Reducing Uncertainty: Intelligence Analysis and National Security / Edition 1

Reducing Uncertainty: Intelligence Analysis and National Security / Edition 1

by Thomas Fingar
ISBN-10:
080477594X
ISBN-13:
9780804775946
Pub. Date:
07/20/2011
Publisher:
Stanford University Press

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Overview

Reducing Uncertainty: Intelligence Analysis and National Security / Edition 1

This book describes what Intelligence Community (IC) analysts do, how they do it, and how they are affected by the political context that shapes, uses, and sometimes abuses their output. It is written by a 25-year intelligence professional.

Product Details

ISBN-13: 9780804775946
Publisher: Stanford University Press
Publication date: 07/20/2011
Edition description: New Edition
Pages: 192
Sales rank: 562,653
Product dimensions: 6.00(w) x 8.90(h) x 0.60(d)

Table of Contents

Acknowledgments ix

1 Reducing Uncertainty 1

2 Myths, Fears, and Expectations 19

3 Spies Collect Data, Analysts Provide Insight 33

4 Using Intelligence to Anticipate Opportunities and Shape the Future 50

5 Estimative Analysis: What It Is, What It Isn't, and How to Read It 67

6 A Tale of Two Estimates 89

7 Epilogue: Lessons and Challenges 126

Notes 141

Index 171

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