

Product Details

ISBN-13: 9780385532952
Publisher: Knopf Doubleday Publishing Group
Publication date: 01/25/2011
Sold by: Random House
Format: NOOK Book
Pages: 352
Sales rank: 527,650
File size: 3 MB

About the Author

GEORGE FRIEDMAN is the founder and CEO of Stratfor, the world’s leading publisher of global geopolitical intelligence. He is the author of six books, including the New York Times bestselling The Next 100 Years. He has appeared on all the major television networks and has been featured in several national publications.


From the Hardcover edition.

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The Next Decade: Where We've Been . . . and Where We're Going 3.3 out of 5 based on 0 ratings. 46 reviews.
MyTwoCentts More than 1 year ago
Mr. Friedman presents a thought provoking view of foreign policy that is especially insightful when considering the present happenings in the middle east and north Africa. He clearly describes a plausible explanation for the sometimes contradictory appearing policies of the U.S.
LN_Adcox More than 1 year ago
Friedman¿s premise is that the United States is an unintended empire that cannot disentangle itself from its global interests, regardless how many people wish this was the case, without destabilizing the American and global economies. His concern is whether the management of an empire can be made compatible with the requirements of a republic. Friedman indicates that government must have a moral basis for power, but the exercise of power is morally ambiguous. Hence Friedman maintains that the single institution, elected by the people, that can save the republic is the presidency. However, a Machiavellian president is required ¿ one that can reconcile duplicity and righteousness in order to achieve and maintain American greatness. His examples of Machiavellian presidents who were moral men able to lie, violate the law, and betray principle as necessary were Abraham Lincoln, Franklin D. Roosevelt and Ronald Reagan. Friedman also maintains that we need a more mature and enlightened public that spends more time arguing over issues and practical alternatives and less time arguing over what to argue over or bemoaning all the things that are not fair or perfect. I have to agree with the latter point wholeheartedly. I think some of the recent unproductive congressional debates give evidence to this. In addition, further proof can be found by perusing the comments made to any online political or social article. Viewer comments are often at best simplistic and uninformed and at worst are often bigoted, selfish and stupid. At any rate, among the examples Friedman provides requiring presidential duplicity, i.e. paying lip service to them while recognizing they are impossible, are Middle East peace treaties involving an independent Palestinian state, achieving energy independence this decade, solving the immigration problem, and significantly curtailing the drug trade from Mexico. Nobody including or especially most of the Arab nations wants an independent Palestinian state. We will be dependent on oil or coal or natural gas until we harness solar power from satellites in space. Space will also host the next weapons systems and the groundwork needs to be laid during the next decade. ID cards would resolve the immigration problem but would be unacceptable to the American public. Legalizing drugs would destroy the drug trade but would likewise be unacceptable to the American public. Friedman explains that American interests lie in ensuring the continued dominance of the US navy and ensuring a balance is retained in each region of the world without the need to commit substantial numbers of US troops. The recovery of Russia, Germany¿s growing dependence on Russia, and the lack of an effective counterbalance to Iran are among the problems America will have to address during the next decade. The US will have to court Turkey and Poland, distance itself from Israel, and come to an accommodation with Pakistan and Iran. This book provides an interesting perspective. I¿ll never listen to politicians again, at least on the topics Friedman addresses, without considering whether they are being duplicitous or ignorant.
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Even if you could set aside the prognostications, which he admits are intelligent probable estimates based on historical realities, seeing all of the history and news that we know used to present an objective narrative of what may be was astonishingly insightful,
Anonymous More than 1 year ago
Anonymous More than 1 year ago
Every american must read this book to understand where America will be positioning in the world for the next decade. Spain ruled the world for almost 400 years, Great Britain for almost 200 years. The question is how American will keep their predominance in the world in years to come.
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Anonymous More than 1 year ago
Friedman's understanding and insights to America are spot on, but I feel that he gives America (it's people and its leadership) too much credit. An entity in motion has a trajectory, and the trajectory of America was launched by invasion, conquest, genocide and slavery. Then, like an ignorant, spoiled and greedy child, it set about devouring everything in sight and demanding to have its own way. America will continue the course it's set because it's people are risk averse and the unknown frightens them. Only an intervention will alter the course, forcing the willful "child" to mature and see the error of its ways! But, who or what is powerful enough to do that? Doom and gloom you say? The party's over and it's time to clean up! But it's more likely that America will lay down in the mess it's made waiting for someone else to clean it up, like it did with Y2K!!!
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