Rock Breaks Scissors: A Practical Guide to Outguessing and Outwitting Almost Everybody

Rock Breaks Scissors: A Practical Guide to Outguessing and Outwitting Almost Everybody

by William Poundstone

Paperback(Reissue)

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Product Details

ISBN-13: 9780316228053
Publisher: Little, Brown and Company
Publication date: 09/08/2015
Edition description: Reissue
Pages: 320
Sales rank: 678,486
Product dimensions: 5.40(w) x 8.20(h) x 1.00(d)

About the Author

William Poundstone is the author of twelve books, including Are You Smart Enough to Work at Google?, How Would You Move Mount Fuji?, and Fortune's Formula. Twice nominated for the Pulitzer Prize, he has written for the New York Times, Harper's, Harvard Business Review, and the Village Voice, among other publications. He lives in Los Angeles.

Table of Contents

Prologue: The Outguessing Machine 3

Part 1 The Randomness Experiment

1 The Zenith Broadcast 27

2 How to Outguess Rock, Paper, Scissors 50

3 How to Outguess Multiple-Choice Tests 57

4 How to Outguess the Lottery 68

5 How to Outguess Tennis Serves 78

6 How to Outguess Baseball and Football 83

7 How to Outguess Soccer Penalty Kicks 87

8 How to Outguess Card Games 90

9 How to Outguess Passwords 95

10 How to Outguess Crowd-Sourced Ratings 107

11 How to Outguess Fake Numbers 112

12 How to Outguess Manipulated Numbers 130

13 How to Outguess Ponzi Schemes 148

Part 2 The Hot Hand Theory

14 In the Zone 161

15 How to Outguess Basketball Bracket Pools 178

16 How to Outguess Office Football Pools 191

17 How to Outguess Oscar Pools 202

18 How to Outguess Big Data 207

19 How to Outguess Retail Prices 215

20 How to Outguess Home Prices 218

21 How to Outguess the Future 224

22 How to Outguess the Stock Market 232

Epilogue: Fortune's Wheel 266

Acknowledgments 269

Notes 271

Bibliography 285

Index 295

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Rock Breaks Scissors: A Practical Guide to Outguessing and Outwitting Almost Everybody 5 out of 5 based on 0 ratings. 1 reviews.
Anonymous More than 1 year ago
This is a whole book about the idea that no one can act randomly. Though it sounds crazy, the book shows how this is important in many walks of life. A quick read, surprising throughout and eye-opening.