Integrated analysis of the technologies, markets, and business of Residential Broadband In thirty years, the worldwide market for high-speed information services to the home will reach SI trillion. This book explains how and why. Beginning with tutorials and a few touches of history to position residential broadband today, this essential guide examines how competing technologies will struggle for supremacy in a chaotic market. It stakes out the battles between ADSL and cable modems, IP and ATM, telephone companies and CATV companies, televisions and personal computers, and professional applications and consumer applications. It does so with reverence for none-some will win and some will lose as the market emerges over the next decade or so. Our guide is kim Maxwell, an entrepreneur and executive who has spent twenty-five years inventing ways to make communications technologies and markets fit together. His analysis takes some surprising turns:
• The Internet will not be the dominant network for residential broadband.
• Despite its current power, IP may over time give way to ATM for residential broadband.
• Cable modems have the early lead, but the DSL tortoise will catch up.
• Fiber to the Home and the Information Superhighway are at least fifteen years away and depend upon HDTV.
• Despite regulatory intentions, residential networking will return to a monopoly within thirty years.
• Computers and televisions will not converge.
• Ethernet will dominate home networking.
• Video-on-demand will not be a viable market for at least five years.
• In the long run. Consumer applications such as shopping and entertainment will dominate the more near-term applications for Internet access and telecommuting.
• But, the market can only begin with the personal computer and its natural applications-Internet access and telecommuting.
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About the Author
KIM MAXWELL was the founder and president of two pioneering data communications companies-Racal-Vadic and Amati Communications. He is the father of the modern dial-up modem and led the successful standards battle against AT&T and others for ADSL. He was the founding chairman of the ADSL Forum and now acts as consultant and board member for several leading-edge companies in residential broadband.
Table of Contents
MOTIVATIONS FOR RESIDENTIAL BROADBAND.
A Thirty-Year Synopsis.
How Broad Must Broadband Be?
A Vocabulary of Networks.
The Networking Protocol War.
Is the Internet THE NETWORK?
The Endgame Network.
Residential Broadband Networks.
A Vocabulary of Modems.
Telephone Lines and ADSL.
CATV Lines and Cable Modems.
MARKET FOR RESIDENTIAL BROADBAND.
The Market Game's Afoot.
Infrastructure and Market Timing.
The Sum of It All.
Sources and Bibliography.