ISBN-10:
0816079412
ISBN-13:
9780816079414
Pub. Date:
05/01/2011
Publisher:
Facts on File, Incorporated
Probability and Statistics: The Science of Uncertainty / Edition 2

Probability and Statistics: The Science of Uncertainty / Edition 2

by John Tabak

Hardcover

Current price is , Original price is $45.0. You
Select a Purchase Option (Revised)
  • purchase options
    $45.00
  • purchase options

Product Details

ISBN-13: 9780816079414
Publisher: Facts on File, Incorporated
Publication date: 05/01/2011
Series: Facts on File History of Mathematics Series
Edition description: Revised
Pages: 272
Product dimensions: 6.10(w) x 9.10(h) x 0.80(d)
Age Range: 14 - 17 Years

Table of Contents

Preface x

Acknowledgments xvi

Introduction xvii

Part One: Probability 1

1 The Idea of Randomness 3

Randomness before the Theory of Probability 5

Early Difficulties in Developing a Theory of Randomness 10

Randomness and Religion Today in Burkina Faso 11

2 The Nature of Chance 14

Cardano's Mistake 16

Cardano on Luck and Math 17

Galileo Galilei 19

Pierre de Fermat and Blaise Pascal 22

The Division of Stakes, an Alternative Interpretation 26

Christiaan Huygens 27

Jacob Bernoulli 28

Abraham de Moivre 34

De Moivre on Math and Luck 36

The Bell Curve 39

3 Surprising Insights into Probability and Its Uses 41

Thomas Bayes and Inverse Probability 42

Buffon and the Needle Problem 46

Daniel Bernoulli and Smallpox 48

Jean le Rond d'Alembert and the Evaluation of Risk 53

Leonhard Euler and Lotteries 56

Smallpox, Probability, and the Public Health Revisited 59

4 Randomness in a Deterministic Universe 62

Simeon-Denis Poisson 69

The Poisson Distribution 71

5 Random Processes 74

James Clerk Maxwell 77

Brownian Motion Revisited 79

Markov Processes 82

A Markov Chain 84

6 Probability as a Mathematical Discipline 86

Theory and Practice 95

Probabilistic Risk Assessment 98

7 Probability and Risk, an Application 102

Credit Default Swaps 104

Information Asymmetries and Cdsss 109

Aig and the Worst Economic Crisis since the Great Depression 112

Part 2 Statistics 119

Introduction 121

The Age of Information 121

8 The Beginnings of Statistics 123

John Graunt 125

Edmund Halley 128

Breslau Mortality Table 131

Insurance 134

9 Data Analysis and the Problem of Precision 138

The Misuse of Statistics 142

10 The Birth of Modern Statistics 145

Karl Pearson 146

R. A. Fisher 152

11 The Theory of Sampling 160

The Problem 161

Walter Shewhart and Statistical Quality Control 164

William Edwards Deming 169

12 Statistics and Vaccinations 175

Vaccination Concepts 181

The Statistics of Vaccine Tests 183

Additional Studies 186

The National Vaccine Injury Compensation Program 190

Vaccines and Autism 193

Conclusion 195

Afterword: An Exclusive Interview with Dr. Michael Stamatelatos on the Quantification of Risk 197

Chronology 208

Glossary 225

Further Resources 229

Index 239

Customer Reviews

Most Helpful Customer Reviews

See All Customer Reviews