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Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes, and the National Exit Poll

Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes, and the National Exit Poll

by Richard Charnin


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In 2004, John Kerry appeared to be a clear winner based on the exit polls. But the recorded vote counts deviated sharply from the polls and were too one-sided to attribute to mere chance. The political pundits claimed the polls "behaved badly", calling the three million Bush margin a "mandate". They failed to report the impossible late adjustments made to the National, Florida and Ohio exit polls that were necessary to force them to match the recorded vote.

Spreadsheet-wielding Internet bloggers analyzed the statistical anomalies. Online election forums were aflame with debates about state and national pre-election and exit polls, Bush approval ratings, margins of error, non-response, past vote recall, correlation between vote swing from 2000 and the exit poll shift, the counter-intuitive Bush increase over his 2000 vote share in urban locations ("Urban Legend") and the corresponding share decline in rural areas.

But the "Smoking Gun" was the Final National Exit Poll, which indicated that there were four million more returning Bush 2000 voters than were alive in 2004. This "phantom voter" anomaly has never been discussed by pundits in the media or political scientists in academia even though similar anomalies occurred in 1988, 1992 and 2008. The media pundits still claim that the recorded vote is correct (and the exit polls are wrong) despite millions of uncounted votes in every election.

Proving Election Fraud is a comprehensive resource for analyzing presidential elections from 1968 to 2008, including the 2006 midterms. It is written for readers of virtually all backgrounds. The only requirement is an inquisitive, open mind. The True Vote is estimated using basic statistical modeling that is for some reason avoided in the media and academia. Excel spreadsheet models used in the book are available for downloading from the Internet.

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Product Details

ISBN-13: 9781449085278
Publisher: AuthorHouse
Publication date: 03/25/2010
Pages: 456
Product dimensions: 6.00(w) x 9.00(h) x 1.02(d)

Table of Contents

1 From Hanging Chads to Phantom Voters5
2 Media Lockdown20
3 The Simple Math29
4 Forbidden Data40
5 The Election Forecasting Game63
6 Election Model: A Trip to Monte Carlo71
7 Exit Polls: Forced to Match78
8 Calculating the True Vote97
9 1968-1996: Age of Innocence101
10 2000: Shock to the System114
11 2004: Silent Scream of the Numbers117
12 Ohio: Endgame150
13 Florida: Phantoms in Cyberspace157
14 New York: Urban Legend164
15 Oregon: Mail-in for Democracy169
16 2006 Midterms: Quantifying the Risk174
17 2008 Primaries: Operation Chaos184
18 2008: Landslide Denied191
19 A Conversation about the 2008 Election208
20 Myths and Anomalies212
21 Vote Swing vs. Exit Poll Red-shift221
22 False Recall226
23 A Simple Proof236
A Online Debates245
1 USCV and the Implausibility of rBr248
2 A View of the Exit Poll Debate291
3 Hobson's Choice308
4 The Clincher332
5 The Game385
6 2006 Election Fraud Probability Analysis387
7 Generic Polls for Forecasting the Midterms392
B Election Fraud Analytics395
C Response to the TruthIsAll FAQ411
D Election Models429
E An Open Source PC/Internet Voting System438
F References440

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