Rational Expectations and Inflation: Third Edition

Rational Expectations and Inflation: Third Edition

by Thomas J. Sargent

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This collection of essays uses the lens of rational expectations theory to examine how governments anticipate and plan for inflation, and provides insight into the pioneering research for which Thomas Sargent was awarded the 2011 Nobel Prize in economics. Rational expectations theory is based on the simple premise that people will use all the information available to them in making economic decisions, yet applying the theory to macroeconomics and econometrics is technically demanding. Here, Sargent engages with practical problems in economics in a less formal, noneconometric way, demonstrating how rational expectations can satisfactorily interpret a range of historical and contemporary events. He focuses on periods of actual or threatened depreciation in the value of a nation's currency. Drawing on historical attempts to counter inflation, from the French Revolution and the aftermath of World War I to the economic policies of Margaret Thatcher and Ronald Reagan, Sargent finds that there is no purely monetary cure for inflation; rather, monetary and fiscal policies must be coordinated.

This fully expanded edition of Rational Expectations and Inflation includes Sargent's 2011 Nobel lecture, "United States Then, Europe Now." It also features new articles on the macroeconomics of the French Revolution and government budget deficits.

Product Details

ISBN-13: 9781400847648
Publisher: Princeton University Press
Publication date: 05/05/2013
Sold by: Barnes & Noble
Format: NOOK Book
Pages: 392
File size: 7 MB

About the Author

Thomas J. Sargent is professor of economics at New York University. His books include Robustness and The Big Problem of Small Change (both Princeton). He was awarded the 2011 Nobel Prize in economics.

Table of Contents

  • Frontmatter, pg. a
  • Contents, pg. vii
  • List of Figures, pg. xi
  • List of Tables, pg. xiii
  • Acknowledgements, pg. xv
  • Preface to the Third Edition, pg. xvii
  • Preface to the Second Edition, pg. xix
  • Preface to the First Edition, pg. xxi
  • 1. Rational Expectations and the Reconstruction of Macroeconomics, pg. 1
  • 2. Reaganomics and Credibility, pg. 17
  • 3. The Ends of Four Big Inflations, pg. 38
  • 4. Stopping Moderate Inflations: The Methods of Poincaré and Thatcher, pg. 111
  • 5. Some Unpleasant Monetarist Arithmetic, pg. 162
  • 6. Interpreting the Reagan Deficits, pg. 197
  • 7. Speculations about the Speculation against the Hong Kong Dollar, pg. 211
  • 8. Six Essays in Persuasion, pg. 228
  • 9. Macroeconomic Features of the French Revolution, pg. 248
  • 10. United States Then, Europe Now, pg. 297
  • References, pg. 339
  • Author Index, pg. 357
  • Subject Index, pg. 361

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